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[null,"Economic cost-benefit analysis of East Preston Area Development Strategy"]
[]
[null,"2024-05-30"]
[null,"JEN Economic Model East Preston v1.1 - sensitivity Table 6-5 - Public"]

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[null,"Option 1","Option 2","Option 3","Option 4","Option 5",null,"OPTION ONE (COST OF ENERGY AT RISK, $M 2024 prices, undiscounted)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"OPTION TWO (COST OF ENERGY AT RISK, $M 2024 prices, undiscounted)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"OPTION THREE (COST OF ENERGY AT RISK, $M 2024 prices, undiscounted)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"OPTION ONE"]
[null,"Option 1 - Do nothing","Option 2 - Continue with the final two stages of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston conversion from East Preston (EPN)","Option 3 - Continue with the final 2 stages of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston conversion from Preston (PTN) ","Option 4 - Complete EP Stage 7 of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston Conversion and transfer the remaining EP load to Fairfield (FF)","Option 5 - Undertake like for like replacement of the remaining EP 6.6 kV distribution assets",null,"Year","EP 'A' - Transformer Failure","EP 'A' - Switchboard Failure","EP 'A' - Bus Failure","EP 'B' - Transformer Failure","EP 'B' - Switchboard Failure","EP 'B' - Bus Failure","EP 'A'","EP 'B'","Total Cost of Energy at Risk",null,"Year","EP 'A' - Transformer Failure","EP 'A' - Switchboard Failure","EP 'A' - Bus Failure","EP 'B' - Transformer Failure","EP 'B' - Switchboard Failure","EP 'B' - Bus Failure","EP 'A'","EP 'B'","Total Cost of Energy at Risk",null,"Year","EP 'A' - Transformer Failure","EP 'A' - Switchboard Failure","EP 'A' - Bus Failure","EP 'B' - Transformer Failure","EP 'B' - Switchboard Failure","EP 'B' - Bus Failure","EP 'A'","EP 'B'","Total Cost of Energy at Risk",null,"Year",2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045]
["NPV (A$m, 2024 real)",-204.53456498394738,-41.46414109998414,-57.301815819627102,-48.909047888957879,-68.912554700755479,null,2025,0,0,0,0.65561265398937241,9.9359826429109524E-2,12.31353694741223,0,13.068509427830712,13.068509427830712,0,2025,0,0,0,0.65561265398937241,9.9359826429109524E-2,3.1591808659842742E-2,0,0.78656428907832476,0.78656428907832476,null,2025,0,0,0,0.65561265398937241,9.9359826429109524E-2,3.1591808659842742E-2,0,0.78656428907832476,0.78656428907832476,null,"EP 'A' - Transformer Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["NPV Capex (A$m, 2024 real)",0,-40.070702245232226,-47.460607339362483,-47.487908284730835,-67.127832498070674,null,2026,0,0,0,0.71594480640699742,0.11523970402951532,12.291172991554539,0,13.122357501991052,13.122357501991052,0,2026,0,0,0,0.71594480640699742,0.11523970402951532,3.0725823461667773E-2,0,0.8619103338981805,0.8619103338981805,null,2026,0,0,0,5.7540842709643946E-3,9.4496557304202561E-2,2.469449822263329E-4,0,0.10049758655739328,0.10049758655739328,null,"EP 'A' - Switchboard Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Annualised NPV of Capex",null,2.2323529330610468,null,null,null,null,2027,0,0,0,0.87404323207299617,0.13120743721099379,12.383112296964377,0,13.388362966248367,13.388362966248367,0,2027,0,0,0,4.0921915385876768E-64,0.13120743721099379,3.4332102218717277E-2,0,0.16553953942971106,0.16553953942971106,null,2027,0,0,0,0,8.6596908559255906E-2,0,0,8.6596908559255906E-2,8.6596908559255906E-2,null,"EP 'A' - Bus Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option compared to Do Nothing (NPV Benefits)",null,163.07042388396323,147.23274916432027,155.6255170949895,135.62201028319191,null,2028,0,0,0,1.0226359849702868,0.14561154742957366,12.459501800987514,0,13.627749333387374,13.627749333387374,0,2028,0,0,0,5.2178196140036693E-63,0,0,0,5.2178196140036693E-63,5.2178196140036693E-63,null,2028,0,0,0,0,4.9507926126055056E-2,0,0,4.9507926126055056E-2,4.9507926126055056E-2,null,"EP 'B' - Transformer Failure",0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,0.87404323207299617,1.0226359849702868,1.2579208390547183,1.5590488004476275,1.9249601976532058,2.2972749161810646,2.6543836742832863,3.0385520389617384,3.4624438520278522,3.9320001180561106,4.4483653690748284,5.025719971206831,5.6690961532023962,6.3844329059436333,7.1693605486146881,8.0336063014126982,8.9775479127414766,8.3311008100845942,0]
["Option compared to Do Nothing (NPV Benefits less Capex)",null,122.999721638731,99.772141824957785,108.13760881025867,68.494177785121238,null,2029,0,0,0,1.2579208390547183,0.15868011541692001,12.598843824653667,0,14.015444779125305,14.015444779125305,0,2029,0,0,0,3.7424730657215592E-62,0,0,0,3.7424730657215592E-62,3.7424730657215592E-62,null,2029,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'B' - Switchboard Failure",9.9359826429109524E-2,0.11523970402951532,0.13120743721099379,0.14561154742957366,0.15868011541692001,0.16978271757523442,0.1786451870305357,0.18522251070865783,0.1896293782517065,0.19288117924785275,0.19543322982633438,0.19761536341337976,0.19962836270372317,0.20157516170995143,0.20350003213345416,0.20541883173351366,0.20733624550986959,0.20925340217678579,0.21117052066695524,0.17737789371483972,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2030,0,0,0,1.5590488004476275,0.16978271757523442,12.766746275887174,0,14.495577793910035,14.495577793910035,0,2030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'B' - Bus Failure",12.31353694741223,12.291172991554539,12.383112296964377,12.459501800987514,12.598843824653667,12.766746275887174,12.953710624149418,13.12238438567678,13.270880133812776,13.419375881948774,13.56787163008476,13.71636737822079,13.86486312635677,14.013358874492752,14.161854622628734,14.310350370764766,14.458846118900748,14.607341867036709,14.755837615172739,12.406629145831161,0]
["Energy at Risk ($m, 2024 real)",null,null,null,null,null,null,2031,0,0,0,1.9249601976532058,0.1786451870305357,12.953710624149418,0,15.057316008833158,15.057316008833158,0,2031,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2031,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Total Cost of Energy at Risk",13.068509427830712,13.122357501991052,13.388362966248367,13.627749333387374,14.015444779125305,14.495577793910035,15.057316008833158,15.604881812566502,16.114893186347768,16.650809100158366,17.225748711938948,17.845982859690281,18.512856858135322,19.240654007409535,20.034450807964586,20.900202108441913,21.835542913025307,22.850201570626194,23.94455604858117,20.915107849630594,0]
["EPA - Transformers",0,0,0,null,null,null,2032,0,0,0,2.2972749161810646,0.18522251070865783,13.12238438567678,0,15.604881812566502,15.604881812566502,0,2032,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2032,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["EPA - Switchgear",0,0,0,null,null,null,2033,0,0,0,2.6543836742832863,0.1896293782517065,13.270880133812776,0,16.114893186347768,16.114893186347768,0,2033,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2033,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"OPTION TWO"]
["EPA - Bus failure",0,0,0,null,null,null,2034,0,0,0,3.0385520389617384,0.19288117924785275,13.419375881948774,0,16.650809100158366,16.650809100158366,0,2034,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2034,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Year",2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045]
["EPB - Transformers",77.530457386752332,1.4679637607623026,0.75777303862626966,null,null,null,2035,0,0,0,3.4624438520278522,0.19543322982633438,13.56787163008476,0,17.225748711938948,17.225748711938948,0,2035,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2035,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'A' - Transformer Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["EPB - Switchgear",3.5883209877915916,0.35955930854230445,0.34371355929130887,null,null,null,2036,0,0,0,3.9320001180561106,0.19761536341337976,13.71636737822079,0,17.845982859690281,17.845982859690281,0,2036,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2036,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'A' - Switchboard Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["EPB - Bus failure",269.4764433799412,0.10203517677720533,3.7224196079046631E-2,null,null,null,2037,0,0,0,4.4483653690748284,0.19962836270372317,13.86486312635677,0,18.512856858135322,18.512856858135322,0,2037,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2037,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'A' - Bus Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["EPN - Transformers",0,0,0.83982899445466397,null,null,null,2038,0,0,0,5.025719971206831,0.20157516170995143,14.013358874492752,0,19.240654007409535,19.240654007409535,0,2038,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2038,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'B' - Transformer Failure",0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,4.0921915385876768E-64,5.2178196140036693E-63,3.7424730657215592E-62,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["EPN - Switchgear",null,null,null,null,null,null,2039,0,0,0,5.6690961532023962,0.20350003213345416,14.161854622628734,0,20.034450807964586,20.034450807964586,0,2039,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2039,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'B' - Switchboard Failure",9.9359826429109524E-2,0.11523970402951532,0.13120743721099379,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["EPN - Bus failure",null,null,null,null,null,null,2040,0,0,0,6.3844329059436333,0.20541883173351366,14.310350370764766,0,20.900202108441913,20.900202108441913,0,2040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"EP 'B' - Bus Failure",3.1591808659842742E-2,3.0725823461667773E-2,3.4332102218717277E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["PTN - Transformers",3.1120800456492417E-14,0,7.3754496696736572E-17,null,null,null,2041,0,0,0,7.1693605486146881,0.20733624550986959,14.458846118900748,0,21.835542913025307,21.835542913025307,0,2041,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2041,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Total Cost of Energy at Risk",0.78656428907832476,0.8619103338981805,0.16553953942971106,5.2178196140036693E-63,3.7424730657215592E-62,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["PTN - Switchgear",0,0,null,null,null,null,2042,0,0,0,8.0336063014126982,0.20925340217678579,14.607341867036709,0,22.850201570626194,22.850201570626194,0,2042,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2042,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["PTN - Bus failure",0,0,null,null,null,null,2043,0,0,0,8.9775479127414766,0.21117052066695524,14.755837615172739,0,23.94455604858117,23.94455604858117,0,2043,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2043,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"OPTION THREE"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2044,0,0,0,8.3311008100845942,0.17737789371483972,12.406629145831161,0,20.915107849630594,20.915107849630594,0,2044,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2044,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,"Year",2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2045,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2045,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,2045,0,0,0,0,0,0,null,null,0,null,"EP 'A' - Transformer Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP 'A' - Switchboard Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP 'A' - Bus Failure",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP 'B' - Transformer Failure",0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP 'B' - Switchboard Failure",9.9359826429109524E-2,9.4496557304202561E-2,8.6596908559255906E-2,4.9507926126055056E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP 'B' - Bus Failure",3.1591808659842742E-2,2.469449822263329E-4,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Cost of Energy at Risk",0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Energy at risk",null,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043]
["Option 1- Do Nothing",null,-13.068509427947813,-13.122357502108153,-13.388362966365468,-13.627749333504475,-14.015444779242406,-14.495577794027136,-15.057316008950259,-15.604881812683603,-16.114893186464869,-16.650809100275467,-17.225748712056046,-17.845982859807382,-18.512856858252423,-19.240654007526636,-20.034450808081687,-20.900202108559014,-21.835542913142408,-22.850201570743295,-23.944556048698278,-20.91510784972813]
["Option 2: Like for Like replacement",null,-0.78656428919542543,-0.86191033401528117,-0.16553953954681166,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917955E-10,-1.171006531493282E-10,-1.1710339530557152E-10,-9.7507625617593906E-11]
["Option 3: Preston Conversion Programme",null,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-8.6596908676356527E-2,-4.950792624315567E-2,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917958E-10,-1.1710061541918012E-10,-1.1710061541918596E-10,-1.1710061541924599E-10,-1.1710061541982258E-10,-1.1710061542503488E-10,-1.1710061546921879E-10,-1.3877415100156502E-3,-1.2509101931451595E-2,-3.0813112477634109E-2,-7.202214291652842E-2,-0.14907365254093274,-0.24655334405294432,-0.32746989982523739]
["Option 3 net benefits",null,12.281945138752388,13.021859915433659,13.301766057689111,13.57824140726132,14.015444779125305,14.495577793910035,15.057316008833158,15.604881812566502,16.114893186347768,16.650809100158366,17.225748711938945,17.845982859690281,18.512856858135322,19.239266266016621,20.021941706150233,20.86938899608138,21.763520770225881,22.701127918202364,23.698002704645333,20.587637949902891]
[]
["Capex",null,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043]
["Option 1- Do Nothing",null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option 2: Like for Like replacement",null,0,0,-49,-8.1999999999999993,-4.8,-6.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option 3: Preston Conversion Programme",null,0,0,-30,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
["Benefit Compared to Do Nothing",null,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043]
["Option 1- Do Nothing",null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option 2: Like for Like replacement",null,12.281945138752388,12.260447168092872,-35.777176573181343,5.427749333387375,9.2154447791253062,7.7955777939100352,11.357316008833159,11.904881812566503,12.414893186347769,12.950809100158367,17.225748711938945,17.845982859690281,18.512856858135322,19.240654007409535,20.034450807964586,20.900202108441913,21.835542913025307,22.850201570626194,23.944556048581173,20.915107849630623]
["Option 3: Preston Conversion Programme",null,12.281945138752388,13.021859915433659,-16.698233942310885,13.57824140726132,-4.3845552208746934,14.495577793910035,15.057316008833158,15.604881812566502,16.114893186347768,16.650809100158366,17.225748711938945,17.845982859690281,18.512856858135322,19.239266266016621,20.021941706150233,20.86938899608138,21.763520770225881,22.701127918202364,23.698002704645333,20.587637949902891]
[]
["Cumulative Benefits (undiscounted)",null,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043]
["Option 1- Do Nothing",null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option 2: Like for Like replacement",null,12.281945138752388,24.542392306845258,-11.234784266336087,-5.8070349329487101,3.4084098461765944,11.203987640086631,22.56130364891979,34.46618546148629,46.881078647834059,59.831887747992425,77.057636459931373,94.903619319621654,113.41647617775698,132.65713018516652,152.69158099313111,173.59178310157301,195.42732601459832,218.2775275852245,242.22208363380568,263.13719148343631]
["Option 3: Preston Conversion Programme",null,12.281945138752388,25.303805054186046,8.6055711118751592,22.183812519136481,17.799257298261786,32.294835092171823,47.352151101004985,62.957032913571489,79.071926099919267,95.722735200077636,112.94848391201658,130.79446677170688,149.30732362984222,168.54658989585883,188.56853160200907,209.43792059809044,231.20144136831632,253.90256928651871,277.60057199116403,298.18820994106693]
[]
["POSITIVE CAPEX"]
["Option 1- Do Nothing",null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option 2: Like for Like replacement",null,0,0,49,8.1999999999999993,4.8,6.7,3.7,3.7,3.7,3.7,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Option 3: Preston Conversion Programme",null,0,0,30,0,18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
["Annual benefits",null,11.812986905548538,11.277487800176226,10.939432979357251,10.586643879549525,10.351609625770706,10.178959014405565,10.052688681740573]
["Annualised Option 2 cost",null,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468]

{"sheet":"Optimal timing","index":2,"n_rows":4,"n_cols":8,"rows_kept":4,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Year",2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031]
["Annual benefits",1.9228815758048852,11.026422616353113,11.176990213501732,10.852836070680894,10.53713595330637,10.351609625653605,10.178959014288465]
["Annualised Option 2 cost",2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468,2.2323529330610468]
[null,-0.30947135725616159,8.7940696832920651,8.9446372804406842,8.6204831376198463,8.3047830202453241,8.1192566925925576,7.9466060812274177]

{"sheet":"Inputs >>","index":3,"n_rows":9,"n_cols":2,"rows_kept":9,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"Inputs >>"]

{"sheet":"Const","index":4,"n_rows":208,"n_cols":15,"rows_kept":208,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Const"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Active scenario",1,null,null,null,null,2,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Comparison scenario",1,null,null,null,null,2]
[null,null,null,null,"Total comparison column differences",null,null,null,null,null,0,null,"Base case"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Description","Constant","Unit","Comment"]
["start range"]
[]
[null,null,"Financial data"]
[null,null,null,null,"discount rate",5.1799999999999999E-2,"%",null,null,null,0,null,5.1799999999999999E-2,null,"Update with 2024 discount rate"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh",null,null,null,0,null,4.7905000000000003E-2,null,"Updated with 2024 VCR value"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Load data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 10% POE",0.3,"%",null,null,null,0,null,0.3]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 50% POE",0.7,"%",null,null,null,0,null,0.7]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Valuation period",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Start Date","2025-11-01",null,null,null,null,0,null,"2025-11-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"End Date","2045-10-31",null,null,null,null,0,null,"2045-10-31"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Discount Year",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,2024,null,null,null,null,0,null,2024]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Outage duration",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer outage duration as percentage of year",0.21666666666666667,"%",null,null,null,0,null,0.21666666666666667]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Option 1 - Do nothing",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0,null,"00:00:00"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Option 2 - Continue with the final two stages of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston conversion from East Preston (EPN)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2028-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2028-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 7",-30,null,null,null,null,0,null,-30]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2030-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2030-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 8",-18.399999999999999,null,null,null,null,0,null,-18.399999999999999]
[null,null,null,null,null,"00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Option 3 - Continue with the final 2 stages of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston conversion from Preston (PTN) ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2028-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2028-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 7 (new PTN feeders)",-38.6,null,null,null,null,0,null,-38.6]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2030-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2030-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 8",-18.399999999999999,null,null,null,null,0,null,-18.399999999999999]
[null,null,null,null,null,"00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Option 4 - Complete EP Stage 7 of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston Conversion and transfer the remaining EP load to Fairfield (FF)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2028-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2028-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 7",-30,null,null,null,null,0,null,-30]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2030-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2030-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Install  three new FF feeders and load transfer",-14.9,null,null,null,null,0,null,-14.9]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2035-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2035-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"On-going distribution replacement works & retire EP",-16.8,null,null,null,null,0,null,-16.8]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,"00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"Option 5 - Undertake like for like replacement of the remaining EP 6.6 kV distribution assets",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement works and feeder augmentation",0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement work",0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"rebuilt EP",0,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2028-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2028-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"New zone substation and retire EP ZSS",-49,null,null,null,null,0,null,-49]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2029-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2029-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement works and feeder augmentation",-8.1999999999999993,null,null,null,null,0,null,-8.1999999999999993]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2030-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2030-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement work",-4.8,null,null,null,null,0,null,-4.8]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2031-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2031-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder augmentation",-6.7,null,null,null,null,0,null,-6.7]
[null,null,null,null,"Ongoing Distribution replacement works start","2032-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2032-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Ongoing Distribution replacement works end","2035-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2035-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement works cost",-29.9,null,null,null,null,0,null,-29.9]
[null,null,null,null,"Annual Distribution replacement works cost",-3.7,null,null,null,null,0,null,-3.7]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
["Current substation characteristics - to be changed in each option based on proposed actions",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"CS substation data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"FF Substation data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age",null,null,null,0,null,5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age",null,null,null,0,null,5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age",1,"age",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",54,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,54]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",43.8,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,43.8]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",21.9,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,21.9]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"EP A Substation data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",56,"age",null,null,null,0,null,56]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2021-03-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2021-03-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",56,"age",null,null,null,0,null,56]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2021-03-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2021-03-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#",null,null,null,0,null,10]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,4.3]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years",null,null,null,0,null,58]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","2018-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2018-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of loss bus",0,"%",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"EP B Substation data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",63,"age",null,null,null,0,null,63]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2028-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2028-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",64,"age",null,null,null,0,null,64]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2028-12-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2028-12-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#",null,null,null,0,null,10]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,4.3]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years",null,null,null,0,null,58]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","2018-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2018-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",28.5,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,28.5]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",27,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,27]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",13.5,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,13.5]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of loss bus",6.9230769230769233E-3,"%",null,null,null,0,null,6.9230769230769233E-3]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"P Substation data",null,null,null,null,"Decommsionned in 2018",null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",1E-8,"MW",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",0,"years",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of loss bus",0,"%",null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"PTN Substation data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age",null,null,null,0,null,5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2019-11-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2019-11-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age",null,null,null,0,null,5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2019-11-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2019-11-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",5,"#",null,null,null,0,null,5]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",12,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,12]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",1,"years",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","2056-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2056-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (1 Tx)",30,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,30]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (1 Tx)",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (2 Tx)",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (2 Tx)",38,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of loss of PTN-EPN bus",0.1,"%",null,null,null,0,null,0.1]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,"EPN Substation data",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",9,"age",null,null,null,0,null,9]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2015-11-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2015-11-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",1,"age",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2025-10-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2025-10-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",8,"#",null,null,null,0,null,8]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",12,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,12]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",1,"years",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","2057-07-01","date",null,null,null,0,null,"2057-07-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs",null,null,null,0,null,1]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (1 Tx)",33,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,33]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (1 Tx)",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (2 Tx)",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (2 Tx)",38,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of loss of PTN-EPN bus",0.1,"%",null,null,null,0,null,0.1]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0]
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["end range"]

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[null,null,"Column number"]
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[null,null,"Valuation period"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Valuation period flag",null,"flag",null,null,null,0.16483516483516483,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.83241758241758246,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
[null,"CS ZSS data"]
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[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
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[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
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[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
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[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion"]
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[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers"]
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[]
[null,"FF ZSS data"]
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[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
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[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
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[]
[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"After for Option 2 & 3",null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,32.021610826885457,32.886330942705072,33.770335903235797,34.515595475906785,35.145703280753963,35.775811085601177,36.405918890448334,37.03602669529549,37.666134500142647,38.296242304989889,38.926350109837053,39.556457914684202,40.186565719531359,40.816673524378608,41.446781329225765,42.076889134072921,42.706996938920078,43.337104743767334,43.976572632918803,44.654107906948006,45.331643180977203,46.009178455006406,46.686713729035702,47.364249003064906,48.041784277094102,48.719319551123306,49.396854825152602,50.074390099181805,50.751925373211002,51.429460647240205,52.106995921269501]
[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers",null,null,null,null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,30.197653510615428,30.98600315283192,31.853857051096067,32.559619236361115,33.25510199843368,33.950584760506224,34.646067522578839,35.341550284651362,36.037033046723977,36.732515808796499,37.427998570869022,38.123481332941637,38.818964095014152,39.514446857086767,40.20992961915929,40.905412381231812,41.600895143304427,42.296377905376943,42.991860667449465,43.687343429522073,44.423469023220001,45.171299950179801,45.919130877139501,46.666961804099302,47.414792731059002,48.162623658018703,48.910454584978503,49.658285511938203,50.406116438898003,51.153947365857704,51.901778292817504]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,40.465484574120921,41.479409969526166,42.51482434234773,43.396570623972892,44.131797758343623,44.867024892714397,45.602252027085107,46.337479161455811,47.072706295826521,47.807933430197323,48.543160564568026,49.278387698938729,50.01361483330944,50.748841967680207,51.484069102050917,52.21929623642162,52.95452337079233,53.68975050516314,54.424977639533843,55.160204773904553,55.895431908275256,56.630659042645966,57.365886177016769,58.101113311387472,58.836340445758175,59.571567580128885,60.306794714499688,61.042021848870398,61.777248983241101,62.512476117611811,63.247703251982614]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,38.321655522962324,39.245729496015187,40.267734319083985,41.105118338658528,41.927665449772185,42.750212560885828,43.572759671999535,44.39530678311317,45.217853894226877,46.040401005340485,46.862948116454085,47.685495227567827,48.508042338681427,49.330589449795134,50.15313656090877,50.975683672022377,51.798230783136077,52.620777894249713,53.443325005363313,54.26587211647702,55.088419227590627,55.910966338704362,56.733513449817963,57.55606056093167,58.378607672045277,59.201154783158913,60.023701894272619,60.846249005386227,61.668796116499962,62.491343227613569,63.313890338727269]
[]
[]
[null,"EP A ZSS data (has been decommissioned)"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"EP B ZSS data"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,17.332785532734164,17.433861767666635,17.543833018121322,17.746014633292223,17.993422925219058,18.243044703186555,18.479491474977877,18.649173417158774,18.8188553593397,18.988537301520601,19.158219243701499,19.3279011858824,19.497583128063301,19.667265070244198,19.8369470124251,20.006628954606001,20.176310896786799,20.3459928389677,20.515674781148601,20.685356723329502,20.855038665510399,21.0247206076913,21.194402549872201,21.364084492053099,21.533766434234,21.703448376414901,21.873130318595798,22.042812260776699,22.2124942029576,22.382176145138502,22.551858087319399,22.7215400295003,22.891221971681201,23.060903913862099]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,16.780116773274017,16.917880240896341,17.021204974957584,17.209001030169308,17.433666282296663,17.694926836344194,17.925809040453242,18.145562523258871,18.3653160060645,18.585069488870101,18.804822971675801,19.024576454481402,19.244329937286999,19.464083420092599,19.6838369028983,19.9035903857039,20.123343868509501,20.343097351315201,20.562850834120798,20.782604316926399,21.002357799732099,21.2221112825377,21.441864765343301,21.661618248148901,21.881371730954601,22.101125213760199,22.320878696565799,22.5406321793714,22.7603856621771,22.980139144982701,23.199892627788302,23.419646110594002,23.639399593399599,23.8591530762052]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1,0.82,0.66,0.34]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,14.212884136842014,11.506348766659979,5.9649032261612502,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,13.759695754084692,11.165800958991586,5.7872096914855788,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,14.212884136842014,11.506348766659979,5.9649032261612502,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,13.759695754084692,11.165800958991586,5.7872096914855788,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,"P ZSS data (has been decommissioned)"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW"]
[]
[]
[null,"EPN"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,8.4,7,6,5,4,3,2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[]
[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,28.996757239351485,30.037746348125896,30.892179396462229,31.447262564756024,31.902188693815646,32.341692180828673,32.774188342912929,33.19790129454578,33.621614246178602,34.045327197811503,34.469040149444297,34.892753101077197,35.316466052709998,35.740179004342899,36.1638919559757,36.587604907608601,37.011317859241402,37.435030810874302,37.858743762507103,38.282456714139997,38.706169665772798,39.129882617405698,39.553595569038499,39.9773085206714,40.401021472304201,40.824734423937102,41.248447375570002,41.672160327202803,42.095873278835597,42.519586230468498,42.943299182101299,43.3670121337342,43.790725085367001,44.214438036999901]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,27.768149430121589,28.796506392341719,29.634739125215113,30.164224901888545,30.606215428521995,31.043061976380621,31.468996375651798,31.886520385330513,32.3040443950092,32.721568404687901,33.139092414366701,33.556616424045401,33.974140433724102,34.391664443402803,34.809188453081497,35.226712462760197,35.644236472438898,36.061760482117698,36.479284491796399,36.8968085014751,37.3143325111538,37.731856520832501,38.149380530511202,38.566904540189903,38.984428549868703,39.401952559547397,39.819476569226097,40.237000578904798,40.654524588583499,41.072048598262199,41.489572607941,41.9070966176197,42.324620627298401,42.742144636977102]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,32.116658635243638,35.965259349132552,32.471109188422304,41.60350596996436,42.370926851281325,43.12659012404373,43.851627864464433,44.492450227460225,45.133272590456023,45.774094953451872,46.4149173164476,47.055739679443455,47.696562042439204,48.337384405435046,48.978206768430795,49.619029131426643,50.259851494422293,50.900673857418134,51.541496220413883,52.182318583409725,52.823140946405466,53.454603225096996,54.047998118910698,54.641393012724492,55.234787906538202,55.828182800351996,56.421577694165805,57.0149725879795,57.608367481793195,58.201762375607004,58.795157269420699,59.388552163234493,59.981947057048203,60.575341950861997]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,30.788570449310914,34.548585674246475,30.868734408687118,39.64616759414718,40.372161518021066,41.135590956355699,41.845529444648356,42.535155102019878,43.224780759391379,43.914406416762866,44.604032074134544,45.29365773150603,45.983283388877503,46.672909046248982,47.362534703620568,48.052160360992048,48.741786018363534,49.431411675735212,50.121037333106692,50.810662990478178,51.500288647849757,52.189914305221237,52.87953996259273,53.528522788338805,54.165800280823305,54.803077773307592,55.440355265791894,56.077632758276195,56.714910250760596,57.352187743244897,57.989465235729298,58.626742728213699,59.264020220698001,59.901297713182302]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"After for Option 4",null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,32.116658635243638,35.965259349132552,42.471109188422304,43.159632222728888,43.777847824460224,44.382101684931797,44.970652716398327,45.506355749870572,46.042058783342803,46.577761816815098,47.113464850287286,47.649167883759581,48.184870917231777,48.720573950704072,49.256276984176267,49.791980017648562,50.327683051120687,50.863386084592989,51.399089118065177,51.934792151537465,52.470495185009661,53.006198218481956,53.541901251954151,54.077604285426446,54.613307318898642,55.149010352370937,55.684713385843231,56.220416419315427,56.756119452787615,57.29182248625991,57.827525519732106,58.363228553204401,58.898931586676596,59.434634620148884]
[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers",null,null,null,null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,30.788570449310914,34.548585674246475,40.868734408687118,41.522165581800287,42.112435174837792,42.721713688367785,43.300030342350937,43.862591650681367,44.425152959011768,44.98771426734217,45.550275575672728,46.11283688400313,46.675398192333517,47.237959500663919,47.800520808994378,48.363082117324772,48.925643425655167,49.488204733985732,50.050766042316127,50.613327350646522,51.175888658976987,51.738449967307382,52.301011275637777,52.863572583968178,53.426133892298736,53.988695200629124,54.551256508959526,55.11381781728992,55.676379125620386,56.238940433950781,56.801501742281282,57.36406305061174,57.926624358942135,58.489185667272537]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.779233363417738,20.734297382778387,26.116658635243638,30.965259349132552,28.471109188422304,38.60350596996436,40.370926851281325,42.12659012404373,42.851627864464433,43.492450227460225,44.133272590456023,44.774094953451872,45.4149173164476,46.055739679443455,46.696562042439204,47.337384405435046,47.978206768430795,48.619029131426643,49.259851494422293,49.900673857418134,50.541496220413883,51.182318583409725,51.823140946405466,52.454603225096996,53.047998118910698,53.641393012724492,54.234787906538202,54.828182800351996,55.421577694165805,56.0149725879795,56.608367481793195,57.201762375607004,57.795157269420699,58.388552163234493,58.981947057048203,59.575341950861997]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.592952580778615,19.522474836365362,24.788570449310914,29.548585674246475,26.868734408687118,36.64616759414718,38.372161518021066,40.135590956355699,40.845529444648356,41.535155102019878,42.224780759391379,42.914406416762866,43.604032074134544,44.29365773150603,44.983283388877503,45.672909046248982,46.362534703620568,47.052160360992048,47.741786018363534,48.431411675735212,49.121037333106692,49.810662990478178,50.500288647849757,51.189914305221237,51.87953996259273,52.528522788338805,53.165800280823305,53.803077773307592,54.440355265791894,55.077632758276195,55.714910250760596,56.352187743244897,56.989465235729298,57.626742728213699,58.264020220698001,58.901297713182302]
[]
[]
[null,"PTN"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Transfer capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6]
[]
[null,null,null,"Current demand"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,30.152704720644092,36.034090762308722,36.174258984318669,36.544659744477819,36.901051398768395,37.475468847093467,38.14977771428137,38.833589054845255,39.494098813187982,40.016008272073606,40.537917730959201,41.059827189844903,41.581736648730498,42.1036461076161,42.625555566501703,43.147465025387397,43.669374484273,44.191283943158602,44.713193402044197,45.2351028609298,45.757012319815502,46.278921778701097,46.800831237586699,47.322740696472302,47.844650155358003,48.366559614243599,48.888469073129201,49.410378532014803,49.932287990900498,50.454197449786101,50.976106908671703,51.498016367557298,52.019925826443,52.541835285328602,53.063744744214198,53.5856542030998]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,28.200713914591365,33.77725524805318,33.900645330265725,34.328749004939667,34.656624710771972,35.179009450383312,35.780685672466731,36.462016725540821,37.085374123585687,37.690015785723844,38.294657447862001,38.8992991100002,39.5039407721383,40.108582434276499,40.713224096414599,41.317865758552799,41.922507420690899,42.527149082829098,43.131790744967297,43.736432407105397,44.341074069243597,44.945715731381704,45.550357393519903,46.154999055658003,46.759640717796202,47.364282379934401,47.968924042072501,48.573565704210701,49.178207366348801,49.782849028487,50.3874906906251,50.992132352763299,51.596774014901499,52.201415677039599,52.806057339177798,53.410699001315898]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand post conversion"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,30.152704720644092,36.034090762308722,39.294160380210819,42.472172745484471,48.479981190728466,55.221483480385686,56.143200639500428,57.076633758031811,57.973590288165859,58.665181689232384,59.356773090298901,60.048364491365504,60.739955892431993,61.431547293498497,62.123138694565,62.814730095631596,63.506321496698099,64.19791289776461,64.889504298831,65.581095699897503,66.272687100964106,66.964278502030595,67.655869903097098,68.347461304163602,69.039052705230205,69.730644106296694,70.422235507363197,71.113826908429701,71.805418309496304,72.497009710562793,73.18860111162931,73.8801925126958,74.571783913762403,75.263375314828906,75.954966715895395,76.646558116961899]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,28.200713914591365,33.77725524805318,36.921066349455046,40.080828286844422,45.890619994243977,17.209001030169308,17.433666282296663,17.694926836344194,17.925809040453242,18.145562523258871,18.3653160060645,18.585069488870101,18.804822971675801,19.024576454481402,19.244329937286999,19.464083420092599,19.6838369028983,19.9035903857039,20.123343868509501,20.343097351315201,20.562850834120798,20.782604316926399,21.002357799732099,21.2221112825377,21.441864765343301,21.661618248148901,21.881371730954601,22.101125213760199,22.320878696565799,22.5406321793714,22.7603856621771,22.980139144982701,23.199892627788302,23.419646110594002,23.639399593399599,23.8591530762052]
[]
[null,null,null,"Demand with load transfers"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.152704720644092,30.034090762308722,33.294160380210819,36.472172745484471,42.479981190728466,49.221483480385686,50.143200639500428,51.076633758031811,51.973590288165859,52.665181689232384,53.356773090298901,54.048364491365504,54.739955892431993,55.431547293498497,56.123138694565,56.814730095631596,57.506321496698099,58.19791289776461,58.889504298831,59.581095699897503,60.272687100964106,60.964278502030595,61.655869903097098,62.347461304163602,63.039052705230205,63.730644106296694,64.422235507363197,65.113826908429701,65.805418309496304,66.497009710562793,67.18860111162931,67.8801925126958,68.571783913762403,69.263375314828906,69.954966715895395,70.646558116961899]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,22.200713914591365,27.77725524805318,30.921066349455046,34.080828286844422,39.890619994243977,11.209001030169308,11.433666282296663,11.694926836344194,11.925809040453242,12.145562523258871,12.3653160060645,12.585069488870101,12.804822971675801,13.024576454481402,13.244329937286999,13.464083420092599,13.6838369028983,13.9035903857039,14.123343868509501,14.343097351315201,14.562850834120798,14.782604316926399,15.002357799732099,15.2221112825377,15.441864765343301,15.661618248148901,15.881371730954601,16.101125213760199,16.320878696565799,16.5406321793714,16.7603856621771,16.980139144982701,17.199892627788302,17.419646110594002,17.639399593399599,17.8591530762052]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"End"]

{"sheet":"Transf. curve","index":6,"n_rows":39,"n_cols":155,"rows_kept":39,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[null,null,"Failure curve inputs"]
[]
[null,null,"Transformer Failure Model for Cost of Risk Calculations"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Perk's formula:","f(t) =  ","A + a.e(bt)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,"1 + µ.e(bt)"]
[null,null,"Notes:"]
[null,null,"\"A\" is a constant set at 0.5% to take into account random events other than aging (eg lightning)."]
[null,null,"\"a\", \"b\" and \"µ\" are constants."]
[null,null,"\"t\" is years"]
[]
[null,null,"Parameters",null,null,null,null,null,"Weibull Parameters"]
[null,null,"A",5.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,null,null,"Weibull shape factor",10,"affect the steepness of the curve - higher is steep so more rapid decline in condition"]
[null,null,"b",0.16900000000000001,null,null,null,null,"Weibull scale (mean life)",60,"where 63.2% of all assets have reached end of life - shifts curve left and right"]
[null,null,"a",2.0010000000000001E-4]
[null,null,"µ",2.0000000000000001E-4,null,null,null,null,"Normal Parameters"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Standard deviation",5,"years"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Perks (1), Weibull (2), Normal (3) or Conditional (4)",3,"(select preferred distribution)"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Function"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,{"$f":"DA22+1","v":101},{"$f":"DB22+1","v":102},103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,133,134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
[null,null,null,"Transformer Failure Rate",{"$f":"CHOOSE($E$19,E27,E31,E35,E38)","v":1.7764821120776537E-33},{"$f":"CHOOSE($E$19,F27,F31,F35,F38)","v":1.9515572931695342E-32},2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5,7.234804392511999E-5,1.5910859015753364E-4,3.369292656768808E-4,6.8713793791584719E-4,1.3498980316300933E-3,2.5551303304279312E-3,4.6611880237187476E-3,8.1975359245961311E-3,1.3903447513498597E-2,2.2750131948179191E-2,3.5930319112925789E-2,5.4799291699557967E-2,8.0756659233771053E-2,0.11506967022170828,0.15865525393145699,0.21185539858339661,0.27425311775007355,0.34457825838967576,0.42074029056089696,0.5,0.57925970943910299,0.65542174161032429,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,{"$f":"CHOOSE($E$19,BR27,BR31,BR35,BR38)","v":0.84134474606854304},0.88493032977829178,0.91924334076622893,0.94520070830044201,0.96406968088707423,0.97724986805182079,0.98609655248650141,0.99180246407540384,0.99533881197628127,0.99744486966957202,0.9986501019683699,0.99931286206208414,0.99966307073432314,0.99984089140984245,0.99992765195607491,0.99996832875816688,0.9999866542509841,0.99999458745609227,0.9999978875452975,0.99999920667184805,0.99999971334842808,0.99999990035573683,0.99999996667955149,0.99999998928240974,0.99999999668425399,0.9999999990134123,0.99999999971768416,0.99999999992231148,0.99999999997944211,0.99999999999476907,0.99999999999872013,0.99999999999969891,0.99999999999993194,0.99999999999998523,0.99999999999999689,0.99999999999999933,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,{"$f":"CHOOSE($E$19,ED27,ED31,ED35,ED38)","v":1},1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[]
[null,null,null,"Perk's formula"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,{"$f":"DA26+1","v":101},102,103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,{"$f":"EG26+1","v":133},134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
[null,null,null,"Transformer Failure Rate",{"$f":"($D$13+$D$15*EXP($D$14*E26))/(1+$D$16*EXP($D$14*E26))","v":5.1990601879624079E-3},{"$f":"($D$13+$D$15*EXP($D$14*F26))/(1+$D$16*EXP($D$14*F26))","v":5.2357024996444379E-3},5.2790879101354375E-3,5.3304565574197119E-3,5.3912763503620141E-3,5.4632846795897513E-3,5.5485377173600794E-3,5.6494686672933442E-3,5.7689565608611592E-3,5.9104074711764298E-3,6.0778503305777059E-3,6.2760499013178889E-3,6.5106398625390189E-3,6.7882794448658025E-3,7.1168375678195492E-3,7.5056090132745073E-3,7.9655677940196363E-3,8.5096635365591016E-3,9.1531673672398638E-3,9.9140744307211481E-3,1.0813570717675972E-2,1.1876572241573027E-2,1.313234464728151E-2,1.4615210865025926E-2,1.6365353174848066E-2,1.8429713655716152E-2,2.0862992976035125E-2,2.3728741211121139E-2,2.7100525059182916E-2,3.1063142517251677E-2,3.5713837683374008E-2,4.1163443731069935E-2,4.7537350241234781E-2,5.4976151399594983E-2,6.363578444642759E-2,7.3686915269884523E-2,8.5313274943107059E-2,9.8708606003774291E-2,0.11407185411434338,0.1316002588706352,0.15148008137439786,0.17387488197044904,0.19891155044755063,0.2266646981157722,0.25714052141053895,0.2902617715486378,0.32585589749167615,0.36364861764363882,0.40326496810222606,0.44423917992479756,0.48603358346026948,0.52806530795361861,0.56973815522404991,0.61047603765400804,0.64975406239601274,0.68712380602019374,0.72223042177608954,0.75482064896275602,0.78474218962650211,0.81193598797711297,0.83642354098227656,0.85829148475900241,0.87767545002114411,0.89474471661807853,{"$f":"($D$13+$D$15*EXP($D$14*BQ26))/(1+$D$16*EXP($D$14*BQ26))","v":0.90968866939569537},0.92270557244165796,0.93399379503703572,0.94374535804090254,0.95214151450385165,0.9593500100686102,0.9655236608967811,0.97079991589068926,0.97530111757720828,0.97913522955073717,0.98239685005097455,0.98516837694766912,0.98752122747070215,0.98951704633441406,0.9912088591600644,0.99264214536092543,0.99385581706112969,0.99488309923778318,0.99575231202664882,0.99648755976990466,0.99710933350637854,0.99763503466733117,0.99807942808619832,0.99845503230870924,0.99877245477954879,0.99904067890858583,0.99926730936940766,0.99945878131230304,0.99962053851921828,0.99975718491132659,0.99987261325260435,0.99997011438033256,1.0000524698366084,1.0001220303718332,1.0001807824382916,1.0002304044850259,1.0002723145996428,1.0003077108138305,1.0003376051928226,1.0003628526607204,1.0003841753697553,1.0004021832989141,1.0004173916629118,1.0004302356236705,1.0004410827210426,1.0004502433754705,1.0004579797610145,1.0004645133011441,1.0004700310007517,1.0004746907948376,1.0004786260664085,1.0004819494625201,1.0004847561174091,1.0004871263747777,1.0004891280870198,1.0004908185571002,1.0004922461786054,1.0004934518208668,1.0004944699987648,1.0004953298606873,1.0004960560228935,1.000496669274167,1.0004971871709161,1.0004976245397512,{"$f":"($D$13+$D$15*EXP($D$14*EC26))/(1+$D$16*EXP($D$14*EC26))","v":1.0004979939019258},1.0004983058317847,1.0004985692594797,1.0004987917266221,1.0004989796021821,1.0004991382648203,1.0004992722568704,1.0004993854143778,1.0004994809769205,1.0004995616803527,1.0004996298351299,1.0004996873924534,1.0004997360001309,1.0004997770497508,1.0004998117165229,1.0004998409929227,1.000499865717104,1.0004998865968964,1.0004999042300677,1.0004999191214383,1.0004999316973338,1.0004999423177894,1.0004999512868593]
[]
[null,null,null,"Weibull distribution"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,{"$f":"DA30+1","v":101},102,103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,{"$f":"EG30+1","v":133},134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
[null,null,null,"Transformer Failure Rate",{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(E30,$J$13,$J$14,TRUE)","v":0},{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(F30,$J$13,$J$14,TRUE)","v":1.6538171687920217E-18},1.6935087808430241E-15,9.7656249999995447E-14,1.7341529915817562E-12,1.6150558288854161E-11,9.9999999995000317E-11,4.6716241644588004E-10,1.7757726618045752E-9,5.7665038896237168E-9,1.6538171551164664E-8,4.2895757199359231E-8,1.0239999475712022E-7,2.2799271469330805E-7,4.783742001313466E-7,9.5367386165904364E-7,1.8183895540301191E-6,3.3340797666862475E-6,5.9048825661123044E-6,1.0139611233947244E-5,1.6934944410640211E-5,2.7585093059479669E-5,4.3924291614301271E-5,6.8509528603343257E-5,1.048521026340098E-4,1.5770785859888723E-4,2.3343731572889723E-4,3.4044832347309101E-4,4.8973533858343921E-4,6.9553085166811004E-4,9.7608581802433774E-4,1.3545970370956693E-3,1.8603000890779959E-3,2.5297464060232075E-3,3.4082819484827858E-3,4.5517422528225616E-3,6.0283735978223672E-3,7.9209817669115765E-3,1.0329297125009639E-2,1.3372525927225948E-2,1.7192031013223329E-2,2.1954048050795042E-2,2.7852293746039036E-2,3.5110257350587842E-2,4.3982884134295061E-2,5.4757258072726092E-2,6.7751771811038031E-2,8.3313139829331251E-2,0.10181047660792183,0.12362554552995579,0.14913821881548506,0.17870622223124638,0.21263843645158284,0.25116147121082116,0.29438000711260986,0.34223258835278242,0.39444617426891437,0.45049474351276325,0.50956934874689486,0.57056876788443789,0.63212055882855767,0.69264097573805872,0.75043795092674193,0.80385373082595635,0.85143331712331183,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(BR30,$J$13,$J$14,TRUE)","v":0.89209365545756381},0.925260194710541,0.95093652726012634,0.96968285404702903,0.98250005840886923,0.9906429402353556,0.99540863389697276,0.99795372952332151,0.99918104988221201,0.99970934683024026,0.99990977696135463,0.99997587367264995,0.99999453414476702,0.99999896989434667,0.99999984170374756,0.9999999805948363,0.99999999814717788,0.99999999986575994,0.99999999999282696,0.999999999999726,0.99999999999999278,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.WEIBULL.DIST(ED30,$J$13,$J$14,TRUE)","v":1},1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[]
[null,null,null,"Normal"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,{"$f":"DA34+1","v":101},102,103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,{"$f":"EG34+1","v":133},134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
[null,null,null,"Transformer Failure Rate",{"$f":"_xlfn.NORM.DIST(E$34,$J$14,$J$17,1)","v":1.7764821120776537E-33},{"$f":"_xlfn.NORM.DIST(F$34,$J$14,$J$17,1)","v":1.9515572931695342E-32},2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5,7.234804392511999E-5,1.5910859015753364E-4,3.369292656768808E-4,6.8713793791584719E-4,1.3498980316300933E-3,2.5551303304279312E-3,4.6611880237187476E-3,8.1975359245961311E-3,1.3903447513498597E-2,2.2750131948179191E-2,3.5930319112925789E-2,5.4799291699557967E-2,8.0756659233771053E-2,0.11506967022170828,0.15865525393145699,0.21185539858339661,0.27425311775007355,0.34457825838967576,0.42074029056089696,0.5,0.57925970943910299,0.65542174161032429,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,{"$f":"_xlfn.NORM.DIST(BR$34,$J$14,$J$17,1)","v":0.84134474606854304},0.88493032977829178,0.91924334076622893,0.94520070830044201,0.96406968088707423,0.97724986805182079,0.98609655248650141,0.99180246407540384,0.99533881197628127,0.99744486966957202,0.9986501019683699,0.99931286206208414,0.99966307073432314,0.99984089140984245,0.99992765195607491,0.99996832875816688,0.9999866542509841,0.99999458745609227,0.9999978875452975,0.99999920667184805,0.99999971334842808,0.99999990035573683,0.99999996667955149,0.99999998928240974,0.99999999668425399,0.9999999990134123,0.99999999971768416,0.99999999992231148,0.99999999997944211,0.99999999999476907,0.99999999999872013,0.99999999999969891,0.99999999999993194,0.99999999999998523,0.99999999999999689,0.99999999999999933,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,{"$f":"_xlfn.NORM.DIST(ED$34,$J$14,$J$17,1)","v":1},1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Conditional probability",0,{"$f":"1-EXP((E$30/$J$14)^$J$13-(F$30/$J$14)^$J$13)","v":0},{"$f":"1-EXP((F$30/$J$14)^$J$13-(G$30/$J$14)^$J$13)","v":0},9.5923269327613525E-14,1.6364687382974807E-12,1.441635699706012E-11,8.3849482912512485E-11,3.6716241158529783E-10,1.3086102201853578E-9,3.990731189951191E-9,1.0771667668940665E-8,2.635758611368999E-8,5.9504240090824112E-8,1.2559273276924188E-7,2.5038154249923394E-7,4.752998888912785E-7,8.6471651705721797E-7,1.5156929688009413E-6,2.5708113706723879E-6,4.2347536735043434E-6,6.7954020793736802E-6,1.0650329011596682E-5,1.633964928560161E-5,2.458631692558999E-5,3.6345064013842965E-5,5.2861298583173344E-5,7.5741402144391401E-5,1.0703599393935281E-4,1.4933785693338475E-4,2.0589634780232569E-4,2.8075023680751432E-4,3.7888103948069407E-4,5.0638900502819606E-4,6.7069400907004972E-4,8.8076365114064803E-4,1.1473708677565142E-3,1.483383323550691E-3,1.9040867151709495E-3,2.4275438889810319E-3,3.0749913010214014E-3,3.8712737951950293E-3,4.8453178930580876E-3,6.0306427151904929E-3,7.4659062176017921E-3,9.1954825422276842E-3,1.127006385097451E-2,1.3747276928905205E-2,1.6692300985675868E-2,2.0178468332301414E-2,2.4287823843288425E-2,2.9111612228538974E-2,3.4750654065809128E-2,4.1315562273613882E-2,4.892674032197597E-2,5.7714092211134216E-2,6.781636252164569E-2,7.9380013347538969E-2,9.2557534709951539E-2,0.10750507758883165,0.12437929599563768,0.14333328910635879,0.16451154953586256,0.18804385303952087,0.21403807228531924,0.24257196681695459,0.27368409623845802,{"$f":"1-EXP((BR$30/$J$14)^$J$13-(BS$30/$J$14)^$J$13)","v":0.3073641257482671},0.3435429414104525,0.38208316166881595,0.42277081034351627,0.46530908598079834,0.50931529577531798,0.55432208393721649,0.5997840328921914,0.645090508632163,0.68958522379118647,0.73259238757296941,0.77344851731296416,0.8115380650486651,0.84633008090665351,0.87741236162778169,0.90451911750235103,0.92754832820956756,0.94656577940109199,0.96179428588962024,0.9735886517130552,0.98239914969184561,0.98872825004407372,0.99308649692943729,0.99595346454702394,0.99774853753587323,0.99881411640481266,0.99941130489517915,0.99972587231280408,0.99988086668593357,0.99995193953556916,0.99998210554746436,0.99999388829881042,0.99999809767825043,0.99999946412057861,0.99999986438645805,0.99999996940981783,0.99999999390066718,0.99999999893448555,0.99999999983843979,0.99999999997894851,0.99999999999766753,0.99999999999978273,0.99999999999998312,0.99999999999999889,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,{"$f":"1-EXP((ED$30/$J$14)^$J$13-(EE$30/$J$14)^$J$13)","v":1},1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,"http://reliabilityanalyticstoolkit.appspot.com/conditional_weibull_distribution"]

{"sheet":"SG curve","index":7,"n_rows":39,"n_cols":155,"rows_kept":39,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[null,null,"Failure curve inputs"]
[]
[null,null,"Switchgear Failure Model for Cost of Risk Calculations"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Perk's formula:","f(t) =  ","A + a.e(bt)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,"1 + µ.e(bt)"]
[null,null,"Notes:"]
[null,null,"\"A\" is a constant set at 0.5% to take into account random events other than aging (eg lightning)."]
[null,null,"\"a\", \"b\" and \"µ\" are constants."]
[null,null,"\"t\" is years"]
[]
[null,null,"Parameters",null,null,null,null,null,"Weibull Parameters"]
[null,null,"A",5.0000000000000001E-3,null,null,null,null,"Weibull shape factor",5.5,"affect the steepness of the curve - higher is steep so more rapid decline in condition"]
[null,null,"b",0.16900000000000001,null,null,null,null,"Weibull scale (mean life)",55,"where 63.2% of all assets have reached end of life - shifts curve left and right"]
[null,null,"a",2.0010000000000001E-4]
[null,null,"µ",2.0000000000000001E-4,null,null,null,"Revised Weibull"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Weibull shape factor",4.7964000000000002]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Weibull scale (mean life)",19.815999999999999]
[null,null,null,"Perks (1), Weibull (2), Revised Weibull (3) or Conditional (4)",3,null,null,null,"loc",40.018999999999998]
[]
[null,null,null,"Function"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,101,102,103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,133,134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
[null,null,null,"Transformer Failure Rate",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.4831938040080435E-7,1.5957531916088202E-5,1.1329158899536418E-4,4.5362444206486867E-4,1.3283512891570357E-3,3.1916581650198897E-3,6.6880988242442431E-3,1.2672251644851546E-2,2.2215180196770726E-2,3.6589936982533967E-2,5.7226064186592131E-2,8.5621836728380488E-2,0.12320425175111241,0.17113230412008806,0.23005068321167771,0.29981945676533706,0.37926879149875997,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[]
[null,null,null,"Perk's formula"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,101,102,103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,133,134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
[null,null,null,"Transformer Failure Rate",5.1990601879624079E-3,5.2357024996444379E-3,5.2790879101354375E-3,5.3304565574197119E-3,5.3912763503620141E-3,5.4632846795897513E-3,5.5485377173600794E-3,5.6494686672933442E-3,5.7689565608611592E-3,5.9104074711764298E-3,6.0778503305777059E-3,6.2760499013178889E-3,6.5106398625390189E-3,6.7882794448658025E-3,7.1168375678195492E-3,7.5056090132745073E-3,7.9655677940196363E-3,8.5096635365591016E-3,9.1531673672398638E-3,9.9140744307211481E-3,1.0813570717675972E-2,1.1876572241573027E-2,1.313234464728151E-2,1.4615210865025926E-2,1.6365353174848066E-2,1.8429713655716152E-2,2.0862992976035125E-2,2.3728741211121139E-2,2.7100525059182916E-2,3.1063142517251677E-2,3.5713837683374008E-2,4.1163443731069935E-2,4.7537350241234781E-2,5.4976151399594983E-2,6.363578444642759E-2,7.3686915269884523E-2,8.5313274943107059E-2,9.8708606003774291E-2,0.11407185411434338,0.1316002588706352,0.15148008137439786,0.17387488197044904,0.19891155044755063,0.2266646981157722,0.25714052141053895,0.2902617715486378,0.32585589749167615,0.36364861764363882,0.40326496810222606,0.44423917992479756,0.48603358346026948,0.52806530795361861,0.56973815522404991,0.61047603765400804,0.64975406239601274,0.68712380602019374,0.72223042177608954,0.75482064896275602,0.78474218962650211,0.81193598797711297,0.83642354098227656,0.85829148475900241,0.87767545002114411,0.89474471661807853,0.90968866939569537,0.92270557244165796,0.93399379503703572,0.94374535804090254,0.95214151450385165,0.9593500100686102,0.9655236608967811,0.97079991589068926,0.97530111757720828,0.97913522955073717,0.98239685005097455,0.98516837694766912,0.98752122747070215,0.98951704633441406,0.9912088591600644,0.99264214536092543,0.99385581706112969,0.99488309923778318,0.99575231202664882,0.99648755976990466,0.99710933350637854,0.99763503466733117,0.99807942808619832,0.99845503230870924,0.99877245477954879,0.99904067890858583,0.99926730936940766,0.99945878131230304,0.99962053851921828,0.99975718491132659,0.99987261325260435,0.99997011438033256,1.0000524698366084,1.0001220303718332,1.0001807824382916,1.0002304044850259,1.0002723145996428,1.0003077108138305,1.0003376051928226,1.0003628526607204,1.0003841753697553,1.0004021832989141,1.0004173916629118,1.0004302356236705,1.0004410827210426,1.0004502433754705,1.0004579797610145,1.0004645133011441,1.0004700310007517,1.0004746907948376,1.0004786260664085,1.0004819494625201,1.0004847561174091,1.0004871263747777,1.0004891280870198,1.0004908185571002,1.0004922461786054,1.0004934518208668,1.0004944699987648,1.0004953298606873,1.0004960560228935,1.000496669274167,1.0004971871709161,1.0004976245397512,1.0004979939019258,1.0004983058317847,1.0004985692594797,1.0004987917266221,1.0004989796021821,1.0004991382648203,1.0004992722568704,1.0004993854143778,1.0004994809769205,1.0004995616803527,1.0004996298351299,1.0004996873924534,1.0004997360001309,1.0004997770497508,1.0004998117165229,1.0004998409929227,1.000499865717104,1.0004998865968964,1.0004999042300677,1.0004999191214383,1.0004999316973338,1.0004999423177894,1.0004999512868593]
[]
[null,null,null,"Weibull distribution"]
[null,null,null,"Year (f(t))",0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99,100,101,102,103,104,105,106,107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120,121,122,123,124,125,126,127,128,129,130,131,132,133,134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145,146,147,148,149,150]
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[]
[null,null,null,"Revised Weibull (based on failure data)"]
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[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Conditional probability",0,2.6792001950326494E-10,1.1856757020645148E-8,1.0063974253959884E-7,4.3593573273437158E-7,1.3234471015755034E-6,3.2309818728259998E-6,6.8104802565249756E-6,1.2917616638907781E-5,2.2629637348448028E-5,3.7261830876822444E-5,5.8382888851737924E-5,8.7829334093347811E-5,1.2771913908482535E-4,1.804646213998673E-4,2.4878467552424954E-4,3.3571637944673771E-4,4.4462599723515961E-4,5.7921938424188024E-4,7.4355178874407901E-4,9.420370321696625E-4,1.1794560392054398E-3,1.4609646787798747E-3,1.7921008669828931E-3,2.1787908733112982E-3,2.6273547621447069E-3,3.1445108920071796E-3,3.7373793859618587E-3,4.4134844774011972E-3,5.1807556265820454E-3,6.0475272945407221E-3,7.0225372525771768E-3,8.1149232973857233E-3,9.3342182342333047E-3,1.069034298343452E-2,1.2193597658884503E-2,1.3854650461697871E-2,1.5684524227235208E-2,1.7694580460128506E-2,1.9896500689516983E-2,2.2302264975786135E-2,2.4924127400843155E-2,2.7774588376593079E-2,3.0866363611026904E-2,3.4212349578409906E-2,3.782558534973246E-2,4.1719210652066185E-2,4.5906420041018636E-2,5.040041308931098E-2,5.5214340516872795E-2,6.0361246213907704E-2,6.5854005138388572E-2,7.1705257103483189E-2,7.7927336508660572E-2,8.4532198110731316E-2,9.1531338977871468E-2,9.8935716820727548E-2,0.10675566494989297,0.11500080416816949,0.12367995196890569,0.13280102947771,0.14237096664390847,0.15239560625906656,0.16287960745269348,0.17382634938826547,0.18523783595577992,0.19711460232819555,0.20945562431798781,0.22225823153428759,0.23551802540026223,0.24922880314173301,0.26338248890113258,0.27796907316262365,0.29297656169417174,0.30839093521737682,0.32419612100547068,0.34037397758119781,0.35690429363869614,0.37376480224504105,0.3909312112865464,0.40837725101208022,0.42607473938887308,0.44399366582659838,0.4621022936422301,0.48036728143300012,0.4987538232981179,0.51722580760510528,0.53574599373446896,0.5542762059622881,0.57277754335577302,0.5912106042688815,0.60953572373595821,0.6277132217797583,0.6457036603787325,0.6634681065867527,0.68096839907026796,0.69816741513119895,0.71502933512518529,0.73151990106880427,0.74760666616370952,0.76325923195268008,0.77844946986915364,0.79315172404717937,0.80734299242879715,0.82100308343587736,0.83411474576669797,0.84666376922691233,0.85863905490850767,0.87003265347989589,0.88083977083945675,0.89105874090270198,0.90069096583006591,0.90974082454551497,0.91821555093429197,0.92612508362700086,0.93348188976553581,0.94030076559005693,0.94659861707521886,0.95239422416646036,0.95770799241550364,0.96256169598062447,0.96697821603804968,0.97098127864259853,0.97459519598006961,0.97784461477254314,0.98075427533739912,0.98334878446838303,0.98565240491303041,0.9876888637766682,0.98948118170257182,0.99105152417416098,0.99242107577348548,0.99360993772451167,0.99463704856386614,0.99552012732820228,0.99627563823739829,0.99691877549530805,0.99746346653206186,0.99792239177833209,0.99830701889499573,0.99862764928099135,0.99889347464565559,0.99911264145503176,0.99929232113857025,0.99943878406590503,0.99955747546463258,0.99965309164042282,0.99972965507124689,0.99979058716929015,0.99983877772892005,0.99987665029954476]
[null,null,null,"http://reliabilityanalyticstoolkit.appspot.com/conditional_weibull_distribution"]

{"sheet":"LDC","index":8,"n_rows":4395,"n_cols":5,"rows_kept":4395,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[null,"Source: Jemena ZSSLoad at risk assessment spreadsheet"]
["TTS34 for CS, CN",null,null,"TTS12 for EPN, EP B, PTN"]
["Normalised LDC Summer","Normalised LDC Winter",null,"Normalised LDC Summer","Normalised LDC Winter"]
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{"sheet":"Options >>","index":9,"n_rows":9,"n_cols":2,"rows_kept":9,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
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[null,{"$f":" RIGHT(CELL(\"filename\", B6), LEN(CELL(\"filename\", B6)) - SEARCH(\"]\", CELL(\"filename\", B6)))","v":"Options >>"}]

{"sheet":"Option 1","index":10,"n_rows":443,"n_cols":16384,"rows_kept":443,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Option 1 - Do nothing"]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year start",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-01-01","2026-01-01","2027-01-01","2028-01-01","2029-01-01","2030-01-01","2031-01-01","2032-01-01","2033-01-01","2034-01-01","2035-01-01","2036-01-01","2037-01-01","2038-01-01","2039-01-01","2040-01-01","2041-01-01","2042-01-01","2043-01-01","2044-01-01","2045-01-01","2046-01-01","2047-01-01","2048-01-01","2049-01-01","2050-01-01","2051-01-01","2052-01-01","2053-01-01","2054-01-01","2055-01-01","2056-01-01","2057-01-01","2058-01-01","2059-01-01","2060-01-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year end",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-12-31","2026-12-31","2027-12-31","2028-12-31","2029-12-31","2030-12-31","2031-12-31","2032-12-31","2033-12-31","2034-12-31","2035-12-31","2036-12-31","2037-12-31","2038-12-31","2039-12-31","2040-12-31","2041-12-31","2042-12-31","2043-12-31","2044-12-31","2045-12-31","2046-12-31","2047-12-31","2048-12-31","2049-12-31","2050-12-31","2051-12-31","2052-12-31","2053-12-31","2054-12-31","2055-12-31","2056-12-31","2057-12-31","2058-12-31","2059-12-31","2060-12-31"]
[null,null,null,null,"Valuation period flag",null,null,null,null,null,0.16483516483516483,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.83241758241758246,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Period number",null,null,null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Discount factor",null,null,null,null,null,1.0518000000000001,1.1062832400000002,1.1635887118320003,1.2238626071048981,1.2872586901529319,1.3539386903028541,1.4240727144605418,1.4978396810695982,1.5754277765490035,1.6570349353742422,1.7428693450266279,1.8331499770990076,1.9281071459127364,2.0279830960710163,2.1330326204474948,2.2435237101866758,2.3597382383743457,2.4819726791221375,2.6105388639006639,2.7457647770507192,2.8879953925019466,3.0375935538335477,3.1949408999221256,3.3604388385380921,3.5345095703743654,3.7175971661197584,3.9101686993247622,4.1127154379497854,4.3257540976355848,4.5498281598931083,4.785509258575571,5.0333986381697873,5.2941286876269826,5.5683645536460613,5.8568058375249272,6.1601883799087194]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Description","Constant","Unit","Comment","Total"]
[]
[null,"Capex"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"Cost of Risk"]
[]
[null,"Substation Energy at Risk"]
[null,null,null,"Value of Customer Reliability"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 10% POE",0.3,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 50% POE",0.7,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer outage duration as percentage of year",0.21666666666666667,"%"]
[]
[null,null,"CS substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844498E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,1.4859082043246936E-44,9.9029042690907602E-43,1.0455166876200682E-41,1.0608433787384473E-40,1.0344932836341392E-39,9.6953745213147787E-39,8.7330640865202447E-38,7.5602946865396415E-37,6.2905114620186242E-36,5.0305302791761836E-35,3.8665877403091808E-34,2.8565004997987961E-33,2.0283339403475933E-32,1.3843633360381907E-31,9.0818297844122823E-31,5.7268638653262652E-30,3.4712720899449671E-29,2.022540927724802E-28,1.132796674793413E-27,6.0990516712398837E-27,2.6277253387968912E-26,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,1.3198446725861229E-77,9.6630425249518945E-75,1.077086710215073E-72,1.1088971553861253E-70,1.0544939199901697E-68,9.2622800787502332E-67,7.5148795431106985E-65,5.6320457880844504E-63,3.8990665268238555E-61,2.493539567771982E-59,1.4731415143088368E-57,8.0400238679777691E-56,4.053849719325826E-54,1.8883778896265873E-52,8.1270970337828634E-51,3.2316360804415868E-49,1.1873152396434453E-47,4.0307268336445123E-46,1.2644237953596589E-44,3.6653323056971023E-43,8.1734878663351531E-42,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,2.3416906033961747E-9,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844524E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"FF substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,34.431839598801567,35.361646174951687,36.312189143264298,37.113543522480413,37.791078796509638,38.468614070538898,39.146149344568101,39.823684618597298,40.501219892626501,41.178755166655797,41.856290440685001,42.533825714714197,43.211360988743401,43.888896262772697,44.5664315368019,45.243966810831097,45.9215020848603,46.599037358889603,47.2765726329188,47.954107906948003,48.6316431809772,49.309178455006403,49.986713729035699,50.664249003064903,51.341784277094099,52.019319551123303,52.696854825152599,53.374390099181802,54.051925373210999,54.729460647240202,55.406995921269498]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,32.470595172704762,33.318282960034324,34.251459194726955,35.010343264904428,35.758174191864171,36.5060051188239,37.2538360457837,38.001666972743401,38.749497899703201,39.497328826662901,40.245159753622602,40.992990680582402,41.740821607542102,42.488652534501902,43.236483461461603,43.984314388421303,44.732145315381104,45.479976242340797,46.227807169300497,46.975638096260298,47.723469023219998,48.471299950179798,49.219130877139499,49.966961804099299,50.714792731058999,51.4626236580187,52.2104545849785,52.9582855119382,53.706116438898,54.453947365857701,55.201778292817501]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",54,"MVA",null,null,null,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",43.8,"MVA",null,null,null,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",21.9,"MVA",null,null,null,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.1925373211001713E-2,1.1836584467782592,3.485922266105518]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.60095845325166275,2.6729855656561394]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,8.889626277270106E-2,1.4811440143423862,4.2389681104337384,8.3835926501317495,14.719279937053759,23.813668653494819,35.915288711443218,51.875912001384066,72.077073529731777,97.419864638650907,128.17414886459974,164.58017867527343,207.0339895652366,256.61052348031444,312.96438635100003,377.85340547682551,452.63093765242974,539.52664430840923]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18431438842130662,1.9992147605125037,5.4220089222612966,10.880480209223416,19.471847469834408,31.398165702641339,47.773420718569767,69.145909245724638,96.602541977177552,130.69341290084392,171.67391118827538,220.34794634561794,277.42352424488558,343.56874517042451,420.90577319477796,512.00326591788769]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.7730147954147183E-17,2.7798863769875372E-15,3.1014430506158258E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,108.88104601849403,170.97877736141183,540.80414267368462,1496.220694271683,2709.1544337419264,3896.5204749386462,4809.5689462970395,5822.4655864091201,6735.0992166496153,7548.6664808989553,8396.9310885295472,9275.4412959656838,10183.282745043349,11121.697646612733,12091.238372946165,13092.929950652257,14126.788263552047,15194.85530619356,16298.862888425483,17438.191272633892,18614.445551648732,19832.582735058892,21094.616523684126,22398.767562559802,23741.532778064837,25120.031720274612,26532.505485175512,27976.6639222591,29447.465387931479,30940.906746238656,32454.830432189745,33986.889471122697,35533.712897433099,37093.788052069031,38667.939224452391,40253.599589525991]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,31.46011362930744,61.501636829248831,235.93652437368576,683.04366319721066,1374.1473796547593,2218.3097658776041,2900.0905907997253,3727.8153195971977,4455.9683181235387,5222.3696146233342,6038.2359687275193,6900.5995398896321,7808.9266878195358,8757.4881168852589,9742.3365968188245,10763.304618713068,11822.418546459909,12919.958640197559,14056.812498349951,15235.161458982791,16457.147550946378,17722.277392881737,19033.717995421764,20397.90379866595,21814.496522873134,23280.19920301333,24790.632369067018,26342.92893308993,27934.163815611228,29558.139399957083,31209.439943820624,32885.302775912562,34582.193133409201,36295.809199651703,38026.403398334136,39772.143057977206]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,1.6410211127555646E-45,1.1428924813663816E-43,7.228820702976241E-42,3.973420246648601E-40,1.9700055022235506E-38,8.927163086217535E-37,3.7021477471938278E-35,1.4070243524772684E-33,4.9046846088060503E-32,1.5694292130511215E-30,4.6143402661375972E-29,1.2476670764342564E-27,3.1045881805928733E-26,7.1135218353486783E-25,1.5016475337448739E-23,2.4322536693280786E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,3.3832047290085476E-14,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,1.6410211127555646E-45,1.1428924813663816E-43,7.228820702976241E-42,3.973420246648601E-40,1.9700055022235506E-38,8.927163086217535E-37,3.7021477471938278E-35,1.4070243524772684E-33,4.9046846088060503E-32,1.5694292130511215E-30,4.6143402661375972E-29,1.2476670764342564E-27,3.1045881805928733E-26,3.7730148665499367E-17,2.7798863920040125E-15,3.1014430749383626E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP A substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.21185539858339661,0.27425311775007355,0.34457825838967576,0.42074029056089696,0.5,0.57925970943910299,0.65542174161032429,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,0.91924334076622893,0.94520070830044201,0.96406968088707423,0.97724986805182079,0.98609655248650141,0.99180246407540384,0.99533881197628127,0.99744486966957202,0.9986501019683699,0.99931286206208414,0.99966307073432314,0.99984089140984245,0.99992765195607491,0.99996832875816688,0.9999866542509841,0.99999458745609227,0.9999978875452975,0.99999920667184805,0.99999971334842808,0.99999990035573683,0.99999996667955149,0.99999998928240974,0.99999999668425399,0.9999999990134123,0.99999999971768416]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.21185539858339661,0.27425311775007355,0.34457825838967576,0.42074029056089696,0.5,0.57925970943910299,0.65542174161032429,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,0.91924334076622893,0.94520070830044201,0.96406968088707423,0.97724986805182079,0.98609655248650141,0.99180246407540384,0.99533881197628127,0.99744486966957202,0.9986501019683699,0.99931286206208414,0.99966307073432314,0.99984089140984245,0.99992765195607491,0.99996832875816688,0.9999866542509841,0.99999458745609227,0.9999978875452975,0.99999920667184805,0.99999971334842808,0.99999990035573683,0.99999996667955149,0.99999998928240974,0.99999999668425399,0.9999999990134123,0.99999999971768416]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx",0,"date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",64,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98,99]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,0.91924334076622893,0.94520070830044201,0.96406968088707423,0.97724986805182079,0.98609655248650141,0.99180246407540384,0.99533881197628127,0.99744486966957202,0.9986501019683699,0.99931286206208414,0.99966307073432314,0.99984089140984245,0.99992765195607491,0.99996832875816688,0.9999866542509841,0.99999458745609227,0.9999978875452975,0.99999920667184805,0.99999971334842808,0.99999990035573683,0.99999996667955149,0.99999998928240974,0.99999999668425399,0.9999999990134123,0.99999999971768416,0.99999999992231148,0.99999999997944211,0.99999999999476907,0.99999999999872013,0.99999999999969891,0.99999999999993194,0.99999999999998523]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,0.91924334076622893,0.94520070830044201,0.96406968088707423,0.97724986805182079,0.98609655248650141,0.99180246407540384,0.99533881197628127,0.99744486966957202,0.9986501019683699,0.99931286206208414,0.99966307073432314,0.99984089140984245,0.99992765195607491,0.99996832875816688,0.9999866542509841,0.99999458745609227,0.9999978875452975,0.99999920667184805,0.99999971334842808,0.99999990035573683,0.99999996667955149,0.99999998928240974,0.99999999668425399,0.9999999990134123,0.99999999971768416,0.99999999992231148,0.99999999997944211,0.99999999999476907,0.99999999999872013,0.99999999999969891,0.99999999999993194,0.99999999999998523,0.99999999999999689]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,17.332785532734164,17.433861767666635,17.543833018121322,17.746014633292223,17.993422925219058,18.243044703186555,18.479491474977877,18.649173417158774,18.8188553593397,18.988537301520601,19.158219243701499,19.3279011858824,19.497583128063301,19.667265070244198,19.8369470124251,20.006628954606001,20.176310896786799,20.3459928389677,20.515674781148601,20.685356723329502,20.855038665510399,21.0247206076913,21.194402549872201,21.364084492053099,21.533766434234,21.703448376414901,21.873130318595798,22.042812260776699,22.2124942029576,22.382176145138502,22.551858087319399,22.7215400295003,22.891221971681201,23.060903913862099]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,16.780116773274017,16.917880240896341,17.021204974957584,17.209001030169308,17.433666282296663,17.694926836344194,17.925809040453242,18.145562523258871,18.3653160060645,18.585069488870101,18.804822971675801,19.024576454481402,19.244329937286999,19.464083420092599,19.6838369028983,19.9035903857039,20.123343868509501,20.343097351315201,20.562850834120798,20.782604316926399,21.002357799732099,21.2221112825377,21.441864765343301,21.661618248148901,21.881371730954601,22.101125213760199,22.320878696565799,22.5406321793714,22.7603856621771,22.980139144982701,23.199892627788302,23.419646110594002,23.639399593399599,23.8591530762052]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",28.5,"MVA",null,null,null,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",27,"MVA",null,null,null,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",13.5,"MVA",null,null,null,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.941897996426319,0.9663880279410012,0.98174359225116592,0.99070735785376318,0.99557459227396683,0.99803104396207254,0.9991825804992408,0.99968369473453333,0.99988602598953236,0.99996178974372429,0.99998809005710476,0.99999655083459638,0.99999907243385,0.99999976848311922,0.99999994639165946,0.99999998848880478,0.99999999770864756,0.99999999957732355,0.99999999992776556,0.99999999998856626,0.99999999999832423,0.99999999999977263,0.99999999999997147,0.99999999999999667,0.99999999999999967,1,1,0.99999999999999989,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-2 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.57199348724021082,0.6631013195441452,0.7445314835956689,0.81346631269075764,0.86886945679270411,0.9112393452254437,0.94213696843965422,0.96366272580378887,0.9780129905723729,0.98717948630796082,0.99279559158874853,0.99609842080334554,0.99796389159660392,0.99897616431328817,0.99950401575250603,0.99976855487711258,0.99989598300559424,0.99995498343182743,0.9999812417793108,0.99999247501282351,0.99999709421882144,0.9999989200205035,0.99999961370419344,0.99999986703529165,0.99999995596196156,0.99999998596666373,0.99999999569766629,0.99999999873109646,0.99999999963999564,0.99999999990175359,0.99999999997421118,0.99999999999348921,0.99999999999841904,0.99999999999963085,0.99999999999991718,0.99999999999998213]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,127.28920968371337,138.03918174212566,150.44647623474913,175.28751000489888,209.39541349242285,247.77276669968444,288.53513202979832,321.4387712468241,357.29240932303196,396.0722195357115,438.7870946311794,485.54901503220435,536.83360813043805,593.02336784402871,653.5110267253466,719.04071517353577,789.87056905156703,865.88503092721874,947.52155184035564,1035.6671272630933,1129.3823763276093,1228.3641482176386,1332.6370968907024,1442.3016518446009,1556.8527134891617,1676.2465013707993,1800.6305929771406,1928.979129030258,2060.959179743154,2196.4541332315621,2335.2722171398536,2477.5989217042447,2623.3208490827574,2771.8429906977631]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,77.797951989777147,88.724747824877682,97.515679603346371,114.87514570390324,138.01765240027325,168.7439343283846,199.63587493760093,232.32135625980257,268.12074194272685,308.67495555754078,354.23353306585614,404.78599750915987,461.9868732301818,526.29403476806044,598.73693586636898,678.63934204394627,767.21050830535432,864.54087993601922,971.4187411986403,1088.685580424818,1214.9998282097731,1350.1471967839593,1494.2079897848894,1646.3241164523313,1806.7820635626992,1973.8675132001372,2147.1254834735887,2325.9639362404514,2510.6712322982712,2700.7868910707098,2895.7657872336276,3095.9007606155405,3300.8011328447337,3510.8855179451484]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,0.87404323207299617,1.0226359849702868,1.2579208390547183,1.5590488004476275,1.9249601976532058,2.2972749161810646,2.6543836742832863,3.0385520389617384,3.4624438520278522,3.9320001180561106,4.4483653690748284,5.025719971206831,5.6690961532023962,6.3844329059436333,7.1693605486146881,8.0336063014126982,8.9775479127414766,8.3311008100845942,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,77.530457386752332,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,0.87404323207299617,1.0226359849702868,1.2579208390547183,1.5590488004476275,1.9249601976532058,2.2972749161810646,2.6543836742832863,3.0385520389617384,3.4624438520278522,3.9320001180561106,4.4483653690748284,5.025719971206831,5.6690961532023962,6.3844329059436333,7.1693605486146881,8.0336063014126982,8.9775479127414766,8.3311008100845942,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,1.7247297603550922,1.7196597827035744,1.7166984904896119,1.7279067309635543,1.7387044605172199,1.7584910552355346,1.7825495932342339,1.8078609343133845,1.8313386744620483,1.8498090148988802,1.868279355335714,1.8867496957725449,1.905220036209379,1.9236903766462099,1.9421607170830408,1.960631057519872,1.9791013979567058,1.9975717383935367,2.0160420788303606,2.0345124192671951,2.052982759704026,2.0714531001408569,2.089923440577691,2.1083937810145219,2.1268641214513528,2.1453344618881838,2.1638048023250178,2.1822751427618488,2.2007454831986797,2.2192158236355111,2.2376861640723447,2.256156504509176,2.274626844946007,2.293097185382841,2.311567525819672,2.3300378662565029]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx",0,"date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0.2870752713221133,2.0741013762469369,2.4055882273147962,2.7389090326895684,3.0395897595151582,3.3123915127214278,3.5441544217771508,3.7291553497659051,3.8664546646207665,3.9584464722201544,4.0263266725363271,4.0795998293776092,4.1251510993295009,4.1671717504169328,4.2078104938931515,4.2479914859295302,4.2880457516650381,4.3280710888189038,4.3680910589037838,4.4081102320625245,3.7027010482170901,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,3.5883209877915916,null,1.3752340872685839E-2,9.9359826429109524E-2,0.11523970402951532,0.13120743721099379,0.14561154742957366,0.15868011541692001,0.16978271757523442,0.1786451870305357,0.18522251070865783,0.1896293782517065,0.19288117924785275,0.19543322982633438,0.19761536341337976,0.19962836270372317,0.20157516170995143,0.20350003213345416,0.20541883173351366,0.20733624550986959,0.20925340217678579,0.21117052066695524,0.17737789371483972,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",6.9230769230769233E-3,"%",null,null,null,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,38106.572965543026,37969.51655449684,37906.754939721643,38127.808391319413,38368.315217733892,38810.485861634508,39351.567124909467,39897.489276150605,40414.597724625593,40785.691671862165,41156.785619098802,41527.879566335389,41898.97351357196,42270.067460808539,42641.161408045118,43012.255355281697,43383.349302518276,43754.443249754855,44125.537196991216,44496.631144227795,44867.725091464374,45238.81903870096,45609.912985937532,45981.006933174111,46352.100880410697,46723.194827647269,47094.288774883848,47465.382722120434,47836.476669357005,48207.570616593584,48578.664563830163,48949.75851106675,49320.852458303321,49691.9464055399,50063.040352776487,50434.134300013058]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,36817.306648764563,36767.504028871081,36698.069862061704,36999.358192027095,37225.329105119767,37636.038568414806,38127.3808653456,38698.756988300112,39203.695742349526,39684.296013098348,40164.896283847171,40645.496554595928,41126.09682534491,41606.697096093667,42087.297366842424,42567.897637591181,43048.497908340156,43529.09817908892,44009.698449837677,44490.298720586659,44970.898991335409,45451.499262084173,45932.099532833148,46412.699803581912,46893.300074330669,47373.900345079433,47854.500615828409,48335.100886577158,48815.701157325922,49296.301428074679,49776.901698823662,50257.501969572419,50738.102240321183,51218.702511070158,51699.302781818915,52179.903052567672]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,269.4764433799412,null,2.0338574674039518,12.31353694741223,12.291172991554539,12.383112296964377,12.459501800987514,12.598843824653667,12.766746275887174,12.953710624149418,13.12238438567678,13.270880133812776,13.419375881948774,13.56787163008476,13.71636737822079,13.86486312635677,14.013358874492752,14.161854622628734,14.310350370764766,14.458846118900748,14.607341867036709,14.755837615172739,12.406629145831161,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EPN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",9,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5,7.234804392511999E-5,1.5910859015753364E-4,3.369292656768808E-4,6.8713793791584719E-4]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,28.996757239351485,30.037746348125896,30.892179396462229,31.447262564756024,31.902188693815646,32.341692180828673,32.774188342912929,33.19790129454578,33.621614246178602,34.045327197811503,34.469040149444297,34.892753101077197,35.316466052709998,35.740179004342899,36.1638919559757,36.587604907608601,37.011317859241402,37.435030810874302,37.858743762507103,38.282456714139997,38.706169665772798,39.129882617405698,39.553595569038499,39.9773085206714,40.401021472304201,40.824734423937102,41.248447375570002,41.672160327202803,42.095873278835597,42.519586230468498,42.943299182101299,43.3670121337342,43.790725085367001,44.214438036999901]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,27.768149430121589,28.796506392341719,29.634739125215113,30.164224901888545,30.606215428521995,31.043061976380621,31.468996375651798,31.886520385330513,32.3040443950092,32.721568404687901,33.139092414366701,33.556616424045401,33.974140433724102,34.391664443402803,34.809188453081497,35.226712462760197,35.644236472438898,36.061760482117698,36.479284491796399,36.8968085014751,37.3143325111538,37.731856520832501,38.149380530511202,38.566904540189903,38.984428549868703,39.401952559547397,39.819476569226097,40.237000578904798,40.654524588583499,41.072048598262199,41.489572607941,41.9070966176197,42.324620627298401,42.742144636977102]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,8.4,7,6,5,4,3,2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",38,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5,7.234804392511999E-5,1.5910859015753364E-4,3.369292656768808E-4,6.8713793791584719E-4]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12988261740569945,0.61265565804328281,1.4547839117549097,2.4614471141112588,3.909397251799732,5.5690695965062904,7.4398447306339364,10.206642043794758,13.372308783558271,17.84435574691517,23.032254599284109,29.37460365150255,37.419562047561314]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.40195255954739811,1.1410933692819787,1.9764550874647484,3.2426898607587904,4.8781202846913949,6.5375411453936989,8.9366172134493791,11.827306416220733,15.650784342567899]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,20712.858008629322,30080.569704633952,37207.829420079761,43852.469776974904,50089.112535781118,55671.077919010429,61034.00012914055,66363.193062953302,67309.060996156288,68235.720071929143,69162.379147701955,70089.038223474927,71015.697299247637,71942.356375020609,72869.015450793377,73795.674526566319,74722.333602339073,75648.992678112045,76575.651753884798,77502.31082965777,78428.969905430509,79355.628981203467,80282.288056976206,81208.947132749177,82135.606208521931,83062.265284294888,83988.924360067642,84915.583435840614,85842.242511613586,86768.901587386325,87695.560663159064,88622.219738932021,89548.878814704774,90475.537890477746,91402.1969662505,92328.856042023472]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,18226.222432420418,27433.77715962768,34520.867474260354,41137.881360909763,47339.094073746724,52865.078030942888,58199.710113658672,63523.092328748484,64454.609704480026,65367.733580988534,66280.857457496997,67193.981334005497,68107.105210514186,69020.229087022672,69933.352963531172,70846.476840039657,71759.600716548128,72672.724593056628,73585.848469565113,74498.972346073817,75412.096222582317,76325.220099090802,77238.343975599288,78151.467852107788,79064.591728616258,79977.715605124758,80890.839481633462,81803.963358141933,82717.087234650418,83630.211111158904,84543.334987667404,85456.458864175889,86369.582740684607,87282.706617193078,88195.830493701564,89108.954370210064]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"PTN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,30.152704720644092,36.034090762308722,36.174258984318669,36.544659744477819,36.901051398768395,37.475468847093467,38.14977771428137,38.833589054845255,39.494098813187982,40.016008272073606,40.537917730959201,41.059827189844903,41.581736648730498,42.1036461076161,42.625555566501703,43.147465025387397,43.669374484273,44.191283943158602,44.713193402044197,45.2351028609298,45.757012319815502,46.278921778701097,46.800831237586699,47.322740696472302,47.844650155358003,48.366559614243599,48.888469073129201,49.410378532014803,49.932287990900498,50.454197449786101,50.976106908671703,51.498016367557298,52.019925826443,52.541835285328602,53.063744744214198,53.5856542030998]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,28.200713914591365,33.77725524805318,33.900645330265725,34.328749004939667,34.656624710771972,35.179009450383312,35.780685672466731,36.462016725540821,37.085374123585687,37.690015785723844,38.294657447862001,38.8992991100002,39.5039407721383,40.108582434276499,40.713224096414599,41.317865758552799,41.922507420690899,42.527149082829098,43.131790744967297,43.736432407105397,44.341074069243597,44.945715731381704,45.550357393519903,46.154999055658003,46.759640717796202,47.364282379934401,47.968924042072501,48.573565704210701,49.178207366348801,49.782849028487,50.3874906906251,50.992132352763299,51.596774014901499,52.201415677039599,52.806057339177798,53.410699001315898]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",38,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6,4.2249049425408368E-6,1.0825058519776131E-5,2.6691319922795821E-5,6.3341480598680456E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19128394315860381,0.86734128003926048,1.9046348050852062,3.2985322683135188,5.2733038321033741,7.3372285685698175,10.371218864707235,14.061265443289331,19.201087085342898,25.481033897427153,33.231734452340746,43.259520373083703,54.883591246963299,68.82402889123216,85.105223238975412,103.37977683600847,124.83600138743145,150.19142786277376,179.48861690645245]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.34107406924359474,1.3294787304035529,2.6874760214942066,4.7879018269894358,7.1562671111773977,10.650697107152066,15.07021850113976,21.569929475967562,29.570299740133375,40.157346553513655,53.298517199100729,69.288300534230004,88.328534597426739,110.42839398825345,137.11221425871716,169.23548822714548]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.7638279620867779E-17,3.6780014101447528E-16,3.5710259555663121E-15,2.7164334995945814E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13,4.4624648701264186E-12,2.929563155282197E-11,1.7810901679556421E-10,1.0030675592519612E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,39735.883425813205,52598.45874391398,52905.006265201489,53715.071722846638,54494.499303961107,55750.748705168793,57225.460368444146,58720.953915214457,60165.486964879601,61306.901535626857,62448.316106374055,63589.730677121486,64731.145247868684,65872.55981861589,67013.974389363109,68155.388960110518,69296.803530857738,70438.218101604944,71579.632672352149,72721.047243099354,73862.461813846778,75003.876384593968,76145.290955341203,77286.705526088408,78428.120096835832,79569.534667583037,80710.949238330242,81852.363809077448,82993.778379824886,84135.192950572091,85276.607521319296,86418.022092066487,87559.436662813925,88700.85123356113,89842.265804308336,90983.680375055541]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,35466.884828335133,47662.765596578858,47932.619371645167,48868.880946797741,49585.944225992018,50728.398234397071,52044.262499866694,53534.331664625337,54897.612603105968,56219.962277930659,57542.31195275535,58864.661627580128,60187.011302404695,61509.360977229473,62831.710652054033,64154.060326878811,65476.410001703371,66798.759676528163,68121.109351352934,69443.459026177501,70765.808701002286,72088.158375826853,73410.508050651639,74732.85772547622,76055.207400300991,77377.557075125776,78699.906749950329,80022.256424775114,81344.606099599681,82666.955774424467,83989.305449249034,85311.655124073804,86634.00479889859,87956.354473723157,89278.704148547928,90601.053823372495]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,null,null,2.2951878656909521E-54,1.5108089207015067E-51,1.1387507668054399E-49,8.0268764132787089E-48,5.2084209174935891E-46,3.147955568927684E-44,1.7629200949566045E-42,9.1361788730117814E-41,4.3630449764521331E-39,1.9199032770832565E-37,7.8018931947805651E-36,2.9280377761267763E-34,1.0149271382761769E-32,3.249381093338266E-31,9.6095008278136616E-30,2.6252040632690859E-28,6.6254600927768847E-27,1.5448616653787742E-25,3.3282421182760542E-24,6.6255920448091143E-23,1.0145994019265343E-21,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,3.1120800456492417E-14,null,2.2951878656909521E-54,1.5108089207015067E-51,1.1387507668054399E-49,8.0268764132787089E-48,5.2084209174935891E-46,3.147955568927684E-44,1.7629200949566045E-42,9.1361788730117814E-41,4.3630449764521331E-39,1.9199032770832565E-37,7.8018931947805651E-36,2.9280377761267763E-34,1.0149271382761769E-32,3.249381093338266E-31,9.6095008278136616E-30,2.6252040632690859E-28,6.6254600927768847E-27,1.7638279775353945E-17,3.678001443427174E-16,3.5710260218222323E-15,2.7164336010545215E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",5,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,5.9134214957656548,7.0714080216064117,7.0984349776205562,7.1759773045232746,7.2455446784738928,7.3573062056160836,7.4878100203473945,7.6244234712107843,7.7542962812614578,7.8636421052337351,7.972987929206008,8.0823337531782986,8.1916795771505679,8.3010254011228426,8.4103712250951137,8.5197170490674043,8.6290628730396737,8.7384086970119501,8.8477545209842248,8.9571003449564959,9.0664461689287865,9.1757919929010541,9.2851378168733323,9.3944836408456034,9.5038294648178923,9.6131752887901687,9.7225211127624362,9.8318669367347145,9.941212760706998,10.050558584679273,10.159904408651544,10.269250232623818,10.378596056596109,10.48794188056838,10.597287704540655,10.706633528512924]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",12,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",1,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer replacement date for all Tx","2056-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",5,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,1,2,3,4,5]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 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[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,35466.884828335133,47662.765596578858,47932.619371645167,48868.880946797741,49585.944225992018,50728.398234397071,52044.262499866694,53534.331664625337,54897.612603105968,56219.962277930659,57542.31195275535,58864.661627580128,60187.011302404695,61509.360977229473,62831.710652054033,64154.060326878811,65476.410001703371,66798.759676528163,68121.109351352934,69443.459026177501,70765.808701002286,72088.158375826853,73410.508050651639,74732.85772547622,76055.207400300991,77377.557075125776,78699.906749950329,80022.256424775114,81344.606099599681,82666.955774424467,83989.305449249034,85311.655124073804,86634.00479889859,87956.354473723157,89278.704148547928,90601.053823372495]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"TTS-NH 66kV line load at risk"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,"A$m 2024 Real",null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Financial evaluation"]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,"Total Capex",null,null,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Benefit",null,null,null,null,null,-2.144016108661873,-13.068509427947813,-13.122357502108153,-13.388362966365468,-13.627749333504475,-14.015444779242406,-14.495577794027136,-15.057316008950259,-15.604881812683603,-16.114893186464869,-16.650809100275467,-17.225748712056046,-17.845982859807382,-18.512856858252423,-19.240654007526636,-20.034450808081687,-20.900202108559014,-21.835542913142408,-22.850201570743295,-23.944556048698278,-20.91510784972813,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Cumulative cost",null,null,null,null,null,-2.144016108661873,-15.212525536609686,-28.334883038717841,-41.723246005083311,-55.350995338587786,-69.366440117830194,-83.862017911857336,-98.919333920807588,-114.52421573349119,-130.63910891995607,-147.28991802023154,-164.51566673228757,-182.36164959209495,-200.87450645034738,-220.11516045787403,-240.14961126595571,-261.04981337451471,-282.88535628765715,-305.73555785840045,-329.68011390709876,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269,-350.5952217568269]
[null,null,null,null,"Annual risk in PV terms",null,null,null,null,null,-2.0384256594997838,-11.812986905548538,-11.277487800176226,-10.939432979357251,-10.586643879549525,-10.351609625770706,-10.178959014405565,-10.052688681740573,-9.9051711826906566,-9.7251378606723904,-9.5536760387630046,-9.3968027315015981,-9.2557008035771613,-9.1287037323530704,-9.0203280639421664,-8.9299037568070485,-8.8570002251425297,-8.7976564354711346,-8.7530593345009819,-8.720541631544128,-7.2420849091482866,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Cumulative Risk in PV terms",null,null,null,null,null,-2.0384256594997838,-13.851412565048321,-25.128900365224546,-36.068333344581795,-46.654977224131322,-57.006586849902028,-67.185545864307599,-77.238234546048176,-87.143405728738827,-96.868543589411217,-106.42221962817422,-115.81902235967581,-125.07472316325297,-134.20342689560604,-143.22375495954822,-152.15365871635527,-161.01065894149781,-169.80831537696895,-178.56137471146994,-187.28191634301407,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235,-194.52400125216235]
[null,null,null,null,"discount rate",5.1799999999999999E-2,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"NPV",-204.53456498394738,"A$m 2024 Real"]
[null,null,null,null,"IRR","N/A"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk","Risk factor","Load at Risk ($m)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"FF","transformer fail",2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,1.6410211127555646E-45,1.1428924813663816E-43,7.228820702976241E-42,3.973420246648601E-40,1.9700055022235506E-38,8.927163086217535E-37,3.7021477471938278E-35,1.4070243524772684E-33,4.9046846088060503E-32,1.5694292130511215E-30,4.6143402661375972E-29,1.2476670764342564E-27,3.1045881805928733E-26,3.7730148665499367E-17,2.7798863920040125E-15,3.1014430749383626E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP'A'","transformer fail",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Switchboard fail",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"bus fail",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EP'B'","transformer fail",0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,0.87404323207299617,1.0226359849702868,1.2579208390547183,1.5590488004476275,1.9249601976532058,2.2972749161810646,2.6543836742832863,3.0385520389617384,3.4624438520278522,3.9320001180561106,4.4483653690748284,5.025719971206831,5.6690961532023962,6.3844329059436333,7.1693605486146881,8.0336063014126982,8.9775479127414766,8.3311008100845942,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Switchboard fail",9.9359826429109524E-2,0.11523970402951532,0.13120743721099379,0.14561154742957366,0.15868011541692001,0.16978271757523442,0.1786451870305357,0.18522251070865783,0.1896293782517065,0.19288117924785275,0.19543322982633438,0.19761536341337976,0.19962836270372317,0.20157516170995143,0.20350003213345416,0.20541883173351366,0.20733624550986959,0.20925340217678579,0.21117052066695524,0.17737789371483972,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"bus fail",12.31353694741223,12.291172991554539,12.383112296964377,12.459501800987514,12.598843824653667,12.766746275887174,12.953710624149418,13.12238438567678,13.270880133812776,13.419375881948774,13.56787163008476,13.71636737822079,13.86486312635677,14.013358874492752,14.161854622628734,14.310350370764766,14.458846118900748,14.607341867036709,14.755837615172739,12.406629145831161,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"EPN","transformer fail",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"TTS-NH","N-1",0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total",null,13.068509427947813,13.122357502108153,13.388362966365468,13.627749333504475,14.015444779242406,14.495577794027136,15.057316008950259,15.604881812683603,16.114893186464869,16.650809100275467,17.225748712056046,17.845982859807382,18.512856858252423,19.240654007526636,20.034450808081687,20.900202108559014,21.835542913142408,22.850201570743295,23.944556048698274,20.915107849728102,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"End"]

{"sheet":"Option 2","index":11,"n_rows":479,"n_cols":46,"rows_kept":479,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Option 2 - Continue with the final two stages of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston conversion from East Preston (EPN)"]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year start",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-01-01","2026-01-01","2027-01-01","2028-01-01","2029-01-01","2030-01-01","2031-01-01","2032-01-01","2033-01-01","2034-01-01","2035-01-01","2036-01-01","2037-01-01","2038-01-01","2039-01-01","2040-01-01","2041-01-01","2042-01-01","2043-01-01","2044-01-01","2045-01-01","2046-01-01","2047-01-01","2048-01-01","2049-01-01","2050-01-01","2051-01-01","2052-01-01","2053-01-01","2054-01-01","2055-01-01","2056-01-01","2057-01-01","2058-01-01","2059-01-01","2060-01-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year end",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-12-31","2026-12-31","2027-12-31","2028-12-31","2029-12-31","2030-12-31","2031-12-31","2032-12-31","2033-12-31","2034-12-31","2035-12-31","2036-12-31","2037-12-31","2038-12-31","2039-12-31","2040-12-31","2041-12-31","2042-12-31","2043-12-31","2044-12-31","2045-12-31","2046-12-31","2047-12-31","2048-12-31","2049-12-31","2050-12-31","2051-12-31","2052-12-31","2053-12-31","2054-12-31","2055-12-31","2056-12-31","2057-12-31","2058-12-31","2059-12-31","2060-12-31"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Period number",null,null,null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Description","Constant","Unit","Comment","Total"]
[]
[null,"Capex"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 7",-30,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2030-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 8",-18.399999999999999,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,0,"00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,0,"00:00:00",0]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,0,"00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,-30,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Cost of Risk"]
[]
[null,"Substation Energy at Risk"]
[null,null,null,"Value of Customer Reliability"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 10% POE",0.3,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 50% POE",0.7,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer outage duration as percentage of year",0.21666666666666667,"%"]
[]
[null,null,"CS substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844498E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.4859082043246936E-44,9.9029042690907602E-43,1.0455166876200682E-41,1.0608433787384473E-40,1.0344932836341392E-39,9.6953745213147787E-39,8.7330640865202447E-38,7.5602946865396415E-37,6.2905114620186242E-36,5.0305302791761836E-35,3.8665877403091808E-34,2.8565004997987961E-33,2.0283339403475933E-32,1.3843633360381907E-31,9.0818297844122823E-31,5.7268638653262652E-30,3.4712720899449671E-29,2.022540927724802E-28,1.132796674793413E-27,6.0990516712398837E-27,2.6277253387968912E-26,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.3198446725861229E-77,9.6630425249518945E-75,1.077086710215073E-72,1.1088971553861253E-70,1.0544939199901697E-68,9.2622800787502332E-67,7.5148795431106985E-65,5.6320457880844504E-63,3.8990665268238555E-61,2.493539567771982E-59,1.4731415143088368E-57,8.0400238679777691E-56,4.053849719325826E-54,1.8883778896265873E-52,8.1270970337828634E-51,3.2316360804415868E-49,1.1873152396434453E-47,4.0307268336445123E-46,1.2644237953596589E-44,3.6653323056971023E-43,8.1734878663351531E-42,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,2.3416906033961747E-9,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844524E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"FF substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,32.021610826885457,32.886330942705072,33.770335903235797,34.515595475906785,35.145703280753963,35.775811085601177,36.405918890448334,37.03602669529549,37.666134500142647,38.296242304989889,38.926350109837053,39.556457914684202,40.186565719531359,40.816673524378608,41.446781329225765,42.076889134072921,42.706996938920078,43.337104743767334,43.976572632918803,44.654107906948006,45.331643180977203,46.009178455006406,46.686713729035702,47.364249003064906,48.041784277094102,48.719319551123306,49.396854825152602,50.074390099181805,50.751925373211002,51.429460647240205,52.106995921269501]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,30.197653510615428,30.98600315283192,31.853857051096067,32.559619236361115,33.25510199843368,33.950584760506224,34.646067522578839,35.341550284651362,36.037033046723977,36.732515808796499,37.427998570869022,38.123481332941637,38.818964095014152,39.514446857086767,40.20992961915929,40.905412381231812,41.600895143304427,42.296377905376943,42.991860667449465,43.687343429522073,44.423469023220001,45.171299950179801,45.919130877139501,46.666961804099302,47.414792731059002,48.162623658018703,48.910454584978503,49.658285511938203,50.406116438898003,51.153947365857704,51.901778292817504]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",54,"MVA",null,null,null,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",43.8,"MVA",null,null,null,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",21.9,"MVA",null,null,null,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8215143047266414E-28,3.4422417180831456E-27,2.980011314135107E-26,2.4795358259183587E-25,1.9829160904694439E-24,1.524142706616043E-23,1.1260054523880327E-22,7.9956820774320537E-22,5.4572985052044317E-21,3.5802596093305229E-20,2.2577397401388025E-19,1.368561259307672E-18,7.9743380792676549E-18,4.4665761433880771E-17,2.4049988969531005E-16,1.2448761956229407E-15,6.1947033488801737E-15,2.9635398912068788E-14,1.3630469132782308E-13,6.0274769228082021E-13,2.5627204465419832E-12,1.0476721625751693E-11,4.1183870436471245E-11,1.5567801442622482E-10,5.6591141987211445E-10,1.9784062466358569E-9,6.6520498346158145E-9,2.1512868875906874E-8,6.6923211645495176E-8,2.0027510385811215E-7,5.7661880566666124E-7,1.597373247834805E-6,4.2582252502502399E-6,1.092470170428465E-5,2.6977963843464096E-5,6.4134758498484771E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17657263291880562,1.7425635618872293,4.6715734670975335,9.0686060238975124,15.735893924591345,25.157494838169526,37.772869650060798,54.221940287114705,74.997508101095562,101.08666667723251,132.57291995142194,169.70042347803997,213.06497370820074]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.0548809795683058,3.8804214105953605,8.3650664611709367,15.506868896095394,25.955293912017428,40.439571663982065,59.626948604933141,84.319661394946991,115.78044205050195,153.89956785701634,199.16119722694646]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.6513657619488848E-56,2.9626115978223449E-54,2.2204283252143959E-52,1.5372771942875294E-50,9.831784619616902E-49,5.8088387915785144E-47,3.1705593489299709E-45,1.5987687805790716E-43,7.4482310872050354E-42,3.2059283346852582E-40,1.2749824186035043E-38,4.6851338239047192E-37,1.5908388977953145E-35,4.9915702334434692E-34,1.4473610952382817E-32,3.8785463256464107E-31,9.6059209198516085E-30,2.1989463271556235E-28,4.6529228546427007E-27,9.1013388366358141E-26,1.6458431054558871E-24,2.7517821566615167E-23,4.2542646980332831E-22,6.0822774946030172E-21,8.0424835634953949E-20,9.8367677750547164E-19,1.1130500868732669E-17,1.1653200743931739E-16,1.1290660653445545E-15,1.0125594770647312E-14,8.4070050981639015E-14,6.4637468211820237E-13,4.6032405976201824E-12,3.0374286532789999E-11,1.8576012560696409E-10,1.0533181389987103E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,108.88104601849403,170.97877736141183,540.80414267368462,1496.220694271683,2709.1544337419264,1889.2528296623866,2543.8419053744951,3291.7433969382364,3975.7488220035116,4590.8913176472915,5241.069338953399,5926.4018805420956,6644.4404732581115,7395.9290728655133,8178.250390211726,8987.1795066003197,9821.7049461968436,10681.94596571582,11569.370005669891,12483.554473643655,13425.794911891548,14396.488954282142,15397.111262968318,16444.278551055111,17588.21812371807,18769.60285440299,19993.491606237138,21261.058874582992,22570.428855841874,23917.965310194213,25300.973715468514,26717.665845726056,28165.557584831487,29639.53295151675,31135.682257879995,32652.134125556378]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,31.46011362930744,61.501636829248831,235.93652437368576,683.04366319721066,1374.1473796547593,875.00766091679361,1243.5582802798863,1773.4415417253699,2286.5427997359593,2846.8680891022295,3452.7051403054306,4100.4415579689667,4789.0327009760931,5521.2356920726952,6294.4416245810753,7108.3312134929056,7960.9875735472333,8847.4714463524779,9765.2917330177333,10714.34895445136,11696.467128616712,12711.515380579314,13760.596386012798,14844.917491773203,15966.89694833777,17194.927260810102,18486.401512695298,19828.24021604165,21223.498070597256,22669.658656120835,24162.095229400016,25697.388129006216,27272.997874502315,28884.155474321913,30524.791332560835,32190.769002830959]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,7.1101645186153667E-46,5.37608451503185E-44,3.6987539672028105E-42,2.159456134195764E-40,1.1214149197732191E-38,5.2791563026911371E-37,2.2603855581102999E-35,8.8267347755400189E-34,3.1519106954504566E-32,1.0304991452983425E-30,3.0885149951345283E-29,8.4939736513929018E-28,2.1449363617868813E-26,4.9774928762616204E-25,1.0622872311410299E-23,1.7370228574481943E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,1.8484523805291291E-22,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,7.1101645186153667E-46,5.37608451503185E-44,3.6987539672028105E-42,2.159456134195764E-40,1.1214149197732191E-38,5.2791563026911371E-37,2.2603855581102999E-35,8.8267347755400189E-34,3.1519106954504566E-32,1.0304991452983425E-30,3.0885149951345283E-29,8.4939736513929018E-28,2.1449363617868813E-26,4.9774928762616204E-25,1.0622872311410299E-23,1.7370228574481943E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP A substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,{"$error":"#REF!"},"00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP B substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",63,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",64,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,63,64,65,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,64,65,66,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,14.212884136842014,11.506348766659979,5.9649032261612502,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,13.759695754084692,11.165800958991586,5.7872096914855788,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",28.5,"MVA",null,null,null,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",27,"MVA",null,null,null,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",13.5,"MVA",null,null,null,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.941897996426319,0.9663880279410012,0.98174359225116592,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.57199348724021082,0.6631013195441452,0.7445314835956689,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,1.6714885620776554,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,0.34735511939185687,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.75777303862626966,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,1.7247297603550922,1.7196597827035744,1.4076927622014819,1.140418442435946,0.59115951657585486,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0.2870752713221133,2.0741013762469369,1.9725823463981329,1.8076799615751153,1.0334605182351539,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.34371355929130887,null,1.3752340872685839E-2,9.9359826429109524E-2,9.4496557304202561E-2,8.6596908559255906E-2,4.9507926126055056E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",6.9230769230769233E-3,"%",null,null,null,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,1.6714885620776554,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,0.34735511939185687,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,3.7224196079046631E-2,null,5.3854424369775538E-3,3.1591808659842742E-2,2.469449822263329E-4,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EPN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",9,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2015-11-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2025-10-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,32.116658635243638,35.965259349132552,32.471109188422304,41.60350596996436,42.370926851281325,43.12659012404373,43.851627864464433,44.492450227460225,45.133272590456023,45.774094953451872,46.4149173164476,47.055739679443455,47.696562042439204,48.337384405435046,48.978206768430795,49.619029131426643,50.259851494422293,50.900673857418134,51.541496220413883,52.182318583409725,52.823140946405466,53.454603225096996,54.047998118910698,54.641393012724492,55.234787906538202,55.828182800351996,56.421577694165805,57.0149725879795,57.608367481793195,58.201762375607004,58.795157269420699,59.388552163234493,59.981947057048203,60.575341950861997]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,30.788570449310914,34.548585674246475,30.868734408687118,39.64616759414718,40.372161518021066,41.135590956355699,41.845529444648356,42.535155102019878,43.224780759391379,43.914406416762866,44.604032074134544,45.29365773150603,45.983283388877503,46.672909046248982,47.362534703620568,48.052160360992048,48.741786018363534,49.431411675735212,50.121037333106692,50.810662990478178,51.500288647849757,52.189914305221237,52.87953996259273,53.528522788338805,54.165800280823305,54.803077773307592,55.440355265791894,56.077632758276195,56.714910250760596,57.352187743244897,57.989465235729298,58.626742728213699,59.264020220698001,59.901297713182302]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.6562042439204979E-2,0.87041031307455552,2.1440428876967239,3.9564153591553275,6.4664994848226414,9.3079360495104915,13.553563557385244,19.257853390294819,26.709105489132487,35.97670490474804,47.44015896249045,60.794269529887259,77.049465524192158,95.88321894876762,117.44726982909354,142.99497671022897,173.38961161279323,208.1949542481473,247.3373806027019,291.66239524290307,340.89135598583061,395.16037119867508]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.45216036099204804,1.6741573375192722,3.3633334128646704,5.9227681126725225,8.815174015754236,13.276333098823196,19.336872440223679,27.449134782348544,37.267675050590327,49.929767548050528,64.941782820567937,83.368960131691082,104.54698603789352,129.55465536904831,159.71233020724102,195.33023320486069,235.74130055960546,281.90007640945907,333.91275479159918]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.3877413929150343E-3,1.2509101814350975E-2,3.0813112360533471E-2,7.2022142799427646E-2,0.14907365242383111,0.24655334393583742,0.32746989972772972,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,14.805412972690899,24.049632499088155,37.429190224940321,54.577565804490078,74.047408958802293,97.384127024295239,126.91844899883264,163.24536884471001,205.89231429576915,256.04027041789004,313.44129795043801,378.23396183900888,451.61322426100401,534.40276606718805,626.9379270002961,728.63187850432269,843.35935082851449,973.62423704330047,1116.15673747763,1267.4156356245817,1436.5090982491172,1626.6887293423702,1836.1131674140288,2067.127928574972,2320.9707025807588,2598.1103971016255,2902.5222435625296,3231.549189084039,3583.7102727402425,3958.591742915587,4356.0108980332234]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,3.2929823741032469,6.136681234935832,10.74619091686019,17.424601303046529,26.499374677767005,39.504332521263088,56.315811215943327,77.738722219319769,104.16605788031052,138.05741197483201,179.48685453593103,229.02568647364271,287.05250286246974,353.49410331919489,429.15669849084247,515.63869495122879,613.38980630321214,721.78312117210976,844.81516086969611,985.72577463568769,1134.0081150558046,1299.4659291401031,1486.1975482299163,1697.1097628322584,1930.4779434408852,2189.9637031759289,2475.5834802639647,2790.5154435737345,3135.7832580944673,3507.8328580285706,3906.087458252839]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,2.4103519273706645E-28,3.5600581630439318E-27,4.8254093319371419E-26,5.8796724565698248E-25,6.4479852974226442E-24,6.6454744828300839E-23,6.4304858701298734E-22,5.8553559278340464E-21,5.0039253341686945E-20,4.063670752267578E-19,3.1195171340782681E-18,2.2653414062829338E-17,1.5590368036275146E-16,1.0174093828858912E-15,6.3083679603384268E-15,3.0998172218522727E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,57253.912346789381,60654.833138554583,70239.045309229667,78655.92463002351,71014.227707478203,90986.754694351344,92665.102079932738,94317.735607501338,95903.39117891957,97304.867948368919,98706.344717818298,100107.82148726778,101509.298256717,102910.77502616649,104312.25179561575,105713.72856506522,107115.20533451448,108516.68210396396,109918.15887341301,111319.63564286247,112721.11241231173,114122.5891817612,115524.06595121045,116905.07224167841,118202.82526468774,119500.57828769727,120798.33131070662,122096.08433371615,123393.83735672572,124691.59037973503,125989.34340274434,127287.09642575392,128584.84944876323,129882.60247177276,131180.3554947821,132478.10851779164]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,54659.519493299267,58004.580516980619,67334.520049431463,75557.663146198975,67509.838411118486,86706.060976305293,88293.80771834169,89963.425828948704,91516.059376924139,93024.268818779674,94532.478260635165,96040.687702490628,97548.897144346498,99057.10658620196,100565.31602805739,102073.52546991284,103581.73491176851,105089.94435362396,106598.15379547942,108106.3632373353,109614.57267919074,111122.7821210462,112630.99156290187,114139.20100475731,115647.41044661278,117066.73412595931,118460.45827321699,119854.18242047422,121247.90656773146,122641.63071498871,124035.35486224618,125429.07900950343,126822.8031567609,128216.52730401837,129610.25145127562,131003.97559853287]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.6123656545080461E-62,2.590878946014306E-59,3.0941027934801882E-57,3.2995459301946017E-55,2.5978717231594981E-53,2.7050689318569274E-51,2.0645292400493297E-49,1.4558245025669454E-47,9.4697137082097835E-46,5.6835114060963014E-44,3.1504665158501917E-42,1.6129736535257568E-40,7.6276468618341855E-39,3.3318241604427518E-37,1.3443730144295341E-35,5.0109787408655037E-34,1.7254808182719785E-32,5.4891265459465948E-31,1.613331829523826E-29,4.3812146487635335E-28,9.1512687940144683E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.83982899445466397,null,3.6123656545080461E-62,2.590878946014306E-59,3.0941027934801882E-57,3.2995459301946017E-55,2.5978717231594981E-53,2.4103519273706645E-28,3.5600581630439318E-27,4.8254093319371419E-26,5.8796724565698248E-25,6.4479852974226442E-24,6.6454744828300839E-23,6.4304858701298734E-22,5.8553559278340464E-21,5.0039253341686945E-20,1.3877413929150348E-3,1.2509101814350979E-2,3.0813112360533496E-2,7.2022142799427799E-2,0.14907365242383214,0.24655334393584372,0.32746989972776069,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"P substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",1E-8,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",0,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"TTS-NH 66kV line load at risk"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"PTN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2019-11-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2019-11-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,30.152704720644092,36.034090762308722,36.174258984318669,36.544659744477819,36.901051398768395,37.475468847093467,38.14977771428137,38.833589054845255,39.494098813187982,40.016008272073606,40.537917730959201,41.059827189844903,41.581736648730498,42.1036461076161,42.625555566501703,43.147465025387397,43.669374484273,44.191283943158602,44.713193402044197,45.2351028609298,45.757012319815502,46.278921778701097,46.800831237586699,47.322740696472302,47.844650155358003,48.366559614243599,48.888469073129201,49.410378532014803,49.932287990900498,50.454197449786101,50.976106908671703,51.498016367557298,52.019925826443,52.541835285328602,53.063744744214198,53.5856542030998]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,28.200713914591365,33.77725524805318,33.900645330265725,34.328749004939667,34.656624710771972,35.179009450383312,35.780685672466731,36.462016725540821,37.085374123585687,37.690015785723844,38.294657447862001,38.8992991100002,39.5039407721383,40.108582434276499,40.713224096414599,41.317865758552799,41.922507420690899,42.527149082829098,43.131790744967297,43.736432407105397,44.341074069243597,44.945715731381704,45.550357393519903,46.154999055658003,46.759640717796202,47.364282379934401,47.968924042072501,48.573565704210701,49.178207366348801,49.782849028487,50.3874906906251,50.992132352763299,51.596774014901499,52.201415677039599,52.806057339177798,53.410699001315898]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (2 Tx)",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (2 Tx)",38,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19128394315860381,0.86734128003926048,1.9046348050852062,3.2985322683135188,5.2733038321033741,7.3372285685698175,10.371218864707235,14.061265443289331,19.201087085342898,25.481033897427153,33.231734452340746,43.259520373083703,54.883591246963299,68.82402889123216,85.105223238975412,103.37977683600847,124.83600138743145,150.19142786277376,179.48861690645245]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.34107406924359474,1.3294787304035529,2.6874760214942066,4.7879018269894358,7.1562671111773977,10.650697107152066,15.07021850113976,21.569929475967562,29.570299740133375,40.157346553513655,53.298517199100729,69.288300534230004,88.328534597426739,110.42839398825345,137.11221425871716,169.23548822714548]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.6593371653538309E-20,6.4922502389524885E-19,7.3789295185641161E-18,6.5699748776394998E-17,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-2 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,39735.883425813205,52598.45874391398,52905.006265201489,53715.071722846638,54494.499303961107,55750.748705168793,57225.460368444146,58720.953915214457,60165.486964879601,61306.901535626857,62448.316106374055,63589.730677121486,64731.145247868684,65872.55981861589,67013.974389363109,68155.388960110518,69296.803530857738,70438.218101604944,71579.632672352149,72721.047243099354,73862.461813846778,75003.876384593968,76145.290955341203,77286.705526088408,78428.120096835832,79569.534667583037,80710.949238330242,81852.363809077448,82993.778379824886,84135.192950572091,85276.607521319296,86418.022092066487,87559.436662813925,88700.85123356113,89842.265804308336,90983.680375055541]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,35466.884828335133,47662.765596578858,47932.619371645167,48868.880946797741,49585.944225992018,50728.398234397071,52044.262499866694,53534.331664625337,54897.612603105968,56219.962277930659,57542.31195275535,58864.661627580128,60187.011302404695,61509.360977229473,62831.710652054033,64154.060326878811,65476.410001703371,66798.759676528163,68121.109351352934,69443.459026177501,70765.808701002286,72088.158375826853,73410.508050651639,74732.85772547622,76055.207400300991,77377.557075125776,78699.906749950329,80022.256424775114,81344.606099599681,82666.955774424467,83989.305449249034,85311.655124073804,86634.00479889859,87956.354473723157,89278.704148547928,90601.053823372495]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,2.3944965775552118E-62,2.1654002580171497E-59,2.2420937853095928E-57,2.1708509757615839E-55,1.9346736634683429E-53,1.6058543376706839E-51,1.2349275149635956E-49,8.7873433139400478E-48,5.7612543254801062E-46,3.4800731542545174E-44,1.9410418110221647E-42,9.9971976444027594E-41,4.7548892460414974E-39,2.0885430614494179E-37,8.4724677055685798E-36,3.1744093712434723E-34,1.0985659703510423E-32,3.5117529529463474E-31,1.0370068650609034E-29,2.8289508510758123E-28,5.9350429276423404E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,7.3754496696736572E-17,null,2.3944965775552118E-62,2.1654002580171497E-59,2.2420937853095928E-57,2.1708509757615839E-55,1.9346736634683429E-53,1.6058543376706839E-51,1.2349275149635956E-49,8.7873433139400478E-48,5.7612543254801062E-46,3.4800731542545174E-44,1.9410418110221647E-42,9.9971976444027594E-41,4.7548892460414974E-39,2.0885430614494179E-37,8.4724677055685798E-36,3.1744093712434723E-34,1.0985659703510423E-32,2.6593371653889484E-20,6.4922502390561892E-19,7.3789295188470105E-18,6.5699748782330043E-17,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Financial evaluation"]
[]
[null,null,"Financial sumary",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.419252462069206,2.0978517205822751,1.8076799640195496,1.0334605206795882,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499857E-9,2.4444340970499973E-9,2.4444340970501193E-9,2.4444340970513721E-9,2.4444340970634084E-9,2.4444340971722133E-9,2.4444340980945366E-9,2.8968615176195599E-2,0.26112309636680081,0.64321286875345174,1.5034368628854695,3.1118599841547381,5.1467142063029812,6.8358188044095058,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total value of risk",null,null,null,-1.3934388547519123,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-8.6596908676356527E-2,-4.950792624315567E-2,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917958E-10,-1.1710061541918012E-10,-1.1710061541918596E-10,-1.1710061541924599E-10,-1.1710061541982258E-10,-1.1710061542503488E-10,-1.1710061546921879E-10,-1.3877415100156502E-3,-1.2509101931451595E-2,-3.0813112477634109E-2,-7.202214291652842E-2,-0.14907365254093274,-0.24655334405294432,-0.32746989982523739,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total Capex",null,null,null,-40.070702245232226,null,0,0,0,-30,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Benefit",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-30.086596908676356,-4.950792624315567E-2,-18.4000000001171,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917958E-10,-1.1710061541918012E-10,-1.1710061541918596E-10,-1.1710061541924599E-10,-1.1710061541982258E-10,-1.1710061542503488E-10,-1.1710061546921879E-10,-1.3877415100156502E-3,-1.2509101931451595E-2,-3.0813112477634109E-2,-7.202214291652842E-2,-0.14907365254093274,-0.24655334405294432,-0.32746989982523739,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Cumulative cost",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.90210837289032397,-1.0026059595648178,-31.089202868241173,-31.138710794484329,-49.538710794601428,-49.538710794718526,-49.538710794835623,-49.538710794952721,-49.538710795069818,-49.538710795186915,-49.538710795304013,-49.53871079542111,-49.538710795538208,-49.540098537048223,-49.552607638979673,-49.583420751457304,-49.655442894373834,-49.804516546914769,-50.05106989096771,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949,-50.378539790792949]
[null,null,null,null,"discount rate",5.1799999999999999E-2,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"NPV",-41.46414109998414,0]
[null,null,null,null,"IRR","N/A"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"End"]

{"sheet":"Option 3","index":12,"n_rows":478,"n_cols":46,"rows_kept":478,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Option 3 - Continue with the final 2 stages of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston conversion from Preston (PTN) "]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year start",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-01-01","2026-01-01","2027-01-01","2028-01-01","2029-01-01","2030-01-01","2031-01-01","2032-01-01","2033-01-01","2034-01-01","2035-01-01","2036-01-01","2037-01-01","2038-01-01","2039-01-01","2040-01-01","2041-01-01","2042-01-01","2043-01-01","2044-01-01","2045-01-01","2046-01-01","2047-01-01","2048-01-01","2049-01-01","2050-01-01","2051-01-01","2052-01-01","2053-01-01","2054-01-01","2055-01-01","2056-01-01","2057-01-01","2058-01-01","2059-01-01","2060-01-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year end",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-12-31","2026-12-31","2027-12-31","2028-12-31","2029-12-31","2030-12-31","2031-12-31","2032-12-31","2033-12-31","2034-12-31","2035-12-31","2036-12-31","2037-12-31","2038-12-31","2039-12-31","2040-12-31","2041-12-31","2042-12-31","2043-12-31","2044-12-31","2045-12-31","2046-12-31","2047-12-31","2048-12-31","2049-12-31","2050-12-31","2051-12-31","2052-12-31","2053-12-31","2054-12-31","2055-12-31","2056-12-31","2057-12-31","2058-12-31","2059-12-31","2060-12-31"]
[null,null,null,null,"Valuation period flag",null,null,null,null,null,0.16483516483516483,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.83241758241758246,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Period number",null,null,null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Description","Constant","Unit","Comment","Total"]
[]
[null,"Capex"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 7 (new PTN feeders)",-38.6,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,-38.6,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2030-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 8",-18.399999999999999,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,0,"00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,-38.6,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Cost of Risk"]
[]
[null,"Substation Energy at Risk"]
[null,null,null,"Value of Customer Reliability"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 10% POE",0.3,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 50% POE",0.7,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer outage duration as percentage of year",0.21666666666666667,"%"]
[]
[null,null,"CS substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844498E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.4859082043246936E-44,9.9029042690907602E-43,1.0455166876200682E-41,1.0608433787384473E-40,1.0344932836341392E-39,9.6953745213147787E-39,8.7330640865202447E-38,7.5602946865396415E-37,6.2905114620186242E-36,5.0305302791761836E-35,3.8665877403091808E-34,2.8565004997987961E-33,2.0283339403475933E-32,1.3843633360381907E-31,9.0818297844122823E-31,5.7268638653262652E-30,3.4712720899449671E-29,2.022540927724802E-28,1.132796674793413E-27,6.0990516712398837E-27,2.6277253387968912E-26,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.3198446725861229E-77,9.6630425249518945E-75,1.077086710215073E-72,1.1088971553861253E-70,1.0544939199901697E-68,9.2622800787502332E-67,7.5148795431106985E-65,5.6320457880844504E-63,3.8990665268238555E-61,2.493539567771982E-59,1.4731415143088368E-57,8.0400238679777691E-56,4.053849719325826E-54,1.8883778896265873E-52,8.1270970337828634E-51,3.2316360804415868E-49,1.1873152396434453E-47,4.0307268336445123E-46,1.2644237953596589E-44,3.6653323056971023E-43,8.1734878663351531E-42,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,2.3416906033961747E-9,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844524E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"FF substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,32.021610826885457,32.886330942705072,33.770335903235797,34.515595475906785,35.145703280753963,35.775811085601177,36.405918890448334,37.03602669529549,37.666134500142647,38.296242304989889,38.926350109837053,39.556457914684202,40.186565719531359,40.816673524378608,41.446781329225765,42.076889134072921,42.706996938920078,43.337104743767334,43.976572632918803,44.654107906948006,45.331643180977203,46.009178455006406,46.686713729035702,47.364249003064906,48.041784277094102,48.719319551123306,49.396854825152602,50.074390099181805,50.751925373211002,51.429460647240205,52.106995921269501]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,30.197653510615428,30.98600315283192,31.853857051096067,32.559619236361115,33.25510199843368,33.950584760506224,34.646067522578839,35.341550284651362,36.037033046723977,36.732515808796499,37.427998570869022,38.123481332941637,38.818964095014152,39.514446857086767,40.20992961915929,40.905412381231812,41.600895143304427,42.296377905376943,42.991860667449465,43.687343429522073,44.423469023220001,45.171299950179801,45.919130877139501,46.666961804099302,47.414792731059002,48.162623658018703,48.910454584978503,49.658285511938203,50.406116438898003,51.153947365857704,51.901778292817504]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",54,"MVA",null,null,null,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",43.8,"MVA",null,null,null,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",21.9,"MVA",null,null,null,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8215143047266414E-28,3.4422417180831456E-27,2.980011314135107E-26,2.4795358259183587E-25,1.9829160904694439E-24,1.524142706616043E-23,1.1260054523880327E-22,7.9956820774320537E-22,5.4572985052044317E-21,3.5802596093305229E-20,2.2577397401388025E-19,1.368561259307672E-18,7.9743380792676549E-18,4.4665761433880771E-17,2.4049988969531005E-16,1.2448761956229407E-15,6.1947033488801737E-15,2.9635398912068788E-14,1.3630469132782308E-13,6.0274769228082021E-13,2.5627204465419832E-12,1.0476721625751693E-11,4.1183870436471245E-11,1.5567801442622482E-10,5.6591141987211445E-10,1.9784062466358569E-9,6.6520498346158145E-9,2.1512868875906874E-8,6.6923211645495176E-8,2.0027510385811215E-7,5.7661880566666124E-7,1.597373247834805E-6,4.2582252502502399E-6,1.092470170428465E-5,2.6977963843464096E-5,6.4134758498484771E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17657263291880562,1.7425635618872293,4.6715734670975335,9.0686060238975124,15.735893924591345,25.157494838169526,37.772869650060798,54.221940287114705,74.997508101095562,101.08666667723251,132.57291995142194,169.70042347803997,213.06497370820074]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.0548809795683058,3.8804214105953605,8.3650664611709367,15.506868896095394,25.955293912017428,40.439571663982065,59.626948604933141,84.319661394946991,115.78044205050195,153.89956785701634,199.16119722694646]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.6513657619488848E-56,2.9626115978223449E-54,2.2204283252143959E-52,1.5372771942875294E-50,9.831784619616902E-49,5.8088387915785144E-47,3.1705593489299709E-45,1.5987687805790716E-43,7.4482310872050354E-42,3.2059283346852582E-40,1.2749824186035043E-38,4.6851338239047192E-37,1.5908388977953145E-35,4.9915702334434692E-34,1.4473610952382817E-32,3.8785463256464107E-31,9.6059209198516085E-30,2.1989463271556235E-28,4.6529228546427007E-27,9.1013388366358141E-26,1.6458431054558871E-24,2.7517821566615167E-23,4.2542646980332831E-22,6.0822774946030172E-21,8.0424835634953949E-20,9.8367677750547164E-19,1.1130500868732669E-17,1.1653200743931739E-16,1.1290660653445545E-15,1.0125594770647312E-14,8.4070050981639015E-14,6.4637468211820237E-13,4.6032405976201824E-12,3.0374286532789999E-11,1.8576012560696409E-10,1.0533181389987103E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,108.88104601849403,170.97877736141183,540.80414267368462,1496.220694271683,2709.1544337419264,1889.2528296623866,2543.8419053744951,3291.7433969382364,3975.7488220035116,4590.8913176472915,5241.069338953399,5926.4018805420956,6644.4404732581115,7395.9290728655133,8178.250390211726,8987.1795066003197,9821.7049461968436,10681.94596571582,11569.370005669891,12483.554473643655,13425.794911891548,14396.488954282142,15397.111262968318,16444.278551055111,17588.21812371807,18769.60285440299,19993.491606237138,21261.058874582992,22570.428855841874,23917.965310194213,25300.973715468514,26717.665845726056,28165.557584831487,29639.53295151675,31135.682257879995,32652.134125556378]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,31.46011362930744,61.501636829248831,235.93652437368576,683.04366319721066,1374.1473796547593,875.00766091679361,1243.5582802798863,1773.4415417253699,2286.5427997359593,2846.8680891022295,3452.7051403054306,4100.4415579689667,4789.0327009760931,5521.2356920726952,6294.4416245810753,7108.3312134929056,7960.9875735472333,8847.4714463524779,9765.2917330177333,10714.34895445136,11696.467128616712,12711.515380579314,13760.596386012798,14844.917491773203,15966.89694833777,17194.927260810102,18486.401512695298,19828.24021604165,21223.498070597256,22669.658656120835,24162.095229400016,25697.388129006216,27272.997874502315,28884.155474321913,30524.791332560835,32190.769002830959]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,7.1101645186153667E-46,5.37608451503185E-44,3.6987539672028105E-42,2.159456134195764E-40,1.1214149197732191E-38,5.2791563026911371E-37,2.2603855581102999E-35,8.8267347755400189E-34,3.1519106954504566E-32,1.0304991452983425E-30,3.0885149951345283E-29,8.4939736513929018E-28,2.1449363617868813E-26,4.9774928762616204E-25,1.0622872311410299E-23,1.7370228574481943E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,1.8484523805291291E-22,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,7.1101645186153667E-46,5.37608451503185E-44,3.6987539672028105E-42,2.159456134195764E-40,1.1214149197732191E-38,5.2791563026911371E-37,2.2603855581102999E-35,8.8267347755400189E-34,3.1519106954504566E-32,1.0304991452983425E-30,3.0885149951345283E-29,8.4939736513929018E-28,2.1449363617868813E-26,4.9774928762616204E-25,1.0622872311410299E-23,1.7370228574481943E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP A substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,{"$error":"#REF!"},"00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP B substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",63,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",64,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,63,64,65,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,64,65,66,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,14.212884136842014,11.506348766659979,5.9649032261612502,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,13.759695754084692,11.165800958991586,5.7872096914855788,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",28.5,"MVA",null,null,null,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",27,"MVA",null,null,null,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",13.5,"MVA",null,null,null,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.941897996426319,0.9663880279410012,0.98174359225116592,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.57199348724021082,0.6631013195441452,0.7445314835956689,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,1.6714885620776554,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,0.34735511939185687,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.75777303862626966,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,1.7247297603550922,1.7196597827035744,1.4076927622014819,1.140418442435946,0.59115951657585486,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0.2870752713221133,2.0741013762469369,1.9725823463981329,1.8076799615751153,1.0334605182351539,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.34371355929130887,null,1.3752340872685839E-2,9.9359826429109524E-2,9.4496557304202561E-2,8.6596908559255906E-2,4.9507926126055056E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",6.9230769230769233E-3,"%",null,null,null,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,1.6714885620776554,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,0.34735511939185687,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,3.7224196079046631E-2,null,5.3854424369775538E-3,3.1591808659842742E-2,2.469449822263329E-4,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EPN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",9,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2015-11-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2025-10-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,28.996757239351485,30.037746348125896,30.892179396462229,31.447262564756024,31.902188693815646,32.341692180828673,32.774188342912929,33.19790129454578,33.621614246178602,34.045327197811503,34.469040149444297,34.892753101077197,35.316466052709998,35.740179004342899,36.1638919559757,36.587604907608601,37.011317859241402,37.435030810874302,37.858743762507103,38.282456714139997,38.706169665772798,39.129882617405698,39.553595569038499,39.9773085206714,40.401021472304201,40.824734423937102,41.248447375570002,41.672160327202803,42.095873278835597,42.519586230468498,42.943299182101299,43.3670121337342,43.790725085367001,44.214438036999901]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,27.768149430121589,28.796506392341719,29.634739125215113,30.164224901888545,30.606215428521995,31.043061976380621,31.468996375651798,31.886520385330513,32.3040443950092,32.721568404687901,33.139092414366701,33.556616424045401,33.974140433724102,34.391664443402803,34.809188453081497,35.226712462760197,35.644236472438898,36.061760482117698,36.479284491796399,36.8968085014751,37.3143325111538,37.731856520832501,38.149380530511202,38.566904540189903,38.984428549868703,39.401952559547397,39.819476569226097,40.237000578904798,40.654524588583499,41.072048598262199,41.489572607941,41.9070966176197,42.324620627298401,42.742144636977102]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.2824567141399964,0.92839915062022471,1.7705274043318535,2.9557004513566381,4.5900525623870161,6.2498530469803599,8.6548544544827397,11.593463320185455,15.519631083501393,20.412400471182128,26.253224020560484,33.667292633887335,42.607739191281425,52.918491851071643,65.145559958539721]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14938053051120398,0.6516101203154222,1.4814378699710813,2.5073084875305693,3.9718290128935743,5.6072594368261841,7.5438745482529264,10.318699657942632,13.62015286895136,18.121149170982257,23.400409142798953,29.914939370352066]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,57253.912346789381,60654.833138554583,63415.829420079768,65692.469776974904,67561.112535781111,68775.077919010422,69770.00012914055,70731.193062953302,71677.060996156288,72603.720071929158,73530.379147701955,74457.038223474912,75383.697299247651,76310.356375020623,77237.015450793362,78163.674526566334,79090.333602339088,80016.992678112045,80943.651753884798,81870.31082965777,82796.969905430509,83723.628981203467,84650.28805697622,85576.947132749177,86503.606208521931,87430.265284294903,88356.924360067642,89283.583435840614,90210.242511613586,91136.901587386325,92063.560663159064,92990.219738932035,93916.878814704774,94843.537890477746,95770.1969662505,96696.856042023457]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,54659.519493299267,58004.580516980619,60728.867474260354,62977.881360909756,64811.094073746724,65969.078030942896,66935.710113658672,67891.092328748491,68822.609704480026,69735.733580988541,70648.857457496997,71561.981334005482,72475.105210514201,73388.229087022686,74301.352963531172,75214.476840039657,76127.600716548128,77040.724593056628,77953.848469565113,78866.972346073817,79780.096222582302,80693.220099090802,81606.343975599288,82519.467852107773,83432.591728616258,84345.715605124758,85258.839481633462,86171.963358141933,87085.087234650418,87998.211111158918,88911.334987667404,89824.458864175889,90737.582740684593,91650.706617193078,92563.830493701578,93476.954370210064]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.6123656545080461E-62,2.590878946014306E-59,2.7914819962576377E-57,2.751906797738101E-55,2.4870375463183085E-53,2.0539547412039818E-51,1.5618086821075696E-49,1.0965074018713213E-47,7.1078703589167721E-46,4.2544852930634327E-44,2.3521548478117182E-42,1.2011874485274633E-40,5.6662661796504773E-39,2.4691104712558945E-37,9.9393569742762098E-36,3.6963067611603824E-34,1.269955092865494E-32,4.0312440725060757E-31,1.1823364199812693E-29,3.2041763125025532E-28,6.6792828397518963E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,7.0119400389828759E-27,null,3.6123656545080461E-62,2.590878946014306E-59,2.7914819962576377E-57,2.751906797738101E-55,2.4870375463183085E-53,2.0539547412039818E-51,1.5618086821075696E-49,1.0965074018713213E-47,7.1078703589167721E-46,4.2544852930634327E-44,2.3521548478117182E-42,1.2011874485274633E-40,5.6662661796504773E-39,2.4691104712558945E-37,9.9393569742762098E-36,3.6963067611603824E-34,1.269955092865494E-32,4.0312440725060757E-31,1.1823364199812693E-29,3.2041763125025532E-28,6.6792828397518963E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"P substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",1E-8,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",0,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"TTS-NH 66kV line load at risk"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"PTN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2019-11-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2019-11-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,30.152704720644092,36.034090762308722,39.294160380210819,42.472172745484471,48.479981190728466,55.221483480385686,56.143200639500428,57.076633758031811,57.973590288165859,58.665181689232384,59.356773090298901,60.048364491365504,60.739955892431993,61.431547293498497,62.123138694565,62.814730095631596,63.506321496698099,64.19791289776461,64.889504298831,65.581095699897503,66.272687100964106,66.964278502030595,67.655869903097098,68.347461304163602,69.039052705230205,69.730644106296694,70.422235507363197,71.113826908429701,71.805418309496304,72.497009710562793,73.18860111162931,73.8801925126958,74.571783913762403,75.263375314828906,75.954966715895395,76.646558116961899]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,28.200713914591365,33.77725524805318,36.921066349455046,40.080828286844422,45.890619994243977,17.209001030169308,17.433666282296663,17.694926836344194,17.925809040453242,18.145562523258871,18.3653160060645,18.585069488870101,18.804822971675801,19.024576454481402,19.244329937286999,19.464083420092599,19.6838369028983,19.9035903857039,20.123343868509501,20.343097351315201,20.562850834120798,20.782604316926399,21.002357799732099,21.2221112825377,21.441864765343301,21.661618248148901,21.881371730954601,22.101125213760199,22.320878696565799,22.5406321793714,22.7603856621771,22.980139144982701,23.199892627788302,23.419646110594002,23.639399593399599,23.8591530762052]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (2 Tx)",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (2 Tx)",38,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,2.5525371161955377,5.5114213658014242,9.2524203406289516,14.826493190459182,20.699723452559677,28.5409360901734,38.190862076538444,50.866727513283081,66.125409533778466,84.563644929685111,106.29189437236245,131.18447388267722,160.8409015028266,196.32349641760959,237.08745835121309,283.2223808183125,335.55809109072669,393.85573565473612,458.18199656270269,528.6059444174324,606.08360238729972,691.2990927884116,784.42269655887128,885.63735531735938,994.30341447446688,1112.395649682486,1243.4064345250549,1386.8998629235218,1542.1876959983856,1713.2822372493331,1901.284048902173]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,3.6683787165404172E-2,7.9207392158615164E-2,0.13297115892534897,0.21307894688668413,0.29748607559846141,0.41017606301992698,0.54885997433297229,0.73103117445714783,0.9503213231146973,1.2153064231069697,1.527573959972407,1.8853176664048958,2.3115250159478729,2.8214631287656764,3.4073024076944587,3.3882146294420457,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,20.484296196068488,295.95422372732605,379.74088674091558,478.42546986761926,588.93528316497861,685.40054695427125,791.18694807076395,907.45497465766459,1039.0500511388284,1185.6502237509346,1348.2946376676794,1531.3990093246623,1736.5913770832308,1966.4027450429476,2218.9590938716747,2497.9527057114119,2803.5259904513741,3137.8292354179039,3504.1685150798039,3897.9134871732936,4318.8964761505204,4766.8702301653466,5239.6271544507808,5737.7718484166016,6258.09122072218,6796.8634634526943,7353.2590219246431,7927.1069761540884,8518.3396307367802,9124.3919770638931,9746.1646273616316,10382.97987451611]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,3.7523360859438681,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,3.4792138478478424E-29,3.1720068120546735E-27,3.5234572432375418E-26,3.6935431054033002E-25,3.6360032508285413E-24,3.252484518097115E-23,2.7736799065181023E-22,2.2589544058357591E-21,1.7653445394675996E-20,1.3215173437015111E-19,9.4764262815562144E-19,6.5240899471007958E-18,4.3106015487882307E-17,2.7338039019880448E-16,1.6609422425693934E-15,9.6775596596988842E-15,4.4986377376759566E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-2 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,39735.883425813205,52598.45874391398,59728.222154351381,66678.52657589523,79817.587347665467,94561.234566803309,96577.027493353613,98618.443191365062,100580.08468950519,102092.59320748903,103605.10172547286,105117.61024345687,106630.11876144062,108142.62727942443,109655.13579740822,111167.64431539222,112680.15283337601,114192.66135135983,115705.16986934337,117217.67838732716,118730.18690531117,120242.69542329492,121755.20394127873,123267.71245926253,124780.22097724653,126292.72949523031,127805.23801321408,129317.74653119789,130830.2550491819,132342.76356716568,133855.27208514948,135367.78060313323,136880.28912111724,138392.79763910105,139905.30615708482,141417.8146750686]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,35466.884828335133,47662.765596578858,54538.271946816269,61448.662732086952,74154.661435371061,11705.802685901208,12160.191975852138,12694.539269018422,13171.501873388861,13629.35747350151,14090.044213796944,14553.078871342557,15018.060135117021,15484.877443016092,15953.307376888193,16423.264595760516,16894.539090487979,17367.054741756459,17840.665713223963,18315.236373050902,18790.70367373302,19266.947500271104,19743.77678412406,20221.112358408755,20698.905342388764,21177.219327401119,21655.837995025511,22134.878032027565,22614.193956676063,23093.662983696144,23573.233733462119,24052.990957293714,24532.903179113906,25012.969888385011,25493.084736597655,25973.20665335195]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,2.3944965775552118E-62,2.1654002580171497E-59,2.5447145825321427E-57,2.7184901082180843E-55,2.8741896783662963E-53,1.1240322432696323E-51,8.6367066770427194E-50,6.1365433664014467E-48,4.0185451983051483E-46,2.4207497307426181E-44,1.34671354755792E-42,6.919249528025882E-41,3.2833459728382089E-39,1.4390187860490108E-37,5.8254115646442312E-36,2.178296652669361E-34,7.5241531507525583E-33,2.4008786999335241E-31,7.0774559724045867E-30,1.9275342926406697E-28,4.037491577837779E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,19.956519126993641,null,2.3944965775552118E-62,2.1654002580171497E-59,2.5447145825321427E-57,2.7184901082180843E-55,3.4792138478478424E-29,3.6683787165404172E-2,7.9207392158615164E-2,0.13297115892534897,0.21307894688668413,0.29748607559846141,0.41017606301992698,0.54885997433297229,0.73103117445714783,0.9503213231146973,1.2153064231069697,1.527573959972407,1.8853176664048958,2.3115250159478733,2.8214631287656782,3.4073024076944685,3.3882146294420905,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Financial evaluation"]
[]
[null,null,"Financial sumary",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.419252462069206,2.0978517205822751,1.8076799640195496,1.0334605206795882,0.76576113730309536,1.6534264121848612,2.7757261046331192,4.447947959582188,6.2099170382123372,8.5622808294964532,11.457258625405968,15.260018256429358,19.837622862577977,25.369093481349967,31.887568314153167,39.355342167247599,48.252270453292425,58.897048927727347,71.126237507808554,70.727786860235199,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total value of risk",null,null,null,-9.8412084802646227,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-8.6596908676356527E-2,-4.950792624315567E-2,-3.6683787282504786E-2,-7.9207392275715785E-2,-0.13297115904244958,-0.21307894700378474,-0.29748607571556202,-0.41017606313702759,-0.54885997445007295,-0.73103117457424849,-0.95032132323179797,-1.2153064232240702,-1.5275739600895075,-1.8853176665219964,-2.3115250160649738,-2.8214631288827787,-3.407302407811569,-3.3882146295395672,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total Capex",null,null,null,-47.460607339362483,null,0,0,0,-38.6,0,-18.399999999999999,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Benefit",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-38.686596908676357,-4.950792624315567E-2,-18.436683787282504,-7.9207392275715785E-2,-0.13297115904244958,-0.21307894700378474,-0.29748607571556202,-0.41017606313702759,-0.54885997445007295,-0.73103117457424849,-0.95032132323179797,-1.2153064232240702,-1.5275739600895075,-1.8853176665219964,-2.3115250160649738,-2.8214631288827787,-3.407302407811569,-3.3882146295395672,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Cumulative cost",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.90210837289032397,-1.0026059595648178,-39.689202868241175,-39.738710794484334,-58.175394581766838,-58.254601974042551,-58.387573133084999,-58.600652080088786,-58.898138155804347,-59.308314218941376,-59.857174193391451,-60.588205367965699,-61.538526691197497,-62.753833114421568,-64.28140707451108,-66.166724741033079,-68.478249757098055,-71.299712885980838,-74.707015293792409,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971,-78.095229923331971]
[null,null,null,null,"discount rate",5.1799999999999999E-2,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"NPV",-57.301815819627102,0]
[null,null,null,null,"IRR","N/A"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"End"]

{"sheet":"Option 4","index":13,"n_rows":478,"n_cols":46,"rows_kept":478,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Option 4 - Complete EP Stage 7 of the 6.6 kV to 22 kV East Preston Conversion and transfer the remaining EP load to Fairfield (FF)"]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year start",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-01-01","2026-01-01","2027-01-01","2028-01-01","2029-01-01","2030-01-01","2031-01-01","2032-01-01","2033-01-01","2034-01-01","2035-01-01","2036-01-01","2037-01-01","2038-01-01","2039-01-01","2040-01-01","2041-01-01","2042-01-01","2043-01-01","2044-01-01","2045-01-01","2046-01-01","2047-01-01","2048-01-01","2049-01-01","2050-01-01","2051-01-01","2052-01-01","2053-01-01","2054-01-01","2055-01-01","2056-01-01","2057-01-01","2058-01-01","2059-01-01","2060-01-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year end",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-12-31","2026-12-31","2027-12-31","2028-12-31","2029-12-31","2030-12-31","2031-12-31","2032-12-31","2033-12-31","2034-12-31","2035-12-31","2036-12-31","2037-12-31","2038-12-31","2039-12-31","2040-12-31","2041-12-31","2042-12-31","2043-12-31","2044-12-31","2045-12-31","2046-12-31","2047-12-31","2048-12-31","2049-12-31","2050-12-31","2051-12-31","2052-12-31","2053-12-31","2054-12-31","2055-12-31","2056-12-31","2057-12-31","2058-12-31","2059-12-31","2060-12-31"]
[null,null,null,null,"Valuation period flag",null,null,null,null,null,0.16483516483516483,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.83241758241758246,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Period number",null,null,null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Description","Constant","Unit","Comment","Total"]
[]
[null,"Capex"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"EP Conversion Stage 7",-30,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2030-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Install  three new FF feeders and load transfer",-14.9,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,-14.9,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","2035-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"On-going distribution replacement works & retire EP",-16.8,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-16.8,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Stage date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,0,0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,0,"00:00:00",0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,-30,0,-14.9,0,0,0,0,-16.8,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Cost of Risk"]
[]
[null,"Substation Energy at Risk"]
[null,null,null,"Value of Customer Reliability"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 10% POE",0.3,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 50% POE",0.7,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer outage duration as percentage of year",0.21666666666666667,"%"]
[]
[null,null,"CS substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844498E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.4859082043246936E-44,9.9029042690907602E-43,1.0455166876200682E-41,1.0608433787384473E-40,1.0344932836341392E-39,9.6953745213147787E-39,8.7330640865202447E-38,7.5602946865396415E-37,6.2905114620186242E-36,5.0305302791761836E-35,3.8665877403091808E-34,2.8565004997987961E-33,2.0283339403475933E-32,1.3843633360381907E-31,9.0818297844122823E-31,5.7268638653262652E-30,3.4712720899449671E-29,2.022540927724802E-28,1.132796674793413E-27,6.0990516712398837E-27,2.6277253387968912E-26,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.3198446725861229E-77,9.6630425249518945E-75,1.077086710215073E-72,1.1088971553861253E-70,1.0544939199901697E-68,9.2622800787502332E-67,7.5148795431106985E-65,5.6320457880844504E-63,3.8990665268238555E-61,2.493539567771982E-59,1.4731415143088368E-57,8.0400238679777691E-56,4.053849719325826E-54,1.8883778896265873E-52,8.1270970337828634E-51,3.2316360804415868E-49,1.1873152396434453E-47,4.0307268336445123E-46,1.2644237953596589E-44,3.6653323056971023E-43,8.1734878663351531E-42,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,2.3416906033961747E-9,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844524E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"FF substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,40.465484574120921,41.479409969526166,42.51482434234773,43.396570623972892,44.131797758343623,44.867024892714397,45.602252027085107,46.337479161455811,47.072706295826521,47.807933430197323,48.543160564568026,49.278387698938729,50.01361483330944,50.748841967680207,51.484069102050917,52.21929623642162,52.95452337079233,53.68975050516314,54.424977639533843,55.160204773904553,55.895431908275256,56.630659042645966,57.365886177016769,58.101113311387472,58.836340445758175,59.571567580128885,60.306794714499688,61.042021848870398,61.777248983241101,62.512476117611811,63.247703251982614]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,38.321655522962324,39.245729496015187,40.267734319083985,41.105118338658528,41.927665449772185,42.750212560885828,43.572759671999535,44.39530678311317,45.217853894226877,46.040401005340485,46.862948116454085,47.685495227567827,48.508042338681427,49.330589449795134,50.15313656090877,50.975683672022377,51.798230783136077,52.620777894249713,53.443325005363313,54.26587211647702,55.088419227590627,55.910966338704362,56.733513449817963,57.55606056093167,58.378607672045277,59.201154783158913,60.023701894272619,60.846249005386227,61.668796116499962,62.491343227613569,63.313890338727269]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",54,"MVA",null,null,null,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",43.8,"MVA",null,null,null,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",21.9,"MVA",null,null,null,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.54318229197979639,2.5082987424719048,5.7945295438423434,10.453978703013913,17.196327706669763,26.623235427754707,38.694606445332042,54.352606415932932,73.69334567931736,97.370447665961251,126.38940601645527,160.49734151412397,199.99448287412687]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.26587211647701792,2.2539444258416794,5.8711782213041417,11.257577715452038,19.366773240079127,30.7758841272016,45.950515626732965,65.728613175898971,90.657527086497765,121.81734104727894,159.43904947281189,203.82038660713533]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8215143047266414E-28,3.4422417180831456E-27,2.980011314135107E-26,2.4795358259183587E-25,1.9829160904694439E-24,1.524142706616043E-23,1.1260054523880327E-22,7.9956820774320537E-22,5.4572985052044317E-21,3.5802596093305229E-20,2.2577397401388025E-19,1.368561259307672E-18,7.9743380792676549E-18,4.4665761433880771E-17,2.4049988969531005E-16,1.2448761956229407E-15,6.1947033488801737E-15,2.9635398912068788E-14,1.3630469132782308E-13,6.0274769228082021E-13,2.5627204465419832E-12,1.0476721625751693E-11,4.1183870436471245E-11,1.5567801442622482E-10,5.6591141987211445E-10,1.9784062466358569E-9,6.6520498346158145E-9,2.1512868875906874E-8,6.6923211645495176E-8,2.0027510385811215E-7,5.7661880566666124E-7,1.597373247834805E-6,4.2582252502502399E-6,1.092470170428465E-5,2.6977963843464096E-5,6.4134758498484771E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.41484128634923628,2.5335185597642491,6.1431407111590053,11.940121230581799,20.820399593550739,33.004143841428636,49.597497853506489,71.07479488325292,98.533016000473339,132.41584703050449,172.9501017163557,220.97953789326587,277.11755455081055,341.99585370754113,417.68125133481561,506.54730902483732,609.37004080944064,729.20906059740469,869.10383404872209,1032.4731152756999,1224.9526386566881,1450.2456271532765,1715.0309446270521,2025.6346954848298,2384.054062884009,2790.6826746511806,3242.637346527521]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.97091126168070618,4.110123957986775,9.3125470596210445,17.954129337528627,30.681593051041862,48.706072788404683,72.781638643894638,104.44523828320324,144.16471868282861,192.42469778301606,250.70338892125258,319.15046052068925,400.30074507500672,497.22198448280591,611.69587740409418,747.49483269065763,908.80034941401709,1101.3894131930056,1332.3185460930301,1607.90129258771,1938.4796164288687,2328.2536368339606,2778.3317181354487,3285.4139772895483]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.6247758916889234E-23,1.7811158510770847E-21,2.6178750032241681E-20,3.5273442058467545E-19,4.2295601006472027E-18,4.0988466549120334E-17,3.5464693000986477E-16,2.7519003251760654E-15,1.9579900765001481E-14,1.282792676670527E-13,7.820005182132448E-13,3.7023332031120274E-12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.6513657619488848E-56,2.9626115978223449E-54,2.2204283252143959E-52,1.5372771942875294E-50,9.831784619616902E-49,5.8088387915785144E-47,3.1705593489299709E-45,1.5987687805790716E-43,7.4482310872050354E-42,3.2059283346852582E-40,1.2749824186035043E-38,4.6851338239047192E-37,1.5908388977953145E-35,4.9915702334434692E-34,1.4473610952382817E-32,3.8785463256464107E-31,9.6059209198516085E-30,2.1989463271556235E-28,4.6529228546427007E-27,9.1013388366358141E-26,1.6458431054558871E-24,2.7517821566615167E-23,4.2542646980332831E-22,6.0822774946030172E-21,8.0424835634953949E-20,9.8367677750547164E-19,1.1130500868732669E-17,1.1653200743931739E-16,1.1290660653445545E-15,1.0125594770647312E-14,8.4070050981639015E-14,6.4637468211820237E-13,4.6032405976201824E-12,3.0374286532789999E-11,1.8576012560696409E-10,1.0533181389987103E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,108.88104601849403,170.97877736141183,540.80414267368462,1496.220694271683,2709.1544337419264,11071.405559426896,12531.667152216523,14097.338203356478,15493.204641003787,16703.282320736715,17955.229533658458,19252.998629201371,20602.468055126064,22002.075387518085,23448.620833166111,24938.003129716632,26467.613516360492,28034.577872510956,29632.771664132018,31257.158239782264,32905.250184416203,34573.611910773965,36258.130716781008,37959.041454055921,39674.733558199754,41403.420215906852,43142.73141491806,44891.221727779397,46648.071465983929,48412.216255454834,50181.631691312388,51955.224989525486,53731.801127041428,55511.332108469738,57293.328897544139,59077.476557135982]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,31.46011362930744,61.501636829248831,235.93652437368576,683.04366319721066,1374.1473796547593,8210.3471884705104,9407.0701566009047,10794.715700803972,11984.398464060881,13200.267851188548,14464.140811805071,15779.49934267553,17147.195313173735,18568.375748241629,20050.958658356569,21597.781988524312,23204.668650601889,24865.931852602484,26577.671615378946,28335.576623566729,30131.343462736473,31958.592713546255,33814.056379096786,35691.799538886975,37589.488972778046,39506.621044817533,41440.06491045982,43386.826865945346,45344.899147821197,47313.110926109177,49289.668795942693,51271.880459665532,53258.50682894644,55248.639427663169,57242.080971864823,59238.189847257941]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,5.4677118017683318E-45,3.4042089328520156E-43,1.9557201397781406E-41,1.0078713442116653E-39,4.7421724581691863E-38,2.0527214842219838E-36,8.1801437406657163E-35,3.002501602034536E-33,1.01538945220196E-31,3.1653350035722836E-30,9.0980318752066035E-29,2.4111933897812082E-27,5.8923070605363E-26,1.327822158115621E-24,2.7595627969860368E-23,4.4030425940939214E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,4.635345036248985E-12,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,5.4677118017683318E-45,3.4042089328520156E-43,1.9557201397781406E-41,1.0078713442116653E-39,4.6247758916889281E-23,1.7811158510770866E-21,2.6178750032241763E-20,3.5273442058467844E-19,4.2295601006473044E-18,4.0988466549123502E-17,3.5464693000995573E-16,2.7519003251784766E-15,1.9579900765060403E-14,1.2827926766838051E-13,7.8200051824084044E-13,3.7023332035523314E-12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP A substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,{"$error":"#REF!"},"00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP B substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",63,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",64,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,63,64,65,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,64,65,66,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.7764821120776537E-33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,14.212884136842014,11.506348766659979,5.9649032261612502,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,13.759695754084692,11.165800958991586,5.7872096914855788,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",28.5,"MVA",null,null,null,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",27,"MVA",null,null,null,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",13.5,"MVA",null,null,null,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.941897996426319,0.9663880279410012,0.98174359225116592,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.5529642241553074E-33]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.57199348724021082,0.6631013195441452,0.7445314835956689,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.1558886945318816E-66]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,1.6714885620776554,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,0.34735511939185687,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.75777303862626966,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,5.7540842709643946E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,1.7247297603550922,1.7196597827035744,1.4076927622014819,1.140418442435946,0.59115951657585486,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0.80685798718050417,0.86937950479920756,0.91765389613304083,0.95203596156170156,0.97443338165807858,0.98765617431630481,0.99466100333789087,0.99795549624962132,0.99931548892707289,0.99980228731356235,0.99995142766230838,0.9999900019560547,0.99999830290318015,0.99999976640089705,0.99999997438347166,0.99999999780335236,0.99999999985556121,0.9999999999928656,0.99999999999974087,0.99999999999999323,0.99999999999999989,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0.2870752713221133,2.0741013762469369,1.9725823463981329,1.8076799615751153,1.0334605182351539,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.34371355929130887,null,1.3752340872685839E-2,9.9359826429109524E-2,9.4496557304202561E-2,8.6596908559255906E-2,4.9507926126055056E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",6.9230769230769233E-3,"%",null,null,null,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,1.6714885620776554,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,0.34735511939185687,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,3.7224196079046631E-2,null,5.3854424369775538E-3,3.1591808659842742E-2,2.469449822263329E-4,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EPN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",9,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2015-11-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2025-10-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,32.116658635243638,35.965259349132552,42.471109188422304,43.159632222728888,43.777847824460224,44.382101684931797,44.970652716398327,45.506355749870572,46.042058783342803,46.577761816815098,47.113464850287286,47.649167883759581,48.184870917231777,48.720573950704072,49.256276984176267,49.791980017648562,50.327683051120687,50.863386084592989,51.399089118065177,51.934792151537465,52.470495185009661,53.006198218481956,53.541901251954151,54.077604285426446,54.613307318898642,55.149010352370937,55.684713385843231,56.220416419315427,56.756119452787615,57.29182248625991,57.827525519732106,58.363228553204401,58.898931586676596,59.434634620148884]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,30.788570449310914,34.548585674246475,40.868734408687118,41.522165581800287,42.112435174837792,42.721713688367785,43.300030342350937,43.862591650681367,44.425152959011768,44.98771426734217,45.550275575672728,46.11283688400313,46.675398192333517,47.237959500663919,47.800520808994378,48.363082117324772,48.925643425655167,49.488204733985732,50.050766042316127,50.613327350646522,51.175888658976987,51.738449967307382,52.301011275637777,52.863572583968178,53.426133892298736,53.988695200629124,54.551256508959526,55.11381781728992,55.676379125620386,56.238940433950781,56.801501742281282,57.36406305061174,57.926624358942135,58.489185667272537]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",null,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.9167883759581081E-2,0.58487091723177498,1.6319984150062046,2.8454790881205119,4.6338593734315392,6.7321938855174324,9.09189843565591,12.595497264468102,16.691930321474022,22.431472532689384,29.158455853103465,37.503027458468637,48.065850080093178,60.11161405388377,74.516824548203914,91.200505392452882,109.73382257883392,131.34351805658326,156.58828436655998,185.78026416094104,218.2771077139798,254.71926693169721,295.32269385895609]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.20052080899437721,0.92148444039277566,2.0395733974668486,3.5312643383065905,5.6475173385281909,7.85660690763192,11.093880892186304,15.052878129695564,20.513995246906745,27.239621767461767,35.501221866936724,46.186862315760564,58.637173836424587,73.501133298901678,90.930383196473556,110.42869329453767,133.31353155737554,160.32690565078511,191.61069129979265,226.50936489599687]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.0661624145081949E-4,8.4054723869964546E-3,2.3454265221261671E-2,4.7617967263336884E-2,9.7496108467182513E-2,0.16514575894966835,0.24907987105663298,0.30832515142081057,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,25.523382939852869,38.127495682462595,52.569327007234236,70.470895886989268,90.983831787833537,113.6996275287725,141.31916213857016,173.32075897968289,210.08686041847184,252.09438860120835,299.10377761935371,351.33924941426261,408.96483408570128,472.97964400050739,543.74235391941147,621.28047322089571,705.23255456289348,797.18752832511586,900.03635244202314,1013.3056280222296,1137.264224574031,1275.4161237534604,1428.0555678971382,1597.9126283603584,1783.6554722546957,1986.3322580923145,2207.6285601912136,2447.3716655734784,2707.2716003491869,2989.7367831893503,3291.3732744370759,3611.9856824075114]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,8.9508713074528643,13.959220819651502,20.614787166486199,29.555520449861959,41.133315815232777,54.876234147920982,71.86623325146401,91.638278582479103,115.75665692263306,145.32985754856469,179.65247546255659,219.37028239320097,264.86582774717823,315.90776602852941,372.63775374743733,435.88369803875668,506.34480134318721,584.32325818273182,669.5262411572038,762.23842820734694,866.39994692988967,982.2839938922931,1109.3809881256389,1251.4912205643921,1409.5880092062678,1586.2237213058945,1780.6513259988265,1993.668256014801,2227.1952071077194,2481.1490131245532,2757.97003016594,3058.9075600115716]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,5.5221395369684576E-29,7.5774469931797187E-28,9.3407953802122995E-27,1.0764574586868694E-25,1.1542743166681195E-24,1.1471674283877763E-23,1.083292158886956E-22,9.6372749490198575E-22,8.158348574294369E-21,6.5894442407044554E-20,5.0484882179013115E-19,3.6774319148445684E-18,2.5492027750538893E-17,1.682346100947832E-16,1.0578356999567829E-15,6.3472605484042658E-15,3.0274721023093571E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,57253.912346789381,60654.833138554583,70239.045309229667,78655.92463002351,92884.200579485492,94389.998587689202,95742.034431580803,97063.5359852127,98350.695494409185,99522.276575358192,100693.85765630715,101865.43873725626,103037.01981820514,104208.60089915425,105380.18198010315,106551.76306105226,107723.34414200115,108894.92522295026,110066.50630389899,111238.08738484811,112409.66846579699,113581.2495467461,114752.83062769499,115924.4117086441,117095.99278959299,118267.5738705421,119439.15495149099,120610.73603244009,121782.3171133892,122953.89819433809,124125.47927528697,125297.06035623609,126468.64143718498,127640.22251813409,128811.80359908298,129983.38468003208]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,54659.519493299267,58004.580516980619,67334.520049431463,75557.663146198975,89379.811283125775,90808.863486096656,92099.781484786756,93432.271941026556,94697.0488944307,95927.368949633441,97157.689004836124,98388.009060038807,99618.329115241824,100848.64917044451,102078.96922564716,103309.28928084984,104539.60933605264,105769.92939125531,107000.24944645798,108230.56950166101,109460.88955686368,110691.20961206635,111921.52966726916,113151.84972247183,114382.1697776745,115612.48983287718,116842.8098880802,118073.12994328285,119303.44999848554,120533.7700536882,121764.09010889102,122994.41016409369,124224.73021929659,125455.05027449939,126685.37032970205,127915.69038490474]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.6123656545080461E-62,2.590878946014306E-59,3.0941027934801882E-57,3.2995459301946017E-55,3.4265535612162627E-53,2.8247487263122664E-51,2.1471807631825785E-49,1.5076954069678391E-47,9.7717501309149488E-46,5.8460701407190162E-44,3.2305203221357399E-42,1.6489677369326592E-40,7.7749604422804469E-39,3.3864637817462755E-37,1.3626163040346058E-35,5.0652069233252889E-34,1.7395455194998866E-32,5.5196174626119865E-31,1.6182196385914895E-29,4.3837243858202668E-28,9.1346286606952211E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.90023121100737813,null,3.6123656545080461E-62,2.590878946014306E-59,3.0941027934801882E-57,3.2995459301946017E-55,5.5221395369684576E-29,7.5774469931797187E-28,9.3407953802122995E-27,1.0764574586868694E-25,1.1542743166681195E-24,1.1471674283877763E-23,1.083292158886956E-22,9.6372749490198575E-22,8.158348574294369E-21,7.066162414508196E-4,8.4054723869964546E-3,2.3454265221261674E-2,4.7617967263336912E-2,9.7496108467182679E-2,0.1651457589496694,0.24907987105663934,0.30832515142084083,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"P substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",1E-8,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",0,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",9.9999999999999995E-8,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"TTS-NH 66kV line load at risk"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"PTN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2019-11-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 commissioning date","2019-11-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,30.152704720644092,36.034090762308722,36.174258984318669,36.544659744477819,36.901051398768395,37.475468847093467,38.14977771428137,38.833589054845255,39.494098813187982,40.016008272073606,40.537917730959201,41.059827189844903,41.581736648730498,42.1036461076161,42.625555566501703,43.147465025387397,43.669374484273,44.191283943158602,44.713193402044197,45.2351028609298,45.757012319815502,46.278921778701097,46.800831237586699,47.322740696472302,47.844650155358003,48.366559614243599,48.888469073129201,49.410378532014803,49.932287990900498,50.454197449786101,50.976106908671703,51.498016367557298,52.019925826443,52.541835285328602,53.063744744214198,53.5856542030998]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,28.200713914591365,33.77725524805318,33.900645330265725,34.328749004939667,34.656624710771972,35.179009450383312,35.780685672466731,36.462016725540821,37.085374123585687,37.690015785723844,38.294657447862001,38.8992991100002,39.5039407721383,40.108582434276499,40.713224096414599,41.317865758552799,41.922507420690899,42.527149082829098,43.131790744967297,43.736432407105397,44.341074069243597,44.945715731381704,45.550357393519903,46.154999055658003,46.759640717796202,47.364282379934401,47.968924042072501,48.573565704210701,49.178207366348801,49.782849028487,50.3874906906251,50.992132352763299,51.596774014901499,52.201415677039599,52.806057339177798,53.410699001315898]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6,6]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating (2 Tx)",47.6,"MVA",null,null,null,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6,47.6]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating (2 Tx)",38,"MVA",null,null,null,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38,38]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19128394315860381,0.86734128003926048,1.9046348050852062,3.2985322683135188,5.2733038321033741,7.3372285685698175,10.371218864707235,14.061265443289331,19.201087085342898,25.481033897427153,33.231734452340746,43.259520373083703,54.883591246963299,68.82402889123216,85.105223238975412,103.37977683600847,124.83600138743145,150.19142786277376,179.48861690645245]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.34107406924359474,1.3294787304035529,2.6874760214942066,4.7879018269894358,7.1562671111773977,10.650697107152066,15.07021850113976,21.569929475967562,29.570299740133375,40.157346553513655,53.298517199100729,69.288300534230004,88.328534597426739,110.42839398825345,137.11221425871716,169.23548822714548]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.6593371653538309E-20,6.4922502389524885E-19,7.3789295185641161E-18,6.5699748776394998E-17,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-2 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,39735.883425813205,52598.45874391398,52905.006265201489,53715.071722846638,54494.499303961107,55750.748705168793,57225.460368444146,58720.953915214457,60165.486964879601,61306.901535626857,62448.316106374055,63589.730677121486,64731.145247868684,65872.55981861589,67013.974389363109,68155.388960110518,69296.803530857738,70438.218101604944,71579.632672352149,72721.047243099354,73862.461813846778,75003.876384593968,76145.290955341203,77286.705526088408,78428.120096835832,79569.534667583037,80710.949238330242,81852.363809077448,82993.778379824886,84135.192950572091,85276.607521319296,86418.022092066487,87559.436662813925,88700.85123356113,89842.265804308336,90983.680375055541]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,35466.884828335133,47662.765596578858,47932.619371645167,48868.880946797741,49585.944225992018,50728.398234397071,52044.262499866694,53534.331664625337,54897.612603105968,56219.962277930659,57542.31195275535,58864.661627580128,60187.011302404695,61509.360977229473,62831.710652054033,64154.060326878811,65476.410001703371,66798.759676528163,68121.109351352934,69443.459026177501,70765.808701002286,72088.158375826853,73410.508050651639,74732.85772547622,76055.207400300991,77377.557075125776,78699.906749950329,80022.256424775114,81344.606099599681,82666.955774424467,83989.305449249034,85311.655124073804,86634.00479889859,87956.354473723157,89278.704148547928,90601.053823372495]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,2.3944965775552118E-62,2.1654002580171497E-59,2.2420937853095928E-57,2.1708509757615839E-55,1.9346736634683429E-53,1.6058543376706839E-51,1.2349275149635956E-49,8.7873433139400478E-48,5.7612543254801062E-46,3.4800731542545174E-44,1.9410418110221647E-42,9.9971976444027594E-41,4.7548892460414974E-39,2.0885430614494179E-37,8.4724677055685798E-36,3.1744093712434723E-34,1.0985659703510423E-32,3.5117529529463474E-31,1.0370068650609034E-29,2.8289508510758123E-28,5.9350429276423404E-27,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,7.3754496696736572E-17,null,2.3944965775552118E-62,2.1654002580171497E-59,2.2420937853095928E-57,2.1708509757615839E-55,1.9346736634683429E-53,1.6058543376706839E-51,1.2349275149635956E-49,8.7873433139400478E-48,5.7612543254801062E-46,3.4800731542545174E-44,1.9410418110221647E-42,9.9971976444027594E-41,4.7548892460414974E-39,2.0885430614494179E-37,8.4724677055685798E-36,3.1744093712434723E-34,1.0985659703510423E-32,2.6593371653889484E-20,6.4922502390561892E-19,7.3789295188470105E-18,6.5699748782330043E-17,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Financial evaluation"]
[]
[null,null,"Financial sumary",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.419252462069206,2.0978517205822751,1.8076799640195496,1.0334605206795882,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.444434097049987E-9,2.4444340970500089E-9,2.4444340970511897E-9,2.4444340970894265E-9,2.4444340976165738E-9,2.4444341045834943E-9,1.4750367572308512E-2,0.17546127761396743,0.48959952694630299,0.99400829517670963,2.0351969227492508,3.4473595463291575,5.1994545699722776,6.4361789275027617,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total value of risk",null,null,null,-1.4211396042270368,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-8.6596908676356527E-2,-4.950792624315567E-2,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917963E-10,-1.1710061541918069E-10,-1.1710061541923725E-10,-1.1710061542106899E-10,-1.1710061544632199E-10,-1.171006157800723E-10,-7.0661635855143927E-4,-8.4054725040971102E-3,-2.3454265338362645E-2,-4.7617967380440281E-2,-9.7496108584302868E-2,-0.1651457590668983,-0.24907987117452196,-0.30832515152201984,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total Capex",null,null,null,-47.487908284730835,null,0,0,0,-30,0,-14.9,0,0,0,0,-16.8,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Benefit",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.10049758667449391,-30.086596908676356,-4.950792624315567E-2,-14.900000000117101,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917963E-10,-1.1710061541918069E-10,-1.1710061541923725E-10,-16.800000000117102,-1.1710061544632199E-10,-1.171006157800723E-10,-7.0661635855143927E-4,-8.4054725040971102E-3,-2.3454265338362645E-2,-4.7617967380440281E-2,-9.7496108584302868E-2,-0.1651457590668983,-0.24907987117452196,-0.30832515152201984,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Cumulative cost",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.90210837289032397,-1.0026059595648178,-31.089202868241173,-31.138710794484329,-46.038710794601428,-46.038710794718526,-46.038710794835623,-46.038710794952721,-46.038710795069818,-62.83871079518692,-62.838710795304017,-62.838710795421115,-62.839417411779664,-62.847822884283758,-62.871277149622124,-62.918895117002563,-63.016391225586865,-63.181536984653761,-63.430616855828283,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303,-63.738942007350303]
[null,null,null,null,"discount rate",5.1799999999999999E-2,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"NPV",-48.909047888957879,0]
[null,null,null,null,"IRR","N/A"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"End"]

{"sheet":"Option 5","index":14,"n_rows":442,"n_cols":46,"rows_kept":442,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"Option 5",null,null,"Stop Preston Conversion Programme at end of P Stage 6, and undertake like for like replacement of remaining network"]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year start",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-01-01","2026-01-01","2027-01-01","2028-01-01","2029-01-01","2030-01-01","2031-01-01","2032-01-01","2033-01-01","2034-01-01","2035-01-01","2036-01-01","2037-01-01","2038-01-01","2039-01-01","2040-01-01","2041-01-01","2042-01-01","2043-01-01","2044-01-01","2045-01-01","2046-01-01","2047-01-01","2048-01-01","2049-01-01","2050-01-01","2051-01-01","2052-01-01","2053-01-01","2054-01-01","2055-01-01","2056-01-01","2057-01-01","2058-01-01","2059-01-01","2060-01-01"]
[null,null,null,null,"Financial year end",null,null,null,null,null,"2025-12-31","2026-12-31","2027-12-31","2028-12-31","2029-12-31","2030-12-31","2031-12-31","2032-12-31","2033-12-31","2034-12-31","2035-12-31","2036-12-31","2037-12-31","2038-12-31","2039-12-31","2040-12-31","2041-12-31","2042-12-31","2043-12-31","2044-12-31","2045-12-31","2046-12-31","2047-12-31","2048-12-31","2049-12-31","2050-12-31","2051-12-31","2052-12-31","2053-12-31","2054-12-31","2055-12-31","2056-12-31","2057-12-31","2058-12-31","2059-12-31","2060-12-31"]
[null,null,null,null,"Valuation period flag",null,null,null,null,null,0.16483516483516483,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.83241758241758246,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Period number",null,null,null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Description","Constant","Unit","Comment","Total"]
[]
[null,"Capex"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement works and feeder augmentation",0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement work",0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"rebuilt EP",0,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2028-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"New zone substation and retire EP ZSS",-49,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,-49,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2029-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement works and feeder augmentation",-8.1999999999999993,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,-8.1999999999999993,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2030-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement work",-4.8,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,-4.8,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Replacement date","2031-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder augmentation",-6.7,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,-6.7,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Ongoing Distribution replacement works start","2032-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Ongoing Distribution replacement works end","2035-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Distribution replacement works cost",-3.7,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0,0,0,-49,-8.1999999999999993,-4.8,-6.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Cost of Risk"]
[]
[null,"Substation Energy at Risk"]
[null,null,null,"Value of Customer Reliability"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 10% POE",0.3,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Weighting for 50% POE",0.7,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer outage duration as percentage of year",0.21666666666666667,"%"]
[]
[null,null,"CS substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",0,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.7764821120776537E-33,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844498E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.5529642241553074E-33,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.4859082043246936E-44,9.9029042690907602E-43,1.0455166876200682E-41,1.0608433787384473E-40,1.0344932836341392E-39,9.6953745213147787E-39,8.7330640865202447E-38,7.5602946865396415E-37,6.2905114620186242E-36,5.0305302791761836E-35,3.8665877403091808E-34,2.8565004997987961E-33,2.0283339403475933E-32,1.3843633360381907E-31,9.0818297844122823E-31,5.7268638653262652E-30,3.4712720899449671E-29,2.022540927724802E-28,1.132796674793413E-27,6.0990516712398837E-27,2.6277253387968912E-26,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.1558886945318816E-66,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,1.3198446725861229E-77,9.6630425249518945E-75,1.077086710215073E-72,1.1088971553861253E-70,1.0544939199901697E-68,9.2622800787502332E-67,7.5148795431106985E-65,5.6320457880844504E-63,3.8990665268238555E-61,2.493539567771982E-59,1.4731415143088368E-57,8.0400238679777691E-56,4.053849719325826E-54,1.8883778896265873E-52,8.1270970337828634E-51,3.2316360804415868E-49,1.1873152396434453E-47,4.0307268336445123E-46,1.2644237953596589E-44,3.6653323056971023E-43,8.1734878663351531E-42,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,2.3416906033961747E-9,null,1.9302299244919704E-11,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,1.1710061541917953E-10,9.7476611186844524E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"FF substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age",1,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 replacement date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 3 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.087098733642339,26.844676002137156,29.150456041650607,31.424735159296493,33.089449261240667,34.431839598801567,35.361646174951687,36.312189143264298,37.113543522480413,37.791078796509638,38.468614070538898,39.146149344568101,39.823684618597298,40.501219892626501,41.178755166655797,41.856290440685001,42.533825714714197,43.211360988743401,43.888896262772697,44.5664315368019,45.243966810831097,45.9215020848603,46.599037358889603,47.2765726329188,47.954107906948003,48.6316431809772,49.309178455006403,49.986713729035699,50.664249003064903,51.341784277094099,52.019319551123303,52.696854825152599,53.374390099181802,54.051925373210999,54.729460647240202,55.406995921269498]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.510552494663457,25.279148736259319,27.443984556070159,29.65508490352504,31.219831359246353,32.470595172704762,33.318282960034324,34.251459194726955,35.010343264904428,35.758174191864171,36.5060051188239,37.2538360457837,38.001666972743401,38.749497899703201,39.497328826662901,40.245159753622602,40.992990680582402,41.740821607542102,42.488652534501902,43.236483461461603,43.984314388421303,44.732145315381104,45.479976242340797,46.227807169300497,46.975638096260298,47.723469023219998,48.471299950179798,49.219130877139499,49.966961804099299,50.714792731058999,51.4626236580187,52.2104545849785,52.9582855119382,53.706116438898,54.453947365857701,55.201778292817501]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",54,"MVA",null,null,null,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54,54]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",43.8,"MVA",null,null,null,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8,43.8]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",21.9,"MVA",null,null,null,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9,21.9]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.1925373211001713E-2,1.1836584467782592,3.485922266105518]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.60095845325166275,2.6729855656561394]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,8.889626277270106E-2,1.4811440143423862,4.2389681104337384,8.3835926501317495,14.719279937053759,23.813668653494819,35.915288711443218,51.875912001384066,72.077073529731777,97.419864638650907,128.17414886459974,164.58017867527343,207.0339895652366,256.61052348031444,312.96438635100003,377.85340547682551,452.63093765242974,539.52664430840923]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18431438842130662,1.9992147605125037,5.4220089222612966,10.880480209223416,19.471847469834408,31.398165702641339,47.773420718569767,69.145909245724638,96.602541977177552,130.69341290084392,171.67391118827538,220.34794634561794,277.42352424488558,343.56874517042451,420.90577319477796,512.00326591788769]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.7730147954147183E-17,2.7798863769875372E-15,3.1014430506158258E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
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[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,108.88104601849403,170.97877736141183,540.80414267368462,1496.220694271683,2709.1544337419264,3896.5204749386462,4809.5689462970395,5822.4655864091201,6735.0992166496153,7548.6664808989553,8396.9310885295472,9275.4412959656838,10183.282745043349,11121.697646612733,12091.238372946165,13092.929950652257,14126.788263552047,15194.85530619356,16298.862888425483,17438.191272633892,18614.445551648732,19832.582735058892,21094.616523684126,22398.767562559802,23741.532778064837,25120.031720274612,26532.505485175512,27976.6639222591,29447.465387931479,30940.906746238656,32454.830432189745,33986.889471122697,35533.712897433099,37093.788052069031,38667.939224452391,40253.599589525991]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,31.46011362930744,61.501636829248831,235.93652437368576,683.04366319721066,1374.1473796547593,2218.3097658776041,2900.0905907997253,3727.8153195971977,4455.9683181235387,5222.3696146233342,6038.2359687275193,6900.5995398896321,7808.9266878195358,8757.4881168852589,9742.3365968188245,10763.304618713068,11822.418546459909,12919.958640197559,14056.812498349951,15235.161458982791,16457.147550946378,17722.277392881737,19033.717995421764,20397.90379866595,21814.496522873134,23280.19920301333,24790.632369067018,26342.92893308993,27934.163815611228,29558.139399957083,31209.439943820624,32885.302775912562,34582.193133409201,36295.809199651703,38026.403398334136,39772.143057977206]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,1.6410211127555646E-45,1.1428924813663816E-43,7.228820702976241E-42,3.973420246648601E-40,1.9700055022235506E-38,8.927163086217535E-37,3.7021477471938278E-35,1.4070243524772684E-33,4.9046846088060503E-32,1.5694292130511215E-30,4.6143402661375972E-29,1.2476670764342564E-27,3.1045881805928733E-26,7.1135218353486783E-25,1.5016475337448739E-23,2.4322536693280786E-22,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,3.3832047290085476E-14,null,3.416311273031574E-57,2.901118954394096E-54,7.5454326784689777E-52,1.4791198075053477E-49,1.8109976741983271E-47,1.6410211127555646E-45,1.1428924813663816E-43,7.228820702976241E-42,3.973420246648601E-40,1.9700055022235506E-38,8.927163086217535E-37,3.7021477471938278E-35,1.4070243524772684E-33,4.9046846088060503E-32,1.5694292130511215E-30,4.6143402661375972E-29,1.2476670764342564E-27,3.1045881805928733E-26,3.7730148665499367E-17,2.7798863920040125E-15,3.1014430749383626E-14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP A substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
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[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",56,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2021-03-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","2028-07-01","years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",0,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EP B substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",63,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",64,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomission date","2028-12-01","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,63,64,65,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,64,65,66,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.72574688224992645,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0.78814460141660336,0.84134474606854304,0.88493032977829178,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,17.424151913017674,17.361483151676129,17.332785532734164,17.433861767666635,15.466168725264829,14.188380743603963,12.928336481604306,11.621332193984635,9.9213321939846359,8.2213321939846367,6.5213321939846374,4.8213321939846381,3.1213321939846388,1.4213321939846395,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,16.834637548128509,16.811865402874854,16.780116773274017,16.917880240896341,15.138325437648707,13.838174223194867,12.553502011264866,11.238836716633269,9.5388367166332699,7.8388367166332706,6.1388367166332714,4.4388367166332721,2.7388367166332728,1.0388367166332735,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",28.5,"MVA",null,null,null,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5,28.5]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",27,"MVA",null,null,null,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27,27]
[null,null,null,null,"N-2 Rating",13.5,"MVA",null,null,null,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5,13.5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.941897996426319,0.9663880279410012,0.98174359225116592,3.9031145863390685E-32,4.120782472317561E-31,4.181190843477097E-30,4.077335007089728E-29,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0.57199348724021082,0.6631013195441452,0.7445314835956689,3.8085758685231994E-64,4.245212046039908E-62,4.3705892173941795E-60,4.1561651900098482E-58,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,127.28920968371337,138.03918174212566,16.504327516670781,1.5755094234840892,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,77.797951989777147,88.724747824877682,9.8435351550850037,0.50333084751397572,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,4.0921915385876768E-64,5.2178196140036693E-63,3.7424730657215592E-62,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,1.4679637607623026,null,9.6406300365932895E-2,0.65561265398937241,0.71594480640699742,4.0921915385876768E-64,5.2178196140036693E-63,3.7424730657215592E-62,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,1.7247297603550922,1.7196597827035744,1.7166984904896119,1.7279067309635543,1.5367815738979993,1.4083318787481232,1.2815886140502475,1.1506583550779226,0.98065835507792265,0.81065835507792272,0.64065835507792268,0.47065835507792286,0.30065835507792288,0.13065835507792295,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",4.3,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",58,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date","2029-07-01","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",10,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,58,59,60,61,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0.46605026374475406,0.55666682904151354,0.64674810147543749,0.7315857034345925,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0.2870752713221133,2.0741013762469369,2.4055882273147962,2.7389090326895684,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0.35955930854230445,null,1.3752340872685839E-2,9.9359826429109524E-2,0.11523970402951532,0.13120743721099379,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",6.9230769230769233E-3,"%",null,null,null,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,6.9230769230769233E-3,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,136.96980872406007,130.28118289149504,127.28920968371337,138.03918174212566,16.504327516670781,1.5755094234840892,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,82.03085438032123,80.245880416331516,77.797951989777147,88.724747824877682,9.8435351550850037,0.50333084751397572,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0.10203517677720533,null,5.3854424369775538E-3,3.1591808659842742E-2,3.0725823461667773E-2,3.4332102218717277E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"EPN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",9,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 commissioning date date","2015-11-01","date"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,26.179233363417737,27.734297382778387,28.996757239351485,30.037746348125896,30.892179396462229,31.447262564756024,31.902188693815646,32.341692180828673,32.774188342912929,33.19790129454578,33.621614246178602,34.045327197811503,34.469040149444297,34.892753101077197,35.316466052709998,35.740179004342899,36.1638919559757,36.587604907608601,37.011317859241402,37.435030810874302,37.858743762507103,38.282456714139997,38.706169665772798,39.129882617405698,39.553595569038499,39.9773085206714,40.401021472304201,40.824734423937102,41.248447375570002,41.672160327202803,42.095873278835597,42.519586230468498,42.943299182101299,43.3670121337342,43.790725085367001,44.214438036999901]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,24.992952580778617,26.522474836365362,27.768149430121589,28.796506392341719,29.634739125215113,30.164224901888545,30.606215428521995,31.043061976380621,31.468996375651798,31.886520385330513,32.3040443950092,32.721568404687901,33.139092414366701,33.556616424045401,33.974140433724102,34.391664443402803,34.809188453081497,35.226712462760197,35.644236472438898,36.061760482117698,36.479284491796399,36.8968085014751,37.3143325111538,37.731856520832501,38.149380530511202,38.566904540189903,38.984428549868703,39.401952559547397,39.819476569226097,40.237000578904798,40.654524588583499,41.072048598262199,41.489572607941,41.9070966176197,42.324620627298401,42.742144636977102]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",1,"hrs",null,null,null,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",33,"MVA",null,null,null,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33,33]
[null,null,null,null,"N-1 Rating",0,"MVA",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,52885.912346789373,56286.833138554583,59047.829420079761,61324.469776974904,63193.112535781111,64407.077919010422,65402.00012914055,66363.193062953302,67309.060996156288,68235.720071929143,69162.379147701955,70089.038223474927,71015.697299247637,71942.356375020609,72869.015450793377,73795.674526566319,74722.333602339073,75648.992678112045,76575.651753884798,77502.31082965777,78428.969905430509,79355.628981203467,80282.288056976206,81208.947132749177,82135.606208521931,83062.265284294888,83988.924360067642,84915.583435840614,85842.242511613586,86768.901587386325,87695.560663159064,88622.219738932021,89548.878814704774,90475.537890477746,91402.1969662505,92328.856042023472]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,50291.519493299267,53636.580516980619,56360.867474260354,58609.881360909756,60443.094073746724,61601.078030942888,62567.710113658672,63523.092328748484,64454.609704480026,65367.733580988534,66280.857457496997,67193.981334005497,68107.105210514186,69020.229087022672,69933.352963531172,70846.476840039657,71759.600716548128,72672.724593056628,73585.848469565113,74498.972346073817,75412.096222582317,76325.220099090802,77238.343975599288,78151.467852107788,79064.591728616258,79977.715605124758,80890.839481633462,81803.963358141933,82717.087234650418,83630.211111158904,84543.334987667404,85456.458864175889,86369.582740684607,87282.706617193078,88195.830493701564,89108.954370210064]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9515572931695342E-32,2.0603912361587805E-31,2.0905954217385485E-30,2.038667503544864E-29,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1979012945457794,0.82286010608190963,1.6683471434518726,3.0143120812041593,4.6739844259107173,6.6162717087376599,9.4494893580970025,13.216567036579619,18.10125249917964,24.165095945728645,32.144853322840987,41.59267962323932,53.101350005932133,66.532112824515664,81.975609565260868,100.37214849698414,122.3565163117201,147.5046135686386,175.9799930509202,208.23134653861922,244.12789758328407,283.67975521156944,326.95644930699575,374.57663347509646,426.91139059342083,484.06486913398868,546.15923021328479]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13909241436670114,0.69367712444977114,1.5235048741052279,2.7112335017689317,4.3466639257015114,6.1154048143089197,8.8022355471515521,12.154083149944388,16.77757488477544,22.37392213694503,29.656198610367724,38.611588067764465,49.276444545752106,61.994200800773143,76.37941941816635,93.427718404931895,113.78886253743083,137.47143612611077,164.11122335765131,194.31767505366739,228.17970386167127,265.55728291803393,306.59848788335728,351.43570542328325]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,57253.912346789381,60654.833138554583,63415.829420079768,65692.469776974904,67561.112535781111,68775.077919010422,69770.00012914055,70731.193062953302,71677.060996156288,72603.720071929158,73530.379147701955,74457.038223474912,75383.697299247651,76310.356375020623,77237.015450793362,78163.674526566334,79090.333602339088,80016.992678112045,80943.651753884798,81870.31082965777,82796.969905430509,83723.628981203467,84650.28805697622,85576.947132749177,86503.606208521931,87430.265284294903,88356.924360067642,89283.583435840614,90210.242511613586,91136.901587386325,92063.560663159064,92990.219738932035,93916.878814704774,94843.537890477746,95770.1969662505,96696.856042023457]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,54659.519493299267,58004.580516980619,60728.867474260354,62977.881360909756,64811.094073746724,65969.078030942896,66935.710113658672,67891.092328748491,68822.609704480026,69735.733580988541,70648.857457496997,71561.981334005482,72475.105210514201,73388.229087022686,74301.352963531172,75214.476840039657,76127.600716548128,77040.724593056628,77953.848469565113,78866.972346073817,79780.096222582302,80693.220099090802,81606.343975599288,82519.467852107773,83432.591728616258,84345.715605124758,85258.839481633462,86171.963358141933,87085.087234650418,87998.211111158918,88911.334987667404,89824.458864175889,90737.582740684593,91650.706617193078,92563.830493701578,93476.954370210064]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,null,"PTN substation risk"]
[null,null,null,"Transformer data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomissioning date","00:00:00","date"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]
[]
[null,null,null,"Probabilities"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 1 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 failure risk profile",null,"%",null,null,null,1.9106595744986622E-28,1.7210178394797648E-27,1.4899011272964667E-26,1.2396659795840022E-25,9.9136251225599711E-25,7.6198530241604755E-24,5.6292823113765155E-23,3.9972212057262349E-22,2.728153571346088E-21,1.7897488120140534E-20,1.1285884059538324E-19,6.840807685935497E-19,3.9858049628481541E-18,2.2323931972880316E-17,1.2019351542735733E-16,6.2209605742717375E-16,3.0953587719586676E-15,1.4806537490048066E-14,6.8092248906200181E-14,3.0106279811174208E-13,1.2798125438858352E-12,5.2309575441445819E-12,2.0557889093995238E-11,7.7688475817097679E-11,2.8231580370432672E-10,9.8658764503769437E-10,3.31574597832616E-9,1.0717590258310892E-8,3.3320448485428455E-8,9.9644263169334635E-8,2.8665157187919333E-7,7.933281519755948E-7,2.1124547025028533E-6,5.4125439077038416E-6,1.3345749015906309E-5,3.1671241833119857E-5]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation demand forecast"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MW",null,null,null,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13,9.9999999999999998E-13]
[]
[null,null,null,"Substation capacity"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",null,"MW",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear replacement date",1,"date",null,null,null,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,"Average feeder outage duration",45931,"hrs",null,null,null,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931,45931]
[null,null,null,null,"N Rating",8,"MVA",null,null,null,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8,8]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.8213191489973244E-28,3.4420356789595296E-27,2.9798022545929333E-26,2.4793319591680044E-25,1.9827250245119942E-24,1.5239706048320951E-23,1.1258564622753031E-22,7.9944424114524698E-22,5.4563071426921759E-21,3.5794976240281069E-20,2.2571768119076647E-19,1.3681615371870994E-18,7.9716099256963082E-18,4.4647863945760633E-17,2.4038703085471466E-16,1.2441921148543471E-15,6.1907175439173257E-15,2.9613074980095911E-14,1.3618449781239572E-13,6.0212559622339348E-13,2.5596250877700325E-12,1.0461915088261801E-11,4.1115778187567852E-11,1.5537695162815986E-10,5.6463160732895117E-10,1.9731752891020337E-9,6.6314919456581484E-9,2.1435180401755043E-8,6.6640895860604623E-8,1.9928851640969009E-7,5.73303061589263E-7,1.5866556745816329E-6,4.2249049425408368E-6,1.0825058519776131E-5,2.6691319922795821E-5,6.3341480598680456E-5]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-2 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-2 event",null,"%",null,null,null,3.6506200096234091E-56,2.9619024038075976E-54,2.2198053691192823E-52,1.5367717409379638E-50,9.8279963070652199E-49,5.8062160109807547E-47,3.1688819341176525E-45,1.5977777367507494E-43,7.4428219088484147E-42,3.2032008101057155E-40,1.2737117900534123E-38,4.6796649795954167E-37,1.5886641201864976E-35,4.9835793872978803E-34,1.4446481150786385E-32,3.8700350466643345E-31,9.5812459271414711E-30,2.1923355244419889E-28,4.63655436110392E-27,9.0638808406871574E-26,1.6379201474875327E-24,2.7362916828643114E-23,4.2262680400100836E-22,6.0354992747837709E-21,7.970221302121993E-20,9.7335518134102354E-19,1.0994171392786104E-17,1.1486674094504053E-16,1.1102522872700914E-15,9.9289791825596194E-15,8.2169123660812339E-14,6.2936955671701244E-13,4.4624648701264186E-12,2.929563155282197E-11,1.7810901679556421E-10,1.0030675592519612E-9]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Total expected value of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Switchboard failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Capacity constraint"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",47.6,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"average load per feeder - summer",null,"MW","only summer rating available",null,null,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14,2.1008403361344538E-14]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 decomissioning date",38,"date"]
[null,null,null,null,"Number of feeders",0,"#"]
[null,null,null,null,"Energy at risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Feeder outage"]
[null,null,null,null,"Feeder capacity",12,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transfer capacity",0,"MW"]
[null,null,null,null,"Value of customer reliability",4.7905000000000003E-2,"$m per MWh"]
[null,null,null,null,"Transformer 2 age",5,"age"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age",0,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,"Switchgear age profile",null,"years",null,null,null,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of failure",null,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.4831938040080435E-7,1.5957531916088202E-5,1.1329158899536418E-4,4.5362444206486867E-4,1.3283512891570357E-3,3.1916581650198897E-3,6.6880988242442431E-3]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected Energy at Risk",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected cost of energy at risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"Bus failure"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0.1,"%",null,null,null,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,"TTS-NH 66kV line load at risk"]
[]
[null,null,null,"N-1 Event"]
[null,null,null,null,"Probability of N-1 event",0,"%",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"10% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"50% POE",null,"MWh",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Expected value of Energy at Risk",null,0,null,0,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[null,"Financial evaluation"]
[]
[null,null,"Financial sumary",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.419252462069206,17.992074606310013,3.455579575134363,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499849E-9,2.4444340970499853E-9,2.4444348846535476E-9,2.4444921261991757E-9,2.0354373367622148E-9,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total value of risk",null,null,null,-1.784722202684812,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.86191033401528117,-0.16553953954681166,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917955E-10,-1.171006531493282E-10,-1.1710339530557152E-10,-9.7507625617593906E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Total Capex",null,null,null,-67.127832498070674,null,0,0,0,-49,-8.1999999999999993,-4.8,-6.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,-3.7,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Benefit",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.78656428919542543,-0.86191033401528117,-49.165539539546813,-8.2000000001171003,-4.8000000001171008,-6.7000000001171012,-3.7000000001171007,-3.7000000001171007,-3.7000000001171007,-3.7000000001171007,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917953E-10,-1.1710061541917955E-10,-1.171006531493282E-10,-1.1710339530557152E-10,-9.7507625617593906E-11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,"Cumulative cost",null,null,null,null,null,-0.11554408369489859,-0.90210837289032397,-1.7640187069056052,-50.929558246452416,-59.129558246569516,-63.929558246686618,-70.629558246803725,-74.329558246920826,-78.029558247037926,-81.729558247155026,-85.429558247272126,-85.429558247389224,-85.429558247506321,-85.429558247623419,-85.429558247740516,-85.429558247857614,-85.429558247974711,-85.429558248091809,-85.429558248208906,-85.429558248326003,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504,-85.429558248423504]
[null,null,null,null,"discount rate",5.1799999999999999E-2,"%"]
[null,null,null,null,"NPV",-68.912554700755479,0]
[null,null,null,null,"IRR","N/A"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"End"]