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[null,"Core Energy Group"]
[]
[null,"ActewAGL Gas Access Arrangement FY16/17-FY20/21"]
[null,"Gas Demand Forecast Model"]
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[]
[]
[null,"June 2015"]

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[null,"Model Contents"]
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[null,"Worksheet",null,null,"Description"]
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[null,null,"Summary",null,"Tables summarising forecasts."]
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[null,"Model Key",null,null,"Description"]
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[null,null,"XXX",null,"Historical Data"]
[null,null,"XXX",null,"Input Assumption Data"]
[null,null,null,null,"Data unavailable"]
[]
[]
[null,null,"Note:","All data presented in financial years unless noted otherwise."]

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[null,"Disclaimer",null,null,"Contents"]

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[null,null,"OK",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contents"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[]
[null,null,"Demand Outputs Summary"]
[]
[null,null,null,"Tariff "]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Demand | GJ"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Total"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Demand",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Residential",null,5220348.8546503941,5222508.1094307546,5407373.1336085033,5406427.190364019,5474050.713159617,5110703.6009933781,4981429.1049432047,4867579.8192600692,4769776.2427972946,4638499.1206969991,4531286.4358819257,4447062.6233987371,4367125.9913028469,22753750.414077803,null,-4.6613697198521487E-3,-2.2205876950557726E-2,-2.145830839186167E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Business",null,1660123.6325586536,1614942.2649446803,1697385.0874065892,1654012.9319820821,1690605.4607567333,1566259.8541775667,1494157.683286024,1510782.7891502012,1526442.361448088,1521631.5399481417,1508356.94154774,1509095.2884127451,1519630.6553646249,7585156.7867213404,null,-6.4824430030653302E-3,-4.13535712390245E-3,1.1920749785564455E-3]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Demand",null,6880472.4872090481,6837450.3743754346,7104758.221015092,7060440.1223461013,7164656.1739163501,6676963.4551709443,6475586.7882292289,6378362.6084102709,6296218.6042453824,6160130.6606451403,6039643.377429666,5956157.9118114822,5886756.6466674721,30338907.200799145,null,-5.1129551190347289E-3,-1.781439864912095E-2,-1.590538326391595E-2]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Residential"]
[]
[null," ",null,null,null,null,"Residential",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Existing FY2014 Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4875220.3065203046,4665307.6185307493,4469503.0636693956,4247001.3941044956,4054368.3578318725,3890008.4507243596,3741051.6368079446,20401932.903138068,null,"-","-",-4.3188216546939828E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Dwelling Connections | New Estates",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58094.513253742014,115865.85588717987,177650.31559536481,232480.57532544443,283813.34757055482,331966.5267952758,371949.54880831728,1397860.314094957,null,"-","-",0.27055905072109826]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Dwelling Connections | Medium/High Density",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,28197.336897685454,48068.932737247807,67072.057928862239,88036.013391137225,107660.0532055581,126067.34340559698,142274.19108307268,531109.65901422722,null,"-","-",0.24606635008604708]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New E to G Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,19916.9482714728,38337.41210489181,55550.805603671484,70981.137875922199,85444.677273940179,99020.302473504693,111850.61460351323,422847.53783055174,null,"-","-",0.24379750917325396]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Demand",null,5220348.8546503941,5222508.1094307546,5407373.1336085033,5406427.190364019,5474050.713159617,5110703.6009933781,4981429.1049432047,4867579.8192600692,4769776.2427972946,4638499.1206969991,4531286.4358819257,4447062.6233987371,4367125.9913028469,22753750.414077803,null,-4.6613697198521487E-3,-2.2205876950557726E-2,-2.145830839186167E-2]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Business"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Business",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Existing FY2014 Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1490882.8628812933,1442086.7475742172,1394362.7414323462,1330932.7410691797,1263814.1701423756,1211421.3121969013,1168949.8816183296,6369480.8464591317,null,"-","-",-4.1105813513912827E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Business Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,28718.775404730917,94139.9965759841,157523.57501574184,216142.75387896196,269986.7264053644,323117.93121584383,376124.7287462955,1342895.7152622074,null,"-","-",0.33107459272608619]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Tariff to Non-Tariff Movements",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,49516.816999999995,49516.816999999995,49516.816999999995,49516.816999999995,49516.816999999995,49516.816999999995,49516.816999999995,247584.08499999996,null,"-","-",0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Non-Tariff to Tariff Movements",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,24072.862000000001,24072.862000000001,24072.862000000001,24072.862000000001,24072.862000000001,24072.862000000001,24072.862000000001,120364.31,null,"-","-",0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Demand",null,1660123.6325586536,1614942.2649446803,1697385.0874065892,1654012.9319820821,1690605.4607567333,1566259.8541775667,1494157.683286024,1510782.7891502012,1526442.361448088,1521631.5399481417,1508356.94154774,1509095.2884127451,1519630.6553646249,7585156.7867213404,null,-6.4824430030653302E-3,-4.13535712390245E-3,1.1920749785564455E-3]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Connections | no."]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Total"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Connections",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Residential",106997.35905146044,109615.013562415,113291.03471480565,117373.44526819,121245.351959188,126101.55911782089,130818.404923115,134568.28907042995,137974.34611263042,141336.77749776072,144966.12092351838,148575.45318489114,152471.18461773131,156039.13609870232,743388.67232260387,null,3.6620127284473503E-2,2.5506230368750833E-2,2.4913562765269636E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Business",2793.640948539552,2861.9864375848947,2957.9652851943633,3064.5547318104996,3165.6480408116713,3292.4408821791112,3415.595076884792,3448.7962871736013,3553.5088192413359,3661.3997170615075,3772.5654543670762,3887.105433182418,4005.1220727064897,4126.7209008938853,19452.913578211377,null,3.6620127284473836E-2,2.7412721029744569E-2,3.0361303831175634E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Connections",109791,112476.9999999999,116249.00000000001,120438.00000000049,124410.99999999968,129394,134233.9999999998,138017.08535760356,141527.85493187176,144998.17721482224,148738.68637788546,152462.55861807356,156476.30669043781,160165.8569995962,762841.58590081532,null,3.6620127284473447E-2,2.5554109588745804E-2,2.5051758318019514E-2]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Residential"]
[]
[null," ",null,null,null,null,"Residential",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Existing FY2014 Connections",104613.35905146044,105768.013562415,109547.03471480565,113899.18586107907,118836.71087585381,123120.21321402279,127864.84781684497,130097.10955412207,129355.13839358966,128288.0872060992,127202.49653107963,126096.89469167517,125277.69202373811,124437.00940393189,631302.17985652399,null,3.9415111595317409E-2,-3.8364574361219E-3,-7.7219940311906935E-3]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Dwelling Connections | New Estates",1179,1422,1934,1972,1691,1931,1642,1730.4231630144234,1855.5139940757069,2105.6956561982743,2080.5624659192545,2080.5624659192545,2080.5624659192545,1876.3624659192544,10223.74551987529,null,-3.264551635165347E-2,2.1555594066921153E-2,4.9498221693112798E-3]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Dwelling Connections | Medium/High Density",341,1152,977,1340,553,892,1360,1959.7563532934432,1511.5142086571771,1542.7869164224978,1853.3716348579708,1853.3716348579708,1853.3716348579708,1751.2716348579709,8854.1734558543812,null,0.23047892084745142,5.4169836182172464E-2,3.3382987786481279E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New E to G Connections",864,1273,833,785,802,861,624,781,781,781,781,781,781,781,3905,null,-5.9415559379513927E-2,3.594322344322344E-2,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Cumulative New Connections | New Estates 2015 onwards",null,null,null,null,null,null,1642,1730.4231630144234,3585.9371570901303,5691.6328132884046,7772.195279207659,9852.7577451269135,11933.320211046168,13809.682676965422,49059.588725634567,null,"-",0.38785609675588084,0.3177705259338548]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Cumulative New Connections | Medium/High Density 2015 onwards",null,null,null,null,null,null,1360,1959.7563532934432,3471.2705619506205,5014.0574783731181,6867.4291132310891,8720.8007480890592,10574.17238294703,12325.444017805001,43501.903740445297,null,"-",0.38205327567854319,0.29241980308140036]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Cumulative New Connections | E to G 2015 onwards",null,null,null,null,null,null,624,781,1562,2343,3124,3905,4686,5467,19525,null,"-",0.38594322344322346,0.28999999999999998]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Connections",106997.35905146044,109615.013562415,113291.03471480565,117373.44526819,121245.351959188,126101.55911782089,130818.404923115,134568.28907042995,137974.34611263042,141336.77749776072,144966.12092351838,148575.45318489114,152471.18461773131,156039.13609870232,743388.67232260387,null,3.6620127284473503E-2,2.5506230368750833E-2,2.4913562765269636E-2]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Business"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Business",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,null,null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Existing FY2014 Connections",2793.640948539552,2861.9864375848947,2957.9652851943633,3064.5547318104996,3165.6480408116713,3292.4408821791112,3415.595076884792,3398.3942017564777,3381.1933266281635,3363.9924514998493,3346.791576371535,3329.5907012432208,3312.3898261149066,3295.1889509865923,null,null,3.6620127284473836E-2,-5.1137672224741259E-3,-5.1397834389361298E-3]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Business Connections",50,0,1,25,71,114,102,51.402085417123544,121.91340719604887,125.09177294848587,128.36661243388289,131.74085394365602,135.21751465238594,138.79970331570985,null,null,6.5850926612305409,0.14387432924269863,2.628366949476164E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Cumulative New Business Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,102,51.402085417123544,173.31549261317241,298.40726556165828,426.77387799554117,558.51473193919719,693.73224659158313,832.53194990729298,null,null,"-",0.53978584072767777,0.3805597855737326]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Tariff to Non-Tariff Movements",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-4,-4,-4,-4,-4,-4,-4,null,null,"-","-",0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Non-Tariff to Tariff Movements",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,null,null,"-","-",0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Total Connections",2793.640948539552,2861.9864375848947,2957.9652851943633,3064.5547318104996,3165.6480408116713,3292.4408821791112,3415.595076884792,3448.7962871736013,3553.5088192413359,3661.3997170615075,3772.5654543670762,3887.105433182418,4005.1220727064897,4126.7209008938853,null,null,3.6620127284473836E-2,2.7412721029744569E-2,3.0361303831175634E-2]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Demand per Connection | GJ"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Residential"]
[]
[null," ",null,null,null,null,"Residential",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,null,null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Existing FY2014 Connections",null,47.624396375939121,46.098158804689966,46.069816910060354,44.590799589446185,43.409857510524745,39.067160343355788,37.473701938721014,36.065885564867088,34.839579894031672,33.387720445147224,32.1528009690118,31.051086493413891,30.063818270207776,null,null,-3.981051265785357E-2,-3.6725352453896902E-2,-3.5744336476766468E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Dwelling Connections | New Estates",null,null,null,null,null,null,35,33.572431585197052,32.311178587747811,31.212539779551477,29.911828894389899,28.805473037325655,27.818454623214457,26.93396781873416,null,null,"-",-3.6725352453896867E-2,-3.5744336476766427E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Dwelling Connections | Medium/High Density",null,null,null,null,null,null,15,14.388184965084452,13.847647966177636,13.376802762664923,12.81935524045282,12.345202730282429,11.92219483852049,11.543129065171792,null,null,"-",-3.6725352453896777E-2,-3.5744336476766336E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New E to G Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,26.586245356282213,25.501854380887067,24.54379776241473,23.709264022053556,22.721234915468052,21.880839250688908,21.131093144153798,20.459230767059307,null,null,"-",-3.6725352453896867E-2,-3.5744336476766427E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Weighted Average Demand per Connection",null,null,null,null,null,null,39.067160343355788,37.017852715181945,35.278875793958058,33.747594414149312,31.997125198267479,30.498217160024918,29.166577504780374,27.987376119157879,null,null,"-",-4.6520723937020843E-2,-4.5242468163666547E-2]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Business"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Business",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,null,null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Existing FY2014 Connections",null,580.05992298117224,545.96390060019417,553.87657782303529,522.48794264506853,513.4808858398701,458.56133965565982,438.70215589195709,426.50230503451075,414.49639425042824,397.67422341612524,379.57042878287888,365.72425825186593,354.74441648280634,null,null,-4.1592985060783266E-2,-3.5982248764214901E-2,-3.6151839388497711E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"New Business Connections",null,null,null,null,null,null,584,558.70837090908867,543.17127197680895,527.881165089104,506.45731855505028,483.40126225131792,465.76749574979914,451.78413727927085,null,null,"-",-3.5982248764214853E-2,-3.6151839388497642E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Weighted Average | Pre Tariff D Movements",null,null,null,null,null,null,458.56133965565982,440.49025269576867,432.19100648569753,423.73482862029857,409.97711942633464,394.48541787415536,383.04854808780908,374.31663803384305,null,null,"-",-2.8551023905549502E-2,-2.832160302964859E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Weighted Average | Post Tariff D Movements",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,433.24034209933984,425.15239612455758,416.90131627397113,403.34132259699282,388.04117034531549,376.79133395126786,368.24168434445352,null,null,"-","-",-2.8309709350081768E-2]
[]
[null,null,"Non-Tariff"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"ACQ | GJ"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Non-Tariff",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,"Total\nForecast Period\n('17-'21)",null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"ACQ",1033572.3160000001,1055816.601,1065745.675,1138905.73,1224409.1199999996,1165907.591,1155040.4849999999,1224101.9484471439,1201835.7760209541,1185399.1179293226,1185768.7121533651,1231356.0817952766,1231763.7736649169,1232191.2216733261,6066478.9072162081,null,2.1655434273210289E-2,9.6229428661987384E-3,5.1518046625232735E-3]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"MDQ | GJ"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"Non-Tariff",2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,null,null,"Average Annual Growth ('11-'14)","Average Annual Growth ('15-'21)","Average Annual Growth ('17-'21)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,"MDQ",6249,6270,6424,7307,7700,7862,8242,8140.265879974495,8024.8223691931626,7951.3253736943425,7956.0772684182157,8200.9304876993756,8205.8875267546791,8210.9509432083814,null,null,6.5152515293984137E-2,-4.4130453122193103E-4,4.6872064724027942E-3]