Spot prices were aligned across the mainland for around 80 per cent of the time, averaging between $18/MWh in Queensland and $26/MWh in South Australia. The average weekly price in Tasmania was $22/MWh, the lowest since joining the market.
Turnover in the energy market was $78 million. The total cost of ancillary services for the week, including Tasmania, was $234 000, or 0.3 per cent of energy market turnover.
Significant variations between actual prices and those forecast 4 and 12 hours ahead occurred in only 4, or around 1 per cent of all trading intervals. Demand forecasts produced 4 and 12 hours ahead varied from actual by more than 5 per cent in a fifth of all trading intervals across the market. These variations were most frequent in Tasmania, occurring in a half of all trading intervals. Conversely, in New South Wales, demand forecast errors of more than 5 per cent occurred in less than 1 per cent of all trading intervals.
The AER welcomes comments on the information contained in, or the layout of, the report. Comments should be sent to Peter Adams or Mark Wilson, AER, GPO Box 922, Adelaide SA 5000 (email AERInquiry@aer.gov.au; fax (08) 8213 3414).
Figure 1 sets out national demand and spot prices in each region for each trading interval. Figure 2 compares the volume weighted average price with the averages for the previous week and the same quarter last year. Figure 3 compares the weekly price volatility index on the same basis.
Figure 1 National demand and spot price all regions
Figure 2 Volume weighted average spot price for energy market ($/MWh)
Maximum spot prices for the week ranged from $31/MWh in Queensland to $46/MWh in South Australia.
There were no low reserve conditions forecast. A direction, to provide regulation frequency control services, was issued on Thursday in Tasmania following the loss of SCADA to a number of generating units.
The total cost of ancillary services on the mainland for the week was around $174 000 or 0.2 per cent of the total turnover in the energy market.
Figure 4 Volume weighted average frequency control ancillary service prices (excluding Tasmania)
Raise
Lower
6 sec
60 sec
5 min
Reg
6 sec
60 sec
5 min
Reg
Last week($/MW)
1.39
0.33
0.99
0.93
0.14
0.24
1.06
0.83
Previous week ($/MW)
2.47
1.02
1.26
1.96
0.24
0.36
1.24
2.04
Last quarter ($/MW)
1.76
0.73
1.15
1.54
0.39
2.28
5
1.93
Market cost($1000s)
58
13
59
18
0
1
15
11
% of energy market
0.08%
0.02%
0.08%
0.02%
0%
0%
0.02%
0.01%
The total cost of ancillary services in Tasmania for the week was $60 000 or 1.4 per cent of the total turnover in the energy market in Tasmania. A direction, to provide regulation frequency control services, was issued on Thursday in Tasmania following the loss of SCADA to a number of generating units.
Figure 5 Tasmanian volume weighted average frequency control ancillary service prices
Raise
Lower
6 sec
60 sec
5 min
Reg
6 sec
60 sec
5 min
Reg
Last week($/MW)
1.89
1.2
2.32
0.55
1.09
0.02
0.06
0.43
Previous week ($/MW)
0.29
0.27
0.78
0.15
0.62
0.1
0.09
0.27
Last quarter ($/MWh)
7.89
1.05
1.05
1.58
4.43
1.06
1.06
1.97
Tasmania Market cost($1000s)
8
11
25
2
8
0
1
4
% Tasmania of energy market
0.19%
0.26%
0.58%
0.05%
0.18%
0.01%
0.03%
0.1%
Figure 6 shows the daily breakdown of price for each frequency control ancillary service. It also includes the cost of services sourced locally and in Tasmania.
Figure 6 Daily frequency control ancillary service prices
Figure 7 shows the weekly participation in each of the ancillary service markets on a regional basis.
Figure 7 Regional participation in ancillary services
Figures 8 and 9 show 30-minute prices for each of the ancillary services.
Figure 8 Prices for raise services
Figure 9 Prices for lower services
Figures 10 and 11 show the 30-minute Tasmanian price for each of the ancillary services.
Figure 10 Tasmanian prices for raise services
Figure 11 Tasmanian prices for lower services
Figures 12 and 13 present both the raise and lower requirements for each service over the week.
Figure 12 Raise requirements
Figure 13 Lower requirements
Figures 14 and 15 present both the raise and lower Tasmanian requirements for each service over the week.
